Afleveringen
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Dugout Study Hall - On The Farm's LaMar Gibson (@InsideFastball) joins Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) to talk through the need-to-know info about the MLB Draft: how the major mechanics work, why it's so unpredictable, and which players are worth following regardless of where they land.
Please help us with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Episode outline:
How is the MLB Draft different from other drafts?Why do teams intentionally pass on good players?"Moneyball," draft archetypes, and what's changed in the past two decadesDruw Jones: lock for first?Termarr Johnson, Brooks Lee, and Kevin Parada: early names worth rememberingKumar Rocker headlines a depleted pitching classLearn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about summer, Pitcher Bot's Cameron Grove and some analysis around pitch usage, which pumpkins have been good and so much more! Please help us with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Episode Outline:
Summer plansPitcher Bot TweetsTeams getting better at having players throw their best pitchesWhich teams are better at developing pitching talentPumpkins who have been good (and will they go back to being pumpkins?)Tony GonsolinTyler AndersonNick PivettaNote: Episode recorded on 06/29/22
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk a whole lot about rookies including rookie fWAR, rookie buy/sell, and much more! Please help us with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Episode Outline:
Warm-up: Oneil Cruz callup and major-league samples Opposite forces from CBA / PandemicHave our expectations matched reality?Number of the Week: 11.1 fWAR from rookie pitchersWhy have this year's pitchers had less of an impact?Case Study: Adapting on the flyHas Spencer Torkelson shown that he's learning through his tough year?Rookie targets to believe in for redraftNote: Episode recorded on 06/22/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about the validity of intentional walks, the absurdity of Tony La Russa, and way too early All-Star banter. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Episode Outline:
Warm-up: Intentional WalksWhen is it reasonable?Is it ever truly reasonable?What about in a 1-2 count?Number of the Week: There is no actual numberWhat 5 All-Stars from last year's teams are still actually good?Looking at fWARWhich of last year's All-Stars have been bad?What impact can All-Star selection have on buy/sell in fantasy?Note: Episode recorded on 06/15/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) welcomes special guest Nate Schwartz (@_nateschwartz) to talk about differences between playoff probabilities from different sites, the Cardinals' recent history against Texas teams, and players who have forced them to change their minds so far this season. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Episode Outline:
Warm-up: Nate's recent work at PL and Cardinals fandomNumbers of the Week: Comparing FanGraphs and Fivethirtyeight playoff probabilitiesCase Study: what makes us change our minds, and who's made us think the most?Note: Episode recorded on 06/08/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about Camden Yards, Would it Dong?, hitters with the best K% and impact on wRC+, and when one-category contributors are worth rostering. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Episode Outline:
Warm-up: Looking at Would it Dong? and outlier home runs and "unicorns"Numbers of the Week: Lowest K% among qualified hitters and the impact on wRC+Alexander's Monkey-Paw All-Stars: When do one-category contributors merit being rostered?Note: Episode recorded on 06/01/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) briefly discuss the Tim Anderson/Josh Donaldson situation, look at pitchers with the highest and lowest BABIPs against, and dive into some pitchers who have not performed as we expected, especially some of the higher ADP guys. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
Tim Anderson/Josh Donalson situation (01:31)Numbers of the Week: BABIPs against (13:10)Interpreting BABIP (21:58)Puzzling Pitchers (29:34)Good Stuff / Bad ResultsJust BadQuestionable Stuff / Good ResultsSurprising Pitchers Doing Well (52:50)Note: Episode recorded on 05/24/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about some random baseball things on our minds, current FIP leaders and why that’s fun but doesn’t matter, and how to use (or not use) Fangraphs dollar-value calculators in-season. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
Our random baseball thoughts (02:38)Numbers of the Week: FIP Leaders (12:12)Fangraphs dollar-value calculators / projections (24:25)Carlos CorreaByron BuxtonHow can we be smart about using dollar values given discrepancies? (28:18)Are THE BAT X ROS broken because expected stats are broken? (31:22)What's under the hood to help us know which projections make sense? (36:42)Case Study: Christian Yelich (38:02)Case Study: Alec Bohm (42:14)Off the Books: Aaron Judge hates Camden Yards' new fence (53:46)Note: Episode recorded on 05/18/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) follow up on last episode's discussion of pitch location metrics, play a guessing game with wRC+ and MaxEV, and discuss more dead-ball impact on the normalization of certain metrics. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
Off the Books: Follow up on pitch location metrics (01:09)Analytics: trying to win using math (09:33)Does the dead ball make pitch location more or less important? (11:49)Numbers of the Week: wRC+ and MaxEV leaders game (18:06)Dead ball impact on parks (25:04)Would it dong? (25:58)Misshapen balls (34:31)When can we trust certain metrics with the different balls? (37:39)Is Josh Naylor for real? (47:42)Talking about players (51:56)Andrew Vaughn, Joc Pederson, Gleyber Torres, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Alec Bohm, Christian Yelich
Joey Gallo, Josh Donaldson, Joey Votto, Luke Voit, Akil Baddoo, Dylan Carlson, Ozzie Albies, Jose Altuve, Trent Grisham, Trevor Story
Note: Episode recorded on 05/11/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and Pitcher List's own Daniel Port (@DanielJPort) talk about some news and notes, pitch location metrics, and data modeling. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
Daniel's PitchCon 2022 Presentation
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Timestamps:
Meet Daniel Port! (01:21)Off the Books: News and Notes (06:29)MadBum big mad over sticky stuff checkKelsie Whitmore makes history Aaron Judge: good guyWainwright/Yadi make battery historyDaniel's OLR + Other Pitch Location Metrics (24:55)Other Metrics and Data Modeling (51:15)Players mentioned: Merrill Kelly, Nestor Cortes Jr.Stats mentioned: ERA, AVG, OBP, wOBA, xBA, WAR, Correlation/Causation, Linear Models, Predictive/Baysian modelsNote: Episode recorded on 05/05/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) share quick RazzSlam and TGFBI updates, talk about negative numbers with ERA estimators, and round out the rest of the episode talking about balls. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
Quick updates on RazzSlam + TGFBI (01:29)Numbers of the Week: Negative Values on ERA Estimators (08:15)Off the Books: New Balls and HBP (17:45)Inconsistent Balls + Offense Suppression (27:54)Is EV Down? (37:15)Are Raised Seams the Problem? (43:20)Players Being Impacted the Most (46:09)Note: Episode recorded on 04/27/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat about the Fangraphs pitch value metrics, play a guessing game, react to April, and so much more! Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
(02:29) Are Analytics Ruining the Enjoyment of the Game?(16:27) Number of the Week: Metrics Under the Hood(25:51) Would You Be Shocked if on May 31st…?(26:21) Andrew Vaughn(33:21) Kyle Tucker(37:53) Connor Joe(42:00) Steven Kwan(47:17) Closers(52:23) Off the Books: Are Intentional Walks Good?Note: Episode recorded on 4/19/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat about the Fangraphs pitch value metrics, play a guessing game, react to April, and so much more! Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
(1:58) Best storyline to start the year?
