Afleveringen
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It’s our annual Thanksgiving multi-course financial meal – we’re serving up humble pie, talking about the topics we’re skipping this year at the dinner table, and answering the questions you’ve sent our way to say thanks!
(00:33) Ron Gross and Jason Moser discuss:
- The market’s strong returns over the past two years, but how they aren’t being enjoyed by all investors or consumers.
- Why Target and Outset Medical helped serve up some humble pie this year, and why they’re thankful for Costco and Axon.
- The topics they don’t want to touch at the Thanksgiving table: the election and tariffs.
(19:03) We offer our thanks to listeners by fielding questions from our listeners about the paths to managing money, factoring your sleep number, what to make of retailer earnings, and how to spatchcock a turkey.
A reminder, you can reach us at: (703) 254-1445, [email protected], or @MotleyFoolMoney on X.
(34:13) Ron and Matt break down the holiday box office slate and two stocks on their radar: Garrett Motion and Samsara.
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Stocks discussed: TGT, OM, COST, AXON, GTX, IOT.
Host: Dylan Lewis
Guests: Ron Gross, Jason Moser
Engineers: Rick Engdahl
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Warren Buffett sends us into the season to be thankful with his philanthropic acts and his poignant words, and gives us all a place to start the conversation with family about money.
(00:14) Asit Sharma and Dylan Lewis discuss:
- NBC’s negotiations to extend their rights to broadcast rights to the Macy’s Day Parade, and why holiday live events are turning into an arms race.
- The expectations for Black Friday through Cyber Monday, and two predictions on the direction of consumer spend and who will be driving it in future years.
- Warren Buffett’s plans for passing his wealth on to his family and philanthropic efforts, and the words of wisdom we should all have in mind as we get together with loved ones this week.
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Companies discussed: CMCSA, M, NFLX, AMZN, BRK.A, BRK.B,
Host: Dylan Lewis
Guests: Asit Sharma
Engineers: Rick Engdahl
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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After a rough start to the year, investors now seem to think the insurance company's glass is half full rather than half empty.
(00:14) Kirsten Guerra and Mary Long discuss:
- How experiential shopping has lifted Dick’s Sporting Goods.
- Two paths forward for Kohl’s.
- Why Lemonade deserves a spot in a Thanksgiving parade.
Then, (17:31) Robert Brokamp and Christine Benz continue their discussion on how to prepare for a healthy, wealthy retirement.
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Companies discussed: DKS, KSS, M, LMND, BROS
Host: Mary Long
Guests: Kirsten Guerra, Robert Brokamp, Christine Benz
Producer: Ricky Mulvey
Engineer: Rick Engdahl
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Or $154 million could be gone. Macy’s is facing questions from investors after a rogue employee made some accounting errors.
(00:14) Jason Moser and Ricky Mulvey discuss:
- How more than a hundred million dollars can go missing.
- The impact of weight-loss drugs on junk food manufacturers.
- Some advice for investors looking for artificial intelligence “picks and shovels” plays.
Then, (15:41) Bloomberg’s Lucas Shaw to check in on Netflix, and the company’s strategy on live events.
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Link to NYTimes article about junk food and GLP-1 drugs: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/19/magazine/ozempic-junk-food.html
Check out Shaw’s Screentime newsletter: https://www.bloomberg.com/screentime
Companies discussed: M, CAG, TPL, NFLX
Host: Ricky Mulvey
Guests: Jason Moser, Lucas Shaw
Producer: Mary Long
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Even if you don’t shop on Shein, the fast-fashion retailer may have changed online shopping for you. The site offers necklaces for under $2, hoodies under $11, and sneakers for less than $20. But, how is the company offering prices that low?
Timothy McLaughlin is a contributing writer for The Atlantic, with a story titled, “The Mysterious, Meteoric Rise of Shein”. Mary Long caught up with McLaughlin to discuss:
- The questions about how fast fashion became ultra-fast fashion.
