Afleveringen
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INSIDE POLITICS LIVE SHOW WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 11TH - DUBLIN. TICKETS HERE
Pat Leahy joins Hugh Linehan to share the results of The Irish Times exit poll for the 2024 general election.
The three largest parties of Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael and Sinn Féin are on course for a tight finish in their share of the vote in general election 2024, according to the results of an exit poll tonight.
The results of the poll, conducted by Ipsos B&A today for The Irish Times/RTÉ/TG4/TCD, and released just after polls closed, are as follows: Sinn Féin 21.1 per cent, Fianna Fáil 19.5 per cent, Fine Gael 21 per cent, the Green Party 4 per cent, Labour 5 per cent, the Social Democrats 5.8 per cent, Solidarity-People Before Profit 3.1 per cent, Aontú 3.6 per cent, Independents/others 14.6 per cent and Independent Ireland 2.2 per cent.
If the findings of the exit poll are borne out when the votes are counted tomorrow, it suggests that a return of a coalition based around Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael is likely.
If the results of the counts taking place around the country tomorrow bear out the exit poll findings, it will be the second time in a row that Sinn Fein has won the largest share of the vote – but is left without an obvious path to government.
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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INSIDE POLITICS LIVE SHOW WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 11TH - DUBLIN. TICKETS HERE!
Pat Leahy, Jennifer Bray and Cormac McQuinn join Hugh to discuss today on trail of the 2024 general election:
It's the last day of campaigning and the leaders of the three largest parties have been communicating their final messages to the electorate:
Mary Lou McDonald seemed at ease as she asked voters to give their second preferences to parties like the Social Democrats, People Before Profit and Labour.Together with his frequent wingman Paschal Donohoe, Simon Harris sounded the alarm for Ireland's economic and political stability and borrowed Sinn Féin's language of asking voters to 'lend' Fine Gael their support.Micheal Martin was asked again and insisted again that Fianna Fáil would not go into government with Sinn Féin.Pat, Jen, Cormac and Hugh discuss all that, and then pick their favourite, most pivotal and most consequential moments of the campaign. Finally Hugh answers some listener questions.
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INSIDE POLITICS LIVE SHOW WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 11TH - DUBLIN. TICKETS HERE
Harry McGee and Jennifer Bray join Hugh for a look at today's events on the campaign trail.
Sinn Féin's leasehold policy has been criticised by other parties, at times with little concrete justification. But has the party itself done enough to clarify how workable the scheme is?In the closing stages of this campaign, plenty of focus remains on the question of what parties say they would do in the event of an economic downturn.Sinn Féin finance spokesman Pearse Doherty asked voters to consider lending his party their vote, arguing that Sinn Féin TDs stood a better chance of changing the country than independents.Roderic O'Gorman engaged in his own version of Project Fear by invoking the spectre of Minister for the Environment Mattie McGrath. Could these anti-independent messages make an impact before Friday?Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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INSIDE POLITICS LIVE SHOW WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 11TH - DUBLIN. TICKETS HERE
Housing will be one of the issues foremost in voters' minds when they go to the polls on Friday. But after an election campaign low on genuine debate, they'll be forgiven for some confusion over the detail of which party has promised what to whom.
So what exactly are the different parties promising to do on housing? When it comes to specifics like how how much financial support to give buyers, how much social housing to build, and how much to intervene in rent control or tenants' rights, there are some key points of difference.
Michael Byrne is a housing researcher and a lecturer in political economy at University College Dublin's School of Social Policy, Social Work and Social Justice. He produces The Week in Housing newsletter.
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What were the most important moments in tonight's debate between Mary Lou McDonald, Micheál Martin and Simon Harris - and who came out on top? Pat Leahy and Jack Horgan-Jones were watching.