(11:07) Pass/Fail: Space City Unis?
(15:35) Number of the Week: Should we care about pVAL?
(30:20) When should we believe that Steven Kwan is real?
(41:22) A “what to care about” timeline.
(50:28) Looking ahead to the fun stuff.Note: Episode recorded on 4/13/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat with Taylor Case (@TCasesLoaded) of The Dynasty Guru about dynasty leagues, young players breaking camp with their teams, evaluating minor league talent, and much more!
Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
(6:46) How much do we love Julio Rodriguez? Let us count the ways(15:42) Confidence in Torkelson’s floor(20:19) Results vs Ceiling in Ranks(27:45) Lowe and Lowe LLC(33:37) Low-info challenges(45:42) Post-prospect dynasty outlooks(55:58) Underrated Bulk(1:06:02) Thanks, Hooth and Casas’ swing choicesNote: Episode recorded on 4/06/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat with Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) about Spring Training takeaways and making sense of what matters and ignoring what doesn't.
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Timestamps:
(2:46) Welcome back, Mike!(13:10) Pass/Fail: Are we the (April) Fools?(18:07) Number of the Week: WHIP Chaos(30:36) Spring Training smoke and fire(51:30) Matt Asks: What’s up with this guy?Jo AdellKeston HiuraFrancisco LindorEduardo RodríguezMacKenzie GoreJorge Mateo(1:06:06) What else changes?Note: Episode recorded on 3/29/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) discuss all of the new information we have since the lockout ended and how it is, should be, or might be affecting ADP.
Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
New rule impacts and debating the ghost runner (6:24)Number of the week: $3.265B (18:24)Where's the prospect helium now? (29:24)Player movement: Location, Location, Location (41:35)Injuries and other concerns (57:08)Note: Episode recorded on 3/22/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) celebrate our 50th pod-a-versary with none other than Pitcher List founder, creator, and all-around great dude, Nick Pollack (@PitcherList)! We talk about the DSH origin story, some hitting, the power of pitching stats, pitchers on the move and so much more!
Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
DSH origin story (02:09)How Nick preps for drafting hitters (05:15)Numbers of the Week: Nick's favorite pitching stats (12:31)Which pitching stats are more noise than help? (17:30)The new PL player pages being awesome (22:31)Case Study: Freddy Peralta (28:23)Pitchers on the move + institutional approach (35:44)Home/Road splits are dumb (42:38)Player projects, confidence intervals, range of outcomes, and predicting "if" (56:08)Pass/Fail: Chris Sale and drafting injured pitchers (1:04:05)Note: Episode recorded on 3/16/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about podcasting during a lockout, do a deep-ish dive on our respective TGFBI squads by looking at the drafts in thirds, and squeeze in a little format discussion.
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Timestamps:
Podcasting and Talking Baseball in a Lockout (02:20)Industry Drafts (08:14)RazzSlam + TGFBI formats (10:33)TGFBI Team Analysis: Picks 1-10 (12:41)TGFBI Picks 11-20 (21:06)TGFBI Picks 21-30 (34:18)FantasyPros Grades (44:37)Different Format Takeaways (47:34)Note: Episode recorded on 3/09/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat about our in-process TGFBI drafts, play a fun guessing game with our numbers of the week, talk about players with great under-the-hood numbers who just need an opportunity, and so much more!
Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
Designated Survivor SOTU (01:33)
Slow Drafts (03:52)
TGFBI Drafts (09:33)
Numbers of the Week: A Guessing Game (29:09)
Players Who Just Need a Chance (38:25)
Off the Books: Media Literacy Around the CBA(1:01:24)
Note: Episode recorded on 3/1/22
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Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk welcome Mike Carter (@mdrc0508) to talk a little RazzSlam and a lot about closers and saves for 2022.
Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!
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Timestamps:
Adjusting for RazzSlam Settings (8:30)Do we even want closer in points? (18:15)Numbers of the Week: Looking at closer scarcity and consistency (24:08)Tiers and Fears (36:15)Late dart preferences (48:45)Bold-ish Predictions (53:52)Off the Books: Post-hype sleepers (1:00:03)Note: Episode recorded on 2/22/22
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