Afleveringen
-
Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg discuss the impact of social media platforms like Twitter, now X, especially under Elon Musk's ownership. They explore the changing political landscape, the dynamics of media personalities, and the evolving role of social media in shaping public discourse and political behavior.
—
π° Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess
π Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse
—
SPONSORS:
π€²πΌ GiveWell spends 50,000 hours every year doing deep-dives into different charitable programs to try to find the ways to do the most good for your dollar. GiveWell has now spent over 17 years researching charitable organizations and only directs funding to a few of the HIGHEST-IMPACT opportunities they’ve found. Visit https://www.givewell.org to find out more or make a donation. (Select PODCAST and enter Econ 102 at checkout to support our show.)
π Discover Carta, the innovative end-to-end accounting platform revolutionizing private fund management with streamlined operations and on-demand insights. Experience the new standard at carta.com/investors.
—
LINKS:
Book: Hatching Twitter: A True Story of Money, Power, Friendship, and Betrayal: https://www.amazon.com/Hatching-Twitter-Story-Friendship-Betrayal/dp/1591847087
Google Paper: Attention Is All You Need: https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper_files/paper/2017/file/3f5ee243547dee91fbd053c1c4a845aa-Paper.pdf
Bismark Analysis: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
—
X / TWITTER:
@eriktorenberg
@samoburja
@turpentinemedia
—
HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:
Peter Thiel's thoughts have significantly influenced tech philosophy.
Twitter's evolution reflects broader societal changes in communication.
Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter highlights the power of individual influence.
Political polarization is exacerbated by social media dynamics.
The future of politics may hinge on personal branding and media personalities.
Censorship in the digital age poses challenges to free speech.
Corporate culture increasingly intersects with political beliefs.
Social media platforms are arenas for elite discourse.
The First Amendment plays a crucial role in protecting online expression.
Political rebranding is becoming more common in the social media landscape. There's a desire to open the digital frontier.
Cultural attitudes towards technology have shifted over the years.
Europe's aging population affects its political dynamism.
The political economy in Europe is in need of reform.
American innovation is often stifled by older generations' preferences.
The left struggles to find its voice in a right-dominated media landscape.
Emerging left-wing voices may arise from unexpected places.
Generational shifts will influence political and cultural dynamics.
The digital age allows for new forms of activism and expression.
The future of left-wing culture may depend on new, charismatic leaders. -
Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg the current situation in Syria, including the impact of President Assad's exile, the role of various factions and foreign powers, and the challenges of establishing a stable government amid ongoing conflict.
—
π° Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess
π Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse
—
SPONSOR:
π€²πΌ GiveWell spends 50,000 hours every year doing deep-dives into different charitable programs to try to find the ways to do the most good for your dollar. GiveWell has now spent over 17 years researching charitable organizations and only directs funding to a few of the HIGHEST-IMPACT opportunities they’ve found. Visit https://www.givewell.org to find out more or make a donation. (Select PODCAST and enter Econ 102 at checkout to support our show.)
π Discover Carta, the innovative end-to-end accounting platform revolutionizing private fund management with streamlined operations and on-demand insights. Experience the new standard at carta.com/investors.
—
LINKS:
Bismark Analysis: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
—
X / TWITTER:
@eriktorenberg
@samoburja
@turpentinemedia
—
HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:
Middle Eastern governments often struggle with instability due to ethnic and religious divisions.
The Syrian civil war exemplifies the challenges of governance in the region.
Assad's fall may not significantly alter the power dynamics in Syria.
Kurdish autonomy is a critical factor in the future of Syria.
Islamist groups pose a significant challenge to stability in the region.
Turkey's ambitions in Syria complicate the geopolitical landscape.
Demographic changes will impact the political future of Syria.
Foreign support has not been effective in sustaining the Assad regime.
The future of Syria is uncertain, with many factions vying for power.
Israel and Turkey's conflicting interests will shape Syria's future. Nationalism is a simple legitimizing political formula.
Arab nationalism struggles due to the lack of unified representation.
Geopolitical challenges hinder the formation of a unified Arab state.
Islamism has emerged as an alternative unifying ideology.
Political projects can lose legitimacy through repeated failures.
The Taliban's legitimacy is rooted in religious authority.
Democracy can be a powerful legitimizing force, even in non-democratic systems.
Supporting stable monarchies may be more effective than backing rebel groups.
Africa's political landscape is influenced by tribal and clan structures.
Demographic changes will significantly impact the future of the Middle East. -
Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
-
Samo Burja and Rudyard Lynch explore global power shifts and the psychological impacts of modernity, drawing parallels between current societal changes and historical patterns from medieval times through the 1600s to analyze contemporary challenges in technology, surveillance, and social control. For full show notes, visit: https://highlightai.com/share/73c93dab-ae97-4cd1-af2b-e71406a6c16b
—
π° Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess
π Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse
—
SPONSOR:
π΅οΈβοΈ Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream
—
LINKS:
Bismark Analysis: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
Whatifalthist YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/Whatifalthist
—
X / TWITTER:
@eriktorenberg
@samoburja
@whatifalthist
@turpentinemedia -
In this episode of Live Players, Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg discuss the dynamics of populism in politics. They analyze its strengths, limitations, and impact on institutions, governments, and political strategies, with a deep dive into historical and contemporary examples, including Trump, Brexit, and Orban's Hungary. For full show notes, visit: https://highlightai.com/share/d47475a8-fe9e-44a1-aa34-83e0621c8f6a
—
π Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse.