- Why Shein’s leaders may be staying quiet.
- How an export and tax loophole is driving business for Shein and Temu, and why that could change.
Read Tim’s story: https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2024/09/shein-ceo-chris-xu-fast-fashion/679709/
Companies discussed: PDD, AMZN OTC: HNNMY,
Host: Mary Long
Guest: Timothy McLaughlin
Producer: Ricky Mulvey
Engineers: Rick Engdahl
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Mary Long caught up with Motley Fool Contributor Keith Speights to check in on the psychedelic industry. They discuss:
- Advice to investors looking at a highly speculative industry.
- The cash and regulatory questions for these companies.
- Key differences between the cannabis market and psychedelic stocks.
- The challenges of doing a double-blind test on psychedelic compounds.
Companies discussed: CMPS, CYBN, ATAI
Host: Mary Long
Guest: Keith Speights
Producer: Ricky Mulvey
Engineers: Rick Engdahl, Desireé Jones
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The market yawned at Nvidia’s 94% growth and cheered as Williams-Sonoma posted year-over-year declines. It’s all about expectations.
(00:55) Jason Moser and Emily Flippen discuss:
- How Walmart is thriving while Target struggles with “decelerating discretionary demand.”
- Market expectations affecting the reactions to Nvidia’s strong quarter and Williams-Sonoma’s seemingly weak one.
- Snowflake’s strong report and what its new deal with Anthropic means .
(19:03) Adobe CFO Dan Durn walks through how the leading software company for creatives is approaching AI tooling and monetization.
(34:35) Emily and Jason break down two stocks on their radar: Tesla and C3Ai.
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Stocks discussed: TGT, WMT, WSM, NVDA, SNOW, PANW, ADBE, TSLA, AI.
Host: Dylan Lewis
Guests: Jason Moser, Emily Flippen, Dan Durn
Engineers: Rick Engdahl
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Comcast is shedding cable networks including MSNBC, USA Network, and CNBC from the parent, and putting them in a new company, temporarily called SpinCo.
(00:14) Bill Barker and Ricky Mulvey discuss:
- Nvidia’s quarter and data center growth.
- Why Comcast is spinning off its cable assets.
- Microstrategy’s unusual bond offering.
Then, (17:04) a replay of Scoreboard, hosted by Anand Chokkavelu. Matt Argersinger and Anthony Schiavone take a look at Sunbelt REIT, Eastgroup Properties.
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Companies discussed: NVDA, CMCSA, MSTR, EGP
Host: Ricky Mulvey
Guests: Bill Barker
Producer: Mary Long
Engineer: Rick Engdahl
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The retailer is trying to be everything for everyone. That’s a pretty tall order. Is Target up for the task?
(00:14) Jason Moser and Mary Long discuss earnings from Target and TJX, plus:
- The state of the consumer heading into the holiday shopping season.
- What it takes to build out a true omnichannel operation.
- How management teams land on forward guidance.
Then, (14:45) Yasser el-Shimy and Ricky Mulvey take a look at Warner Brothers Discovery and debate whether the streaming stock is a steal.
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Companies discussed: TGT, WMT, TJX, AMZN, WBD, NFLX
Host: Mary Long
Guests: Jason Moser, Yasser el-Shimy, Ricky Mulvey
Engineers: Rick Engdahl
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But the retailer’s valuation is giving investors more questions.
(00:14) Nick Sciple and Ricky Mulvey discuss:
- Highlights from Walmart’s quarter.
- What shoppers want from mac and cheese.
- Why nicotine pouches may be “the biggest consumer product story this decade.”
Then, (17:04) Robert Brokamp kicks off a two-part series with Christine Benz, Morningstar’s Director of Personal Finance and the author of “How to Retire: 20 Lessons for a Happy, Successful, and Wealthy Retirement.”
