Afleveringen
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim address the idea posited in a recent foreign affairs article, "When Nuclear Weapons Fail to Deter." In recent years, the complex role of nuclear weapons in global security and deterrence effectiveness has been tested. The discussion highlights various historical and contemporary examples, including the dynamics between nuclear and non-nuclear states, the stability-instability paradox, and the motivations behind nuclear proliferation. The speakers emphasize the nuanced understanding of nuclear weapons as tools for preventing large-scale conflicts rather than as absolute deterrents against all forms of aggression.
Article: When Nuclear Weapons Fail to Deter | Foreign Affairs
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/when-nuclear-weapons-fail-deter
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Bob Peters' recent Heritage Foundation article outlining recommendations for rebuilding the nuclear arsenal. They explore the implications of executive orders, the importance of public awareness, and several more interesting items on the list. The conversation hotly debates the question of a new NPR and bombers.
Chapters
00:00 Introduction to Nuclear Arsenal Discussions
01:47 The Need for Executive Orders in Nuclear Policy
05:48 The Role of Public Awareness in Nuclear Modernization
10:09 Debating the Necessity of a New Nuclear Posture Review
20:08 Developing a Two-Peer Deterrence Strategy
22:44 Strategic Defense Decisions
25:04 Modernization Challenges in Military
28:03 The Need for Increased Bomber Production
29:57 Addressing Pilot Shortages and Operational Readiness
31:49 Innovative Nuclear Capabilities Discussion
35:59 Future of Military Strategy and Technology
https://www.heritage.org/defense/report/road-map-rebuilding-americas-nuclear-arsenal
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim continue discussing Dr. Keith Payne's article "Deterrence and Arms Control: Ending the Deceptive "Holiday from History." The conversation reviews the second four of the eight common but demonstrably false worldview beliefs, as posited by Dr. Payne, and assesses his suggestions to alter these idealist canards. The discussion continues from last week's TNV podcast and emphasizes the need for a realistic approach to arms control and the importance of understanding adversaries' motivations in the geopolitical landscape.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Dr. Keith Payne's article "Deterrence and Arms Control: Ending the Deceptive "Holiday from History," exploring the historical context of U.S. nuclear deterrence policy, the failures of idealism in foreign policy, and the need for accountability in Washington. The conversation reviews the first four of the eight common worldview beliefs that are demonstrably false, as posited by Dr. Payne. The discussion, which continues with next week's TNV podcast, emphasizes the need for a realistic approach to arms control and the importance of understanding adversaries' motivations in the geopolitical landscape.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss President Trump's executive order regarding the establishment of an Iron Dome for America, exploring its implications for national security, deterrence theory, and the costs associated with missile defense systems.
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In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss a recent article by Curtis and senior fellow Kirk Fansher about President Trump's 'Peace Through Strength.' They explore the challenges of near-term deterrence enhancement during a sluggish modernization timeline and the necessity of negotiating from a position of strength. The conversation also touches on current workforce and industrial base capabilities and the balance between deterrence and warfighting, emphasizing the need for a new strategic approach to national security.
https://globalsecurityreview.com/peace-through-strength-enhancing-americas-nuclear-deterrence-today/
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In this episode of the NIDS View, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the recent 2025 Nuclear Deterrence Summit, focusing on the challenges faced in nuclear facility construction, the complexities of logistics and oversight, and the cultural shifts within the nuclear policy landscape. They explore the need for a more streamlined approach to nuclear projects, the importance of risk tolerance, and the role of potential international collaboration, particularly in the context of AUKUS.
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Curtis hosts a discussion with Jim and Maj Gen (Ret.) Garrett Harencak, focusing on recent developments in nuclear news, particularly regarding the New START Treaty and Russia's compliance, informal agreements in arms control, Japan's nuclear deterrence strategy, and the importance of extended deterrence in global security.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss an article from SIPRI positing that NATO's conventional precision strike weapon systems are potentially destabilizing, particularly concerning Russia's nukes. They explore their impact on regional deterrence, politics, and defense spending.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim welcome Retired Lieutenant General Inbum Chun to discuss the issue of whether South Korea should develop its own nuclear arsenal in response to the threats posed by North Korea and China
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the implications of the 'America First' policy, contrasting views from Keith Payne and Hal Brands, and the importance of national identity and sovereignty in U.S. governance.
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In this "Best of" episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the recent revelation by CIA and MI6 intel leaders that Putin almost deployed nuclear weapons in the Ukraine conflict in 2022. The hosts discuss the likely targets and effects of such a scenario, as well as the strategic motivations behind it. They also touch on the science of nuclear weapons and the misconceptions surrounding their low-yield use.
Originally recorded: September 11,2024, S02 E91
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Matt Loh's article in Business Insider titled "The nuclear weapons era is making a comeback, and experts say we're all not paying attention." The guys discuss this resurgence of nuclear weapons as a hot topic and the impact the changing strategic environment is making on deterrence and disarmament thinkers alike.
https://www.businessinsider.com/nuclear-weapons-era-comeback-china-us-russia-experts-2024-8
Originally Released: September 4, 2024
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In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the role of artificial intelligence (AI) in nuclear command and control systems, referencing a recent WOTR article that suggests using a risk assessment model similar to that in civilian nuclear power. They examine the challenges of integrating AI into decision-making, the associated human factors, and the potential benefits and risks for nuclear deterrence. The conversation also touches on U.S.-China dynamics concerning AI in nuclear decisions and emphasizes the need for informed discussions about AI technologies.
Disclaimer: The views of the hosts and guests are their own and do not reflect the views of any affiliations they may have.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss a recent article by Madelyn Creedon and Frank Miller that highlights the urgent need for nuclear modernization and suggests bypassing the lengthy process of a 2025 NPR to maintain progress. The conversation explores the advantages and disadvantages of a new NPR and its contribution to timely deterrence strategies, government policies, and its influence on corporate responsiveness within the defense sector.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the implications of Russia's updated nuclear doctrine in light of White House approval to let Ukraine launch US-made ATACMS into Russia and the strategic messaging surrounding the Ukraine conflict.
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In this "Best Of" episode which originally aired on October 9th, 2024, Adam, Curtis, and Jim are joined by Jonathan Cefalu, the founder of Preamble. Mr. Cefalu shares insights on enhancing artificial intelligence (AI) trust, specifically in nuclear command, control, and communications (NC3) systems.
https://warontherocks.com/2023/04/ai-at-war/
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Adam and Curtis discuss possible nuclear deterrence policy under the Trump administration, the potential for increased nuclear participation from allies, and his realist approach to adversaries.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss an article advocating for a minimalist approach to nuclear deterrence as a means of cost savings. The hosts discuss the concept of minimum deterrence in nuclear strategy and address misconceptions about the U.S. nuclear arsenal's effectiveness under a minimalist strategy.
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Curtis hosts former intelligence officer Jim Klingmeyer as they discuss the recent deployment of North Korean troops to Ukraine, the potential for an AI arms race in national security, and the latest DIA intel report.
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