—
SPONSOR:
πNotion: Notion offers powerful workflow and automation templates, perfect for streamlining processes and laying the groundwork for AI-driven automation. With Notion AI, you can search across thousands of documents from various platforms, generating highly relevant analysis and content tailored just for you - try it for free at https://notion.com/upstreampod
—
LINKS:
Bismark Analysis: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
—
X / TWITTER:
@samoburja
@eriktorenberg
@turpentinemedia
--
RECOMMENDED PODCAST:
ποΈ Unpack Pricing - Dive into the dark arts of SaaS pricing with Metronome CEO Scott Woody and tech leaders. Learn how strategic pricing drives explosive revenue growth in today's biggest companies like Snowflake, Cockroach Labs, Dropbox and more.
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1765716600
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/38DK3W1Fq1xxQalhDSueFg -
In this episode of Live Players, Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg discuss how Trump's victory signals a new alliance between right-wing politics and tech industry leaders like Elon Musk, while exploring the challenges and opportunities of reforming government institutions through technological innovation. For full show notes, visit: https://highlightai.com/share/c1bed565-e2a0-4a82-bb0b-6bd36b8d673d
—
π Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse.
—
SPONSOR:
πNotion: Notion offers powerful workflow and automation templates, perfect for streamlining processes and laying the groundwork for AI-driven automation. With Notion AI, you can search across thousands of documents from various platforms, generating highly relevant analysis and content tailored just for you - try it for free at https://notion.com/cognitiverevolution
—
LINKS:
Bismark Analysis: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
—
X / TWITTER:
@samoburja
@eriktorenberg
@turpentinemedia
--
RECOMMENDED PODCAST:
ποΈ Unpack Pricing - Dive into the dark arts of SaaS pricing with Metronome CEO Scott Woody and tech leaders. Learn how strategic pricing drives explosive revenue growth in today's biggest companies like Snowflake, Cockroach Labs, Dropbox and more.
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1765716600
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/38DK3W1Fq1xxQalhDSueFg -
Today on Live Players, we’re releasing an interview from Steve Hsu on the Manifold Podcast with Samo Burja. They unravel the complexities of our world, discussing China's rise, Europe's future, and industrial shifts. This episode delves into unique research methods, journalism challenges, and the dynamic ecosystem of Silicon Valley. They explored urbanization impacts, labor shortages, and the evolution of cultural and political movements, and the strategic roles of industry giants, the potential for retired tech experts in science, and the crossroads where intellectual life meets venture capital.
—
π₯ Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://www.turpentinenetwork.co/
—
RECOMMENDED PODCAST:
ποΈ Unpack Pricing - Dive into the dark arts of SaaS pricing with Metronome CEO Scott Woody and tech leaders. Learn how strategic pricing drives explosive revenue growth in today's biggest companies like Snowflake, Cockroach Labs, Dropbox and more.
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1765716600
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/38DK3W1Fq1xxQalhDSueFg
--
SPONSORS:
Weights & Biases Weave is a lightweight AI developer toolkit designed to simplify your LLM app development. With Weave, you can trace and debug input, metadata and output with just 2 lines of code. Make real progress on your LLM development and visit the following link to get started with Weave today: https://wandb.me/cr
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
—
LINKS:
Bismark Analysis: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
Manifold Podcast: https://open.spotify.com/show/3zuFjXkJWBhQeNWYTaCdEX?si=cfe3d9c5c4f94932
—
FOLLOW ON X:
@hsu_steve
@samoburja
@eriktorenberg
@turpentinemedia
—
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(02:22) Discussion on Palladium Magazine
(11:56) Insights on Bismarck Analysis
(19:50) The role of technology and innovation
(20:43) Sponsors: Weights & Biases | Brave
(33:17) Effective altruism and rationalism
(49:53) Global technological collaboration
(50:29) China's strategic moves in tech
(51:34) US and South Korea's strategic options
(53:59) China's provincial strategies
(55:25) China vs. South Korea in various industries
(56:58) The Future of Europe and its challenges
(01:15:08) Urbanization and its impact on fertility
(01:27:15) Intellectual pursuits and modern challenges
(01:37:37) Wrap -
This episode of Live Players centers on the alarming issue of declining fertility rates worldwide, examining specific country examples such as Japan, South Korea, and Turkey, and the societal and technological implications of these demographic changes.
Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg explore potential interventions, such as tax breaks for families, and the possibility of extreme measures like state-managed reproduction programs. They also tackle cultural and economic factors influencing fertility and the urgency of addressing this underpopulation crisis to prevent civilizational collapse.