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Bringing you all today's news from the campaign trail, Sarah Burns and Jack Horgan-Jones join Hugh to discuss:
A story about a Fine Gael staffer trying to influence how RTÉ reported on Simon Harris's disastrous interaction with disability care worker Charlotte Fallon is dragging the story through another news cycle. With just days until voting day, it is not what the party needs right now.Candidates like Sinn Féin's Mark Ward, who is seeking reelection In Dublin West, are insisting the momentum is now very much in their favour. Dublin West is a constituency worth watching - especially for the potential return of former Green TD and now independent candidate Paul Gogarty.All eyes will now turn to tonight's three-way leader's debate. How consequential will it be?Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Jennifer Bray and Cormac McQuinn join Hugh Linehan to discuss today's news from the campaign trail:
Reaction from Mary Lou McDonald (delight) and Simon Harris (dismay) to this morning's Ipsos B&A poll from The Irish Times that put Fine Gael in third place behind Sinn Féin and Fianna Fáil.Also today, Simon Harris offered very limited support to the embattled candidacy of Senator John McGahon.Meanwhile in the battle of the small parties, Friends of the Earth ranked all parties according to the environmental friendliness of their policies. And the Greens did not come first, or even second. Will it matter?Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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The final Irish Times Ipsos B&A poll of the campaign reveals a stark reversal of fortunes for Fine Gael and Taoiseach Simon Harris, with the party dropping by six points back to third place, just behind Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin. The results put even more pressure on Harris to perform well and win over voters in Tuesday night's televised debate with Micheal Martin and Mary Lou McDonald.
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In the second in our AMA series with leaders of the three largest parties, Fianna Fáil leader Micheál Martin answers listener questions on a range of issues including looming threats to Ireland's economic model and what he would prioritise in the event of a downturn, why Fianna Fáil won't go as far as some other parties say they will to strengthen tenant's rights, red lines in coalition negotiations, why voters concerned about Gaza should trust him to follow through on the Occupied Territories bill, and more.
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Social affairs correspondent Kitty Holland and Jack Horgan-Jones join Hugh for our latest election podcast:
Kitty interviewed independent candidate for Dublin North West and city councillor Gavin Pepper, who insists he's neither far right nor anti-immigrant. Rather, he is against "illegal immigration". But the slogan "Ireland is full" is open to interpretation. What do Pepper's supporters really want from him or other candidates with his views - and does Pepper have a chance of winning a seat?Taoiseach Simon Harris told this podcast that he wasn't open to the idea of a coalition involving an multi-party alliance, a possibility suggested by Labour and the Greens. Today Labour and also the Social Democrats hit out at Harris over the remarks.Independent candidates as a group have been the most clear winners in recent polls. Jack went canvassing with one of them.Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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In the first of a series with the leaders of the three largest political parties, Taoiseach Simon Harris sat down with Hugh Linehan to answer questions submitted by Inside Politics podcast listeners on issues including taxation, housing, threats to Ireland’s economy, why Ireland does not facilitate overseas voting, and more.
He revealed that he is not in favour of forming a coalition with a left-wing alliance of more than one party, a concept proposed by Labour leader Ivana Bacik, and sees a coalition of four parties or more as unstable.
He also shared the qualities he admires in political opponents Mary Lou McDonald, Micheál Martin, Holly Cairns and Ivana Bacik.