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Companies discussed: WMT, COST, PMI, MO, TPB
Host: Ricky Mulvey
Guests: Nick Sciple, Robert Brokamp, Christine Benz
Producer: Mary Long
Engineer: Rick Engdahl
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Over 60 million households tuned in to Tyson vs. Paul – Netflix’s first livestreamed sports event – we unpack what went well, what didn’t, and how it fits into the company’s new hybrid monetization model.
(00:15) Seth Jayson and Dylan Lewis discuss:
- Netflix’s foray into live sports with the Paul vs. Tyson fight, how technical issues didn’t prevent the audience numbers from hitting staggering levels, and what to watch for as the streamer goes deeper into live this winter.
- Spirit Airlines’ widely anticipated bankruptcy and how it’s a reminder of how quickly fates can change in the airline industry.
- Apple’s rumored “AI Wall Tablet” and why it seems like an odd entry into artificial intelligence and the smart home market.
(14:44) Coming up luxury stocks have taken a dip – Mary Long and analyst Asit Sharma check in on LVMH and some of the other big brands commanding big bucks.
Companies discussed: NFLX, DIS, SAVE, JBLU, AAPL, LVMH
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Host: Dylan Lewis
Guests: Seth Jayson, Mary Long, Asit Sharma
Producer: Ricky Mulvey
Engineers: Rick Engdahl
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Campaign contributions are just table stakes for companies trying to make legislation in their favor.
Charles Duhigg is a Pulitzer Prize winning journalist, and the author of Supercommunicators and The Power of Habit. Mary Long caught up with Duhigg to talk about his latest article in The New Yorker. They discuss:
- How Airbnb mobilized voters in San Francisco.
- The battle to regulate artificial intelligence.
- How the crypto industry is building political power.
Check out Duhigg’s article on lobbying in Silicon Valley: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2024/10/14/silicon-valley-the-new-lobbying-monster
Companies discussed: MSFT, ABNB, COIN
Host: Mary Long
Guest: Charles Duhigg
Producer: Ricky Mulvey
Engineers: Tim Sparks, Austin Morgan
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Price matters. But how do you build a case for what the right price is?
Patrick Badolato is a Professor of Accounting at the University of Texas at Austin McCombs School of Business. He joined Ricky Mulvey for a conversation about how to value companies. They also discuss:
- How to put P/E ratios in context – and how to look beyond that metric.
- Levers Walmart could pull to double its earnings.
- Growth stories for Netflix that go beyond subscriber count.
Companies discussed: NFLX, LULU, TSMC, WMT, NVDA, NFLX, IMAX
Host: Ricky Mulvey
Guest: Patrick Badolato
Producer: Mary Long
Engineer: Rick Engdahl
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It’s that magical time of year before the holidays where you still have time to catch up on retirement contributions for 2024 and get yourself ready for the new year ahead.
(00:15) Andy Cross and Matt Argersinger discuss:
- Disney’s newfound strength at the box office and in streaming, Spotify’s subscription strength and advertising opportunity, and Shopify’s return to its winning ways.
- Why Cava and Instacart are both taking a breather post-earnings
- How the macro environment and housing market continues to weigh on activity for Home Depot.
(19:04) Robert Brokamp runs through the key numbers investors need to know for their 401ks and IRAs for 2025 and the outlook for taxes and Social Security.
(34:35) Andy and Matt break down two stocks on their radar: Nike and Papa John’s.
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Stocks discussed: DIS, SPOT, SHOP, CAVA, CART, HD, NKE, PZZA
Host: Dylan Lewis
Guests: Andy Cross, Matt Argersinger, Robert Brokamp
Engineers: Rick Engdahl
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The future is growing brighter, and more efficient, for the entertainment giant.
(00:13) Jason Moser and Ricky Mulvey discuss:
- Highlights from Disney’s quarter.
- The future of ESPN.
- Amazon’s new discount shopping venture, Haul.
Then, (17:36) Motley Fool Senior Analyst Yasser El-Shimy joins Ricky for a look at Rocket Lab, why investors are getting “euphoric” about the company and risks to watch.