—
π₯ Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://www.turpentinenetwork.co/
—
SPONSOR:
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
—
LINKS:
Bismark Analysis: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
Who is Portugal For? by Vasco Queirós: https://www.palladiummag.com/2024/02/23/who-is-portugal-for/
The Long Now Foundation: https://longnow.org/
—
FOLLOW ON X:
@eriktorenberg
@samoburja
@turpentinemedia
—
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(00:29) Demographic challenges and fertility crisis
(02:07) Global fertility trends and anomalies
(07:50) The impact of modernity on fertility
(14:04) Future population projections and concerns
(16:52) Sponsor: Brave
(17:56) Life expectancy and healthspan
(22:42) Potential solutions and interventions
(31:17) The implications of declining fertility rates
(34:04) Urbanization and population shifts
(36:19) The future of industrial society
(38:57) AI and human extinction scenarios
(41:51) Cultural and political dynamics of fertility
(50:52) Innovative solutions to population decline
(58:33) The ethics of genetic engineering
(59:53) Wrap -
In this episode of Live Players, Erik Torenberg and Samo Burja discuss the unique role of Palladium Magazine as a non-profit that promotes intellectual and cultural community-building. They highlight the magazine’s focus on 'governance futurism' and the importance of creating new and inspiring thought while remaining non-partisan. They also explore the concept of functional elites and the need to rejuvenate cultural and intellectual scenes, with specific examples from San Francisco's dynamic environment. They also cover the broader social and political implications of modern tech-centric culture and its potential future trajectories.
—
π₯ Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://www.turpentinenetwork.co/
—
RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:
ποΈHistory 102 with WhatifAltHist
Every week, creator of WhatifAltHist Rudyard Lynch and Erik Torenberg cover a major topic in history in depth -- in under an hour. This season will cover classical Greece, early America, the Vikings, medieval Islam, ancient China, the fall of the Roman Empire, and more.
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/36Kqo3BMMUBGTDo1IEYihm
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/history-102-with-whatifalthists-rudyard-lynch-and/id1730633913
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@History102-qg5oj
ποΈComplex Systems with Patrick McKenzie
Patrick McKenzie (@patio11) talks to experts who understand the complicated but not unknowable systems we rely on. You might be surprised at how quickly Patrick and his guests can put you in the top 1% of understanding for stock trading, tech hiring, and more.
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Mos4VE3figVXleHDqfXOH
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/complex-systems-with-patrick-mckenzie-patio11/id1753399812
—
SPONSOR:
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
—
LINKS:
Bismark Analysis: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
Palladium Magazine: https://www.palladiummag.com/
Quit Your Job: https://www.palladiummag.com/2022/01/06/quit-your-job/
—
FOLLOW ON X:
@eriktorenberg
@samoburja
@turpentinemedia
—
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(00:28) The vision behind Palladium Magazine
(00:45) Challenges and opportunities in intellectual projects
(01:46) The role of Palladium in modern discourse
(04:49) Governance futurism and technological change
(14:51) The importance of functional elites
(20:20) Reviving public discourse
(24:29) Intellectual Renaissance in San Francisco
(25:32) Silicon Valley's existential questions
(26:47) The rise of performance art in tech
(28:53) The cultural impact of social media influencers
(31:06) San Francisco's resurgence post-covid
(32:11) The new ethos of tech and housing
(37:59) The role of legacy institutions and succession
(41:44) The importance of writing for intellectual growth
(43:10) Encouraging young intellectuals
(45:41) Conclusion and future discussions -
In today’s episode of Live Players, we’re featuring a discussion between Samo Burja, Rudyard Lynch and Erik Torenberg about the inherent differences between civilizations and their impact on history and politics. They explore the parallels and distinctions between ancient civilizations like Babylon and modern entities like Silicon Valley, the influence of Abrahamic religions, and how societal patterns challenge our current understanding.
—
π₯ Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://www.turpentinenetwork.co/
—
RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:
ποΈHistory 102 with WhatifAltHist
Every week, creator of WhatifAltHist Rudyard Lynch and Erik Torenberg cover a major topic in history in depth -- in under an hour. This season will cover classical Greece, early America, the Vikings, medieval Islam, ancient China, the fall of the Roman Empire, and more.
Subscribe on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/36Kqo3BMMUBGTDo1IEYihm
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/history-102-with-whatifalthists-rudyard-lynch-and/id1730633913
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@History102-qg5oj
ποΈThis Won't Last
Eavesdrop on Keith Rabois, Kevin Ryan, Logan Bartlett, and Zach Weinberg's monthly backchannel. They unpack their hottest takes on the future of tech, business, venture, investing, and politics.
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/this-wont-last-with-keith-rabois-kevin-ryan-logan/id1765665937
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2HwSNeVLL1MXy0RjFPyOSz
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ThisWontLastpodcast
ποΈComplex Systems with Patrick McKenzie
Patrick McKenzie (@patio11) talks to experts who understand the complicated but not unknowable systems we rely on. You might be surprised at how quickly Patrick and his guests can put you in the top 1% of understanding for stock trading, tech hiring, and more.