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Jennifer Bray and Harry McGee join Hugh for a look at today's events on the campaign trail:
Mary Lou McDonald showed how effective a campaigner and political communicator she can be while meeting students at DCU.Aontú launched its manifesto, but at first there was one thing missing - the manifesto itself.Fianna Fáil launched its plan for Dublin city, a place it has struggled to recover seats in since its 2011 nadir. Can the party make inroads in the capital?Plus Harry reminisces on that fraught 2011 election campaign.Over on irishtimes.com there are excellent resources for following the election:
Constituencies - every candidate listed, every constituency analysed with a 'prediction / possible outcome'.Party Promises - compare the manifestos using this handy tool.Who should I vote for? Compare your views with parties and candidates.The Irish Times poll, current and archive.Election Daily podcast - all the episodes.Meet the Voters - our correspondents have been out and about meeting real people and discussing real issues, including taking the temperature with The Irish Times voter panel.Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Pat Leahy and Cormac McQuinn join Hugh to discuss the day's political action from the campaign:
As discussed in this morning's regular podcast, there is growing uncertainty over Ireland's economic model thanks to the reelection of Donald Trump. At a Cabinet meeting this morning, there were warnings over what the future could hold. Sinn Féin's manifesto included the suggestion that RTÉ's coverage of Gaza and other international conflicts should be subjected to a "peer review" of its editorial standards. But where is the idea coming from? Yesterday's podcast featured discussion of Labour leader Ivana Bacik's plan to negotiate with the big parties on government formation only in conjunction with other small parties of the left. Labour got in touch with the podcast about the item to take issue with something Hugh said...Green leader Roderic O'Gorman provided a cutting response when asked why voters should pick his party over Labour.Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Thanks largely to corporation tax receipts from multinationals, the Irish state has plenty of money. And so far this election campaign has been largely about how to spend it - on capital investment, on tax cuts and on new spending on all sorts of programmes and projects.
But with the threats to Ireland's economic model growing, will such spending be sustainable?
Hugh is joined by Professor John McHale, Shana Cohen and Cliff Taylor to discuss Ireland's economic position and whether election spending promises could lead to yet more boom and bust.
Shana Cohen is Director at Tasc, a progressive think-tank.
John McHale is Professor of Economics at University of Galway's J.E. Cairnes School of Business and Economics and a former chair of the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council.
Cliff Taylor is an economics columnist with The Irish Times.
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Harry McGee and Jennifer Bray join Hugh to talk about all today’s news on the election campaign trail:
Standing side by side during last night’s leaders debate on RTÉ, Micheal Martin and Simon Harris countered Mary Lou McDonald’s criticisms, sometimes aggressively. The optics favoured the Sinn Féin leader.
On the subject of government formation, Labour leader Ivana Bacik spoke of her intention to only negotiate with the big parties in conjunction with other parties on the left, including the Greens and Social Democrats. But will the other parties play ball?
Sinn Féin has released its manifesto and, while most of the content had been trailed, there were some surprises.
And Harry McGee reveals his major role in the history of this election’s most notorious candidate.
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Sarah Burns and Pat Leahy join Hugh to discuss the day’s politics on the campaign trail:
Today saw party leaders give their views on the behaviour of Fine Gael candidate for Louth John McGahon, who was acquitted of assault in 2022. Is he now a problem candidate for the party?Labour’s weekend manifesto launch revealed a big commitment to expanded state intervention in housing construction.The Social Democrats likewise have ambitious plans for housing, also announced at the weekend. Are differing approaches to housing becoming the major policy fault line in this campaign?Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Jack Horgan-Jones and Cormac McQuinn join Hugh for our daily discussion of the election campaign:
· With the first week of the general election campaign coming to a close, Fine Gael are making a strong pitch for the law-and-order vote with their campaign promises. Policing and justice seem to be a key area for both Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil, but will it mobilise voters?
· Is the cost-of-living crisis being underpriced in this general election campaign? There are plans like phasing out third level fees and the double child benefit payment, but high prices are bad news for politicians, so is enough noise being made about addressing it in the next government?
· Mick Wallace has confirmed that he will run for a seat in a Wexford constituency that will be hard to predict.
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Political stability is indicated by the latest Irish Times/Ipsos B&A poll, with Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil looking set to lead the next government, possibly in alliance with a smaller party or a group of Independents. Indeed, the rise in support for independent candidates is one of the most striking aspects of the poll, and some may well play a role in the formation of the next government.
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Jennifer Bray and Pat Leahy join Hugh for our daily discussion of the election campaign:
Simon Harris says Fine Gael would remove the means test for recipients of the carer's allowance. It is a move already supported by many opposition parties. But it would be expensive - potentially much more so than the €600 million per year figure mentioned by the Taoiseach.
Sinn Fein launched their immigration policy. It's much like the one published by the party in the summer - with some interesting additions.
Calls for an end to the sniping between Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil
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