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Companies discussed: DIS, AMZN, RKLB
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Host: Ricky Mulvey
Guests: Jason Moser, Yasser El-Shimy
Producer: Mary Long
Engineer: Rick Engdahl
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Cava stock is up nearly 270% since the start of the year. Does its valuation make any sense?
(00:13) Tim Beyers and Mary Long discuss:
- The difficulties in valuing Cava.
- Why the fast casual restaurant doesn’t want to lean too far into digital channels.
- How Toast is able to keep growing despite macro headwinds.
Then, (17:40) Fool Contributor Rick Munarriz joins to check in on movie theater stocks, and to discuss what a $2.2 billion industry-wide renovation plan might mean for moviegoers.
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Companies discussed: CAVA, CMG, WING, DPZ, TOST, CMK, MKS, AMC, IMAX
Host: Mary Long
Guests: Tim Beyers, Rick Munarriz
Engineers: Rick Engdahl
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The e-commerce giant is proving that growth can forgive past valuation sins.
(00:26) Jim Gillies and Ricky Mulvey discuss:
- Why investors are cheering Shopify’s latest results.
- An automotive supplier that can provide a ballast for portfolios.
- Why excitement about the market right now isn’t quite a mania.
Then, (16:24) Alison Southwick and Robert Brokamp answer listener questions about allocation, gifting to kids, and ETFs with downside protection.
Got a question for the show? Email us at [email protected].
Companies/tickers discussed: SHOP, ALV, RCL
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Host: Ricky Mulvey
Guests: Jim Gillies, Alison Southwick, Robert Brokamp
Engineer: Rick Engdahl
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When companies or crypto go parabolic, force yourself to think: what does normal look like?
(00:13) Tim Beyers and Dylan Lewis discuss:
- Bitcoin blowing past $800 and setting fresh all-time highs, and how investors should manage the expectations being built into crypto and companies like Robinhood and Coinbase.
- Axon also feeling the euphoria – up 40% post-earnings – and why the company’s recurring revenue and potential new businesses help it live up to its big valuation.
(19:14) Motley Fool Analyst Sanmeet Deo joins Ricky Mulvey to check in on another 2024 highflyer – Reddit – and why the company’s data is a treasure trove of data for large language models.
Companies discussed: BTC, HOOD, COIN, AXON, RDDT, META
Host: Dylan Lewis
Guests: Tim Beyers, RIcky Mulvey, Sanmett Deo
Engineers: Dez Jones, Rick Engdahl
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While the storylines in crypto have gone quieter, coin prices have not.
Zeke Faux is the author of “Number Go Up: Inside Crypto's Wild Rise and Staggering Fall”. Mary Long caught up with Faux for a conversation about:
- The most genuine argument for crypto adoption.
- Why more politicians have warmed up to the space.
- What you have to believe, to be a Bitcoin maximalist.
- A shoestring crypto operation that’s more profitable than Nike.
Coins discussed: BTC, SOL, ETH, DOGE, WIF, USDT
Host: Mary Long
Guest: Zeke Faux
Producer: Ricky Mulvey
Engineer: Desireé Jones
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Diseases become easier to solve. Bureaucracy is simplified. But what will work look like?
OpenAI CEO, Sam Altman, and Anthropic CEO, Dario Amodei, released essays about their visions of what artificial intelligence will bring humanity. Motley Fool Senior Analyst, Asit Sharma, joined Mary Long for a book club style conversation about these visions.
They discuss:
- If building general intelligence is a winner-take-all game.
- How AI advancements could develop in the next decade.
- Lingering questions and worries about the future of superintelligence.
Read Sam Altman’s “The Intelligence Age” and Dario Amodei’s “Machines of Loving Grace” here. The poem from which Amodei’s essay takes its name is here.
Companies mentioned: MSFT, GOOG, GOOGL, TSM, META
Host: Mary Long
Guest: Asit Sharma
Producer: Ricky Mulvey
Engineer: Desireé Jones
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