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Mos4VE3figVXleHDqfXOH
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/complex-systems-with-patrick-mckenzie-patio11/id1753399812
—
SPONSOR:
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
—
LINKS:
Bismark Analysis: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
Whatifalthist YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/Whatifalthist
—
FOLLOW ON X:
@eriktorenberg
@samoburja
@whatifalthist
@turpentinemedia
—
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(00:29) A deep dive into civilizational differences
(03:11) The influence of Abrahamic religions
(07:53) Classical vs. modern western civilization
(12:21) The rise and fall of civilizations
(16:59) Literacy and its impact on societies
(20:30) Sponsor: Brave
(26:20) Modern civilization and its roots
(40:41) The future of religion and technology
(52:21) Obscure civilizations and their impact
(57:05) Wrap -
This week on Live Players, Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg debate the merit and harms of globalization. They explore the implications of Peter Thiel's views on globalization potentially hindering innovation, and analyze the historical context and current impacts of globalization on innovation, trade, and political stability. They also discuss the resilience and adaptability of different economic policies, the role of regional industries, and the influence of technological advancements on global power dynamics.
—
π₯ Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://www.turpentinenetwork.co/
—
RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:
ποΈThis Won't Last
Eavesdrop on Keith Rabois, Kevin Ryan, Logan Bartlett, and Zach Weinberg's monthly backchannel. They unpack their hottest takes on the future of tech, business, venture, investing, and politics.
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/this-wont-last-with-keith-rabois-kevin-ryan-logan/id1765665937
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2HwSNeVLL1MXy0RjFPyOSz
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ThisWontLastpodcast
ποΈComplex Systems with Patrick McKenzie
Patrick McKenzie (@patio11) talks to experts who understand the complicated but not unknowable systems we rely on. You might be surprised at how quickly Patrick and his guests can put you in the top 1% of understanding for stock trading, tech hiring, and more.
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Mos4VE3figVXleHDqfXOH
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/complex-systems-with-patrick-mckenzie-patio11/id1753399812
—
SPONSOR:
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
—
FOLLOW:
Samo Burja:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/samo-burja
Twitter: https://twitter.com/SamoBurja
Erik Torenberg:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/eriktorenberg/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 Intro
00:28 The debate on globalization
02:21 Economic impacts of globalization
09:01 Historical context of global trade
16:26 Political implications of globalization
22:07 Future of globalization and political centralization
27:33 Sponsor: Brave
28:40 Potential scenarios for World War III
34:46 The rise of network states
44:42 Populism and immigration policies
49:46 Wrap -
In this episode of Live Players, we’re releasing a conversation between Nathan Labenz of the Cognitive Revolution Podcast and Samo Burja on the strategic dynamics of artificial intelligence through a geopolitical lens. They discuss AI's trajectory, the chip supply chain, US-China relations, and the challenges of AI safety and militarization.
π₯ Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://www.turpentinenetwork.co/
—
RECOMMENDED PODCAST:
ποΈ This Won't Last - Eavesdrop on Keith Rabois, Kevin Ryan, Logan Bartlett, and Zach Weinberg's monthly backchannel. They unpack their hottest takes on the future of tech, business, venture, investing, and politics.
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1765665937
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2HwSNeVLL1MXy0RjFPyOSz
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ThisWontLastpodcast
—
SPONSOR:
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
—
LINKS:
The Cognitive Revolution Website: https://www.cognitiverevolution.ai
Bismarck Analysis: https://www.bismarckanalysis.com/
Subscribe to the Bismarck Brief: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
—
FOLLOW:
Nathan Labenz:
Twitter (Podcast): https://twitter.com/cogrev_podcast
Twitter (Nathan): https://twitter.com/labenz
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nathanlabenz/
Samo Burja:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/samo-burja
Twitter: https://twitter.com/SamoBurja
—
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(01:11) The evolution and Impact of AI
(03:17) Scientific progress and AI
(09:41) The role of AI scientists
(11:57) Challenges in AI development
(18:24) Sponsor: Brave
(19:27) The economic impact of generative AI
(23:49) The Cambrian Explosion of different definitions of intelligence
(28:23) Strategic advice for national governments on AI
(37:05) US-China economic competition
(40:38) Other live players in the global AI landscape
(41:34) The rise of Indian and European AI giants
(44:51) The origins and implications of US-China AI Rivalry
(46:57) The chip ban and its consequences
(48:57) Strategies for US technological leadership
(50:07) The role of ideological diversity in AI development
(53:53) Avoiding the AI arms race
(57:45) The future of AI: weaponization vs. peaceful applications
(01:12:57) Open source and global coordination
(01:13:56) Generative AI in personal workflows
(01:17:33) Wrap -
In this episode of Live Players, Erik Torenberg and Samo Burja are joined by Ben Landau-Taylor, a Senior Analyst at Bismarck Analysis. Ben recently published an article in Palladium Magazine about the pervasive problem of fraud in academia. They discussed how fraudulent activities, particularly in medical research, often go undetected due to flawed peer review processes and institutional protectionism. They explore key cases, and possible solutions, including external watchdogs, intellectual authorities and regulatory bodies in maintaining academic integrity.
π₯ Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplogxqz0y.typeform.com/to/JCkphVqj
—
RECOMMENDED PODCAST:
ποΈ This Won't Last - Eavesdrop on Keith Rabois, Kevin Ryan, Logan Bartlett, and Zach Weinberg's monthly backchannel. They unpack their hottest takes on the future of tech, business, venture, investing, and politics.
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1765665937
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2HwSNeVLL1MXy0RjFPyOSz
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ThisWontLastpodcast
—
SPONSOR:
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
—
LINKS:
The Academic Culture of Fraud: https://www.palladiummag.com/2024/08/02/the-academic-culture-of-fraud/
Bismarck Brief: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
Bismarck Analysis: https://www.bismarckanalysis.com/
—
FOLLOW:
Ben Landau-Taylor:
Website: https://www.benlandautaylor.com/
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ben-landau-taylor-19a00056/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/benlandautaylor
Samo Burja:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/samo-burja
Twitter: https://twitter.com/SamoBurja
Erik Torrenberg:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/eriktorenberg/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg
—
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(01:32) Ben’s article: "The Academic Culture of Fraud" in Palladium magazine
(03:36) Examples of fraudulent studies and researchers (Sylvain Lesné case)
(05:29) Incentives and cultural factors enabling fraud
(07:35) Historical context and modern academia
(10:46) Scientific fraud and its consequences
(12:48) Intellectual authority and legitimacy
(19:50) Sponsor: Brave
(26:49) External pressure on academia
(28:52) Role of journalism and other institutions in exposing academic fraud
(31:24) The need for external oversight in academia
(32:12) The complex relationship between the government and academia
(34:13) Proposals for scientific integrity
(39:56) Challenges in science and bureaucracy
(43:21) Nonprofit solutions for scientific fraud
(49:42) Venture capital and scientific integrity
(54:02) Overview of Bismarck Analysis and its work in strategic research & consulting
(56:54) Wrap -
In this episode of Live Players, Erik Torenberg and Samo Burja explore why mass immigration may not solve Europe's economic woes.
They talk about cultural assimilation difficulties, political tensions, and potential long-term consequences for European societies.
---
This show is produced by Turpentine: a network of podcasts, newsletters, and more, covering technology, business, and culture — all from the perspective of industry insiders and experts. We’re launching new shows every week, and we’re looking for industry-leading sponsors — if you think that might be you and your company, email us at [email protected].
---
RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:
ποΈ This Won't Last - Eavesdrop on Keith Rabois, Kevin Ryan, Logan Bartlett, and Zach Weinberg's monthly backchannel. They unpack their hottest takes on the future of tech, business, venture, investing, and politics.
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1765665937
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2HwSNeVLL1MXy0RjFPyOSz
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ThisWontLastpodcast
---
SPONSORS:
π Ready to achieve your 2024 goals? Start learning a new language with Babbel in just three weeks. Enjoy app lessons, live classes, and podcasts designed for real-world conversations. Get up to 60% off at Babbel.com/torenberg
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
---
LINKS:
Subscribe to Bismarck Brief: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
---
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:39) Challenges of European Immigration
(00:41) Historical Context and Current Events
(01:26) Integration and Multiculturalism
(06:54) Labor Markets and Economic Impact
(21:44) Questioning Immigration as a Solution
(27:12) Sponsor: Babbel | Brave
(29:40) Proposed Solutions and Predictions
(41:38) Final Thoughts and Next Steps
(48:56) Conclusion -
In this episode of Live Players, Erik Torenberg and Samo Burja dive deep into the complex transformation of Eastern Europe since the fall of communism. They discuss the region's economic evolution from small business-driven economies to potential tech hubs, examine how countries like Poland balance traditional values with Western influences, and analyze the impact of EU integration. Samo offers predictions about Eastern Europe's economic growth, social changes, and geopolitical alignments, providing a comprehensive look at one of Europe's most dynamic regions and its place on the global stage.
---
This show is produced by Turpentine: a network of podcasts, newsletters, and more, covering technology, business, and culture — all from the perspective of industry insiders and experts. We’re launching new shows every week, and we’re looking for industry-leading sponsors — if you think that might be you and your company, email us at [email protected].
---
RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:
ποΈ This Won't Last - Eavesdrop on Keith Rabois, Kevin Ryan, Logan Bartlett, and Zach Weinberg's monthly backchannel. They unpack their hottest takes on the future of tech, business, venture, investing, and politics.
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1765665937
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2HwSNeVLL1MXy0RjFPyOSz
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ThisWontLastpodcast
---
SPONSORS:
π Ready to achieve your 2024 goals? Start learning a new language with Babbel in just three weeks. Enjoy app lessons, live classes, and podcasts designed for real-world conversations. Get up to 60% off at Babbel.com/torenberg
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
---
LINKS:
Subscribe to Bismarck Brief: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
---
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(00:28) Diving into Eastern Europe
(00:48) Old Europe vs. New Europe
(02:06) Political and cultural divides
(02:22) Nuclear energy and policy differences
(03:37) Immigration policies and economic impact
(05:41) Economic growth in Eastern Europe
(07:41) Demographic challenges and migration
(08:47) Western Europe's dependency on Eastern Europe
(11:45) Taxation and business environment
(15:07) Sponsors: Babbel | Brave
(22:19) Small business and political landscape
(24:04) Education and credentialism
(27:46) Comparing nationalism and economic models in Europe
(28:33) Generational shifts in Eastern Europe
(29:46) Gender norms and education in Eastern Europe
(34:46) Westernization and cultural convergence
(36:59) Future economic and social trends in Eastern Europe
(39:13) Influence of American ideology and media
(53:08) Geopolitical dynamics and defense industry
(55:14) Wrap -
In this episode of Live Players, Erik Torenberg and Samo Burja dive deep into the European Union. They examine the bloc's historical foundation centered on peace and economic prosperity, contrasting its ambitious goals with its current realities. They discuss EU's challenges, including a fragmented digital market, inconsistencies in labor and defense policies, and bureaucratic hurdles. They also explore Brexit's impact, the interplay between the EU and NATO, and the implications of energy policies, immigration, and the possibility of a European superstate.
—
RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:
ποΈ This Won't Last - Eavesdrop on Keith Rabois, Kevin Ryan, Logan Bartlett, and Zach Weinberg's monthly backchannel. They unpack their hottest takes on the future of tech, business, venture, investing, and politics.
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1765665937
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2HwSNeVLL1MXy0RjFPyOSz
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ThisWontLastpodcast
—
SPONSORS:
π₯ Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.
π Ready to achieve your 2024 goals? Start learning a new language with Babbel in just three weeks. Enjoy app lessons, live classes, and podcasts designed for real-world conversations. Get up to 60% off at https://babbel.com/torenberg
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
—
LINKS:
Subscribe to Bismarck Brief - https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
The American Challenge: https://www.amazon.com/American-Challenge-Jean-Jacques-Servan-Schreiber/dp/0689102461
—
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(00:28) The Origins and Goals of the EU
(01:56) Economic Challenges and Market Scale
(04:57) Digital and Labor Market Fragmentation
(08:18) The Vision of a European Super State
(12:54) European Defense and Foreign Policy
(18:24) Scientific and Industrial Policy in the EU
(23:56) SPONSORS: Babbel | Brave
(26:21) Brexit: Expectations vs. Reality
(30:22) Economic and Political Tensions in Europe
(33:05) The Future of the EU: Scenarios and Predictions
(35:26) Challenges of EU Expansion and Decision Making
(36:54) Energy Policies and Geopolitical Implications
(42:48) The Future of European Integration
(44:55) The Role of Higher Education in Europe
(51:41) Multiculturalism and Immigration in Europe
(58:46) Thoughts on European Integration
(59:49) Wrap -
In this episode of Live Players, Erik Torenberg and Samo Burja tackle the pressing challenges for the next U.S. president, focusing on bureaucratic inefficiencies and the need for reform. They discuss foreign policy, including managing relations with China, reassessing military strategies, and fostering economic alliances. They also address the inefficiencies in the non-profit sector's handling of social services and suggest innovative solutions such as creating special economic zones to boost manufacturing. They cover energy policy, advocating for cost-effective nuclear power and shifting defense priorities toward affordable drone technology.
---
This show is produced by Turpentine: a network of podcasts, newsletters, and more, covering technology, business, and culture — all from the perspective of industry insiders and experts. We’re launching new shows every week, and we’re looking for industry-leading sponsors — if you think that might be you and your company, email us at [email protected].
--
RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:
ποΈ1 to 100 | Hypergrowth Companies Worth Joining
Every week we sit down with the founder of a hyper-growth company you should consider joining. Our goal is to give you the inside story behind breakout, early stage companies potentially worth betting your career on. This season, discover how the founders of Modal Labs, Clay, Mercor, and more built their products, cultures, and companies.
Spotify:https://open.spotify.com/show/70NOWtWDY995C8qDqojxGw
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/id1762756034
-
π£ COMPLEX SYSTEMS
Patrick McKenzie (@patio11) talks to experts who understand the complicated but not unknowable systems we rely on. You might be surprised at how quickly Patrick and his guests can put you in the top 1% of understanding for stock trading, tech hiring, and more.
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Mos4VE3figVXleHDqfXOH
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/complex-systems-with-patrick-mckenzie-patio11/id1753399812
--
SPONSORS:
Head to Beehiiv, the newsletter platform built for growth, to power your own. Connect with premium brands, scale your audience, and deliver a beautiful UX that stands out in an inbox. π https://Beehiiv.com and use code "MOZ" for 20% off your first three months
π Ready to achieve your 2024 goals? Start learning a new language with Babbel in just three weeks. Enjoy app lessons, live classes, and podcasts designed for real-world conversations. Get up to 60% off at Babbel.com/torenberg
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
---
LINKS:
Live Players | Brazil: A Country of the Future? - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6P7jFeNiAk&list=PLEG8Q6Fb-Gi1Vz-zb0Bvbj5zaeg7voiOP
---
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(00:29) Analyzing U.S. Political Challenges
(00:50) Bureaucratic Breakdown in America
(03:02) Potential for Reform and Presidential Impact
(04:11) Comparing U.S. and International Politics
(07:43) Left and Right Wing Reform Perspectives
(13:17) Corruption and Nonprofit Sector Issues
(16:31) SPONSORS: beehiiv | Babbel
(19:01) Historical Patterns of U.S. Governance
(25:24) Advise for the Next US President
(28:37) Economic Decoupling from China
(29:03) Nuclear Energy as a National Priority
(32:54) SPONSOR: Brave
(33:56) Foreign Policy: Russia, Ukraine and the Middle East
(44:15) Restructuring the U.S. Air Force
(46:07) Special Economic Zones in the U.S.
(52:59) Building a Competitive Manufacturing Base
(53:36) Wrap -
In this episode, Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg talk about why Brazil hasn't lived up to its expectations as a global powerhouse. Despite having immense natural resources, a large population, and a favorable geographic position, Brazil's industrialization has been stymied by high crime rates, severe corruption, and political dysfunction. They dig into Brazil's missed opportunities for industrialization and modernization, comparing its circumstances with other countries like China, Japan, and those in Africa and Latin America.
---
This show is produced by Turpentine: a network of podcasts, newsletters, and more, covering technology, business, and culture — all from the perspective of industry insiders and experts. We’re launching new shows every week, and we’re looking for industry-leading sponsors — if you think that might be you and your company, email us at [email protected].
---
RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:
ποΈ1 to 100 | Hypergrowth Companies Worth Joining
Every week we sit down with the founder of a hyper-growth company you should consider joining. Our goal is to give you the inside story behind breakout, early stage companies potentially worth betting your career on. This season, discover how the founders of Modal Labs, Clay, Mercor, and more built their products, cultures, and companies.
Spotify:https://open.spotify.com/show/70NOWtWDY995C8qDqojxGw
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/id1762756034
-
π£ COMPLEX SYSTEMS
Patrick McKenzie (@patio11) talks to experts who understand the complicated but not unknowable systems we rely on. You might be surprised at how quickly Patrick and his guests can put you in the top 1% of understanding for stock trading, tech hiring, and more.
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Mos4VE3figVXleHDqfXOH
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/complex-systems-with-patrick-mckenzie-patio11/id1753399812
---
SPONSORS:
π Ready to achieve your 2024 goals? Start learning a new language with Babbel in just three weeks. Enjoy app lessons, live classes, and podcasts designed for real-world conversations. Get up to 60% off at Babbel.com/torenberg
Head to Beehiiv, the newsletter platform built for growth, to power your own. Connect with premium brands, scale your audience, and deliver a beautiful UX that stands out in an inbox. π https://Beehiiv.com and use code "MOZ" for 20% off your first three months
Get first-party targeting with Brave's private ad platform: cookieless and future proof ad formats for all your business needs. Performance meets privacy. Head to https://brave.com/brave-ads/ and mention “MoZ” when signing up for a 25% discount on your first campaign.
---
LINKS:
The Roots of Brazil’s Long Stagnation - https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-roots-of-brazils-long-stagnation
Popular social media network in Brazil - Orkut
FOLLOW US ON X:
@eriktorenberg (Erik)
@samoburja (Samo)
@turpentinemedia (Turpentine)
---
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(00:28) Brazil: A Country of Untapped Potential
(00:51) Historical Context and Geopolitical Fundamentals
(03:36) The Need for Industrialization
(04:29) Corruption and Political Dysfunction
(09:48) The Impact of Aging Demographics
(13:30) Imagining Alternative Histories for Brazil
(17:12) SPONSORS: Babbel | beehiiv
(26:16) The BRICS Illusion
(27:35) The Future of Brazil's Government
(28:17) Technocratic Possibilities and Challenges
(29:40) Imitating Western Governments without Understanding Functionality
(30:30) Comparing Brazil to Other Nations
(31:50) SPONSOR: Brave
(37:35) Lessons for Other Countries
(37:47) Imitating Western Governments
(49:28) Brazil's Potential as a Superpower
(51:49) Comparing Brazil to Other LatAm Countries
(54:12) The Bull and Bear Case for Brazil
(56:44) Wrap -
In this episode, Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg discuss China's energy strategy and its broader geopolitical implications. Contrary to popular belief, China is not aggressively pursuing energy independence but remains reliant on imports despite significant domestic oil production. The conversation delves into China's geopolitical strategy, its military preparedness, and the potential consequences of a conflict over Taiwan. The episode also explores the broader implications of a potential U.S.-China industrial competition and the risks of a bipolar world.
---
This show is produced by Turpentine: a network of podcasts, newsletters, and more, covering technology, business, and culture — all from the perspective of industry insiders and experts. We’re launching new shows every week, and we’re looking for industry-leading sponsors — if you think that might be you and your company, email us at [email protected].
---
RECOMMENDED PODCAST:
ποΈ Second Opinion - A new podcast for health-tech insiders from Christina Farr of the Second Opinion newsletter. Join Christina Farr, Luba Greenwood, and Ash Zenooz every week as they challenge industry experts with tough questions about the best bets in health-tech.
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1759267211
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0A8NwQE976s32zdBbZw6bv
---
SPONSORS:
Head to Beehiiv, the newsletter platform built for growth, to power your own. Connect with premium brands, scale your audience, and deliver a beautiful UX that stands out in an inbox. π https://Beehiiv.com and use code "MOZ" for 20% off your first three months
π Ready to achieve your 2024 goals? Start learning a new language with Babbel in just three weeks. Enjoy app lessons, live classes, and podcasts designed for real-world conversations. Get up to 60% off at Babbel.com/torenberg
---
REFERENCED ARTICLES:
“China Isn’t Pursuing Energy Independence” https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/china-isnt-pursuing-energy-independence
---
LINKS:
Samo’s Bismarck Brief: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
---
FOLLOW US ON X:
@eriktorenberg (Erik)
@samoburja (Samo)
@turpentinemedia (Turpentine)
---
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(00:28) China's Energy Strategy: Pursuit of Economic Growth over Energy Independence
(01:53) The Potential of China's Domestic Oil Resources
(05:14) China's Economic Priorities
(05:59) China's Relationship with Iran and Russia
(08:53) Why It’s Important for China to Achieve Resource Independence
(12:27) Strategic Miscalculations and the Risk of Conflict with China
(16:15) SPONSORS: Beehiiv | Babel
(19:00) China's War Likelihood Perception
(20:34) China's Military and Economic Strategy
(25:56) Potential Conflicts in East Asia
(28:52) The Role of Industrial Capacity in Modern Warfare
(31:10) The United States' Strategic Dilemma with China
(33:32) China's Military Preparations and Oil Resources
(38:48) The Taiwan Conflict: Economic and Military Implications
(48:20) Strategic Competition and the Future of Global Power
(51:20) The Sustainability of a Bipolar World
(55:13) Wrap -
Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg discuss the enduring influence of cities on human civilization, exploring their role as the longest-lived human institutions and their impact on social and political structures. They also examine the common criticisms of modern cities like San Francisco, their political landscape and the legacy of Democratic and Republican policies.
π₯ Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplogxqz0y.typeform.com/to/JCkphVqj
--
RECOMMENDED PODCAST:
ποΈ Second Opinion - A new podcast for health-tech insiders from Christina Farr of the Second Opinion newsletter. Join Christina Farr, Luba Greenwood, and Ash Zenooz every week as they challenge industry experts with tough questions about the best bets in health-tech.
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1759267211
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0A8NwQE976s32zdBbZw6bv
--
SPONSORS:
π Ready to achieve your 2024 goals? Start learning a new language with Babbel in just three weeks. Enjoy app lessons, live classes, and podcasts designed for real-world conversations. Get up to 60% off at Babbel.com/torenberg
--
LINKS:
Samo’s Bismarck Brief:
https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
The City Makes the Civilization: https://www.palladiummag.com/2024/05/31/the-city-makes-the-civilization/
--
FOLLOW US ON X:
@eriktorenberg (Erik)
@samoburja (Samo)
@turpentinemedia (Turpentine)
--
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(00:30) Enduring nature of cities
(04:27) Misunderstandings about modern cities
(06:33) Political dynamics in urban areas
(13:50) Sponsor: Babbel
(15:17) Charter cities and network states
(23:12) Digital and physical interplay of cities
(27:07) Future of urban development
(36:59) Overhaul in government staffing
(39:39) Refounding on industrial civilization
(47:19) Wrap -
Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg talk about the decline of Boeing. They discuss Boeing's recent troubles, including fatal crashes and maintenance problems, and how these issues reflect broader concerns about U.S. industrial and military capabilities. The conversation also covers the impact of globalization on Boeing's manufacturing processes, competition with Airbus and emerging Chinese aerospace companies, and the need for innovation and industrial discipline. This detailed analysis provides valuable insights into the challenges and future prospects of the U.S. aerospace sector. Please note there is a small error at the beginning of the discussion when Samo mixed up the 737 Max with 787 Dreamliner, but Samo's original analysis of the 737 Max crash is correct in his Bismarck Brief upon which this episode is based - check it out https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-decay-of-boeing
π₯ Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplogxqz0y.typeform.com/to/JCkphVqj
--
RECOMMENDED PODCAST:
ποΈ Second Opinion - A new podcast for health-tech insiders from Christina Farr of the Second Opinion newsletter. Join Christina Farr, Luba Greenwood, and Ash Zenooz every week as they challenge industry experts with tough questions about the best bets in health-tech.
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1759267211
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0A8NwQE976s32zdBbZw6bv
--
SPONSORS:
BEEHIIV
π Head to Beehiiv, the newsletter platform built for growth, to power your own. Connect with premium brands, scale your audience, and deliver a beautiful UX that stands out in an inbox. Go to https://beehiiv.com and use code “MOZ” for 20% off your first three months
--
LINKS:
Samo’s Bismarck Brief:
https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/
The Decay of Boeing:
https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-decay-of-boeing
--
FOLLOW US ON X:
@eriktorenberg (Erik)
@samoburja (Samo)
@turpentinemedia (Turpentine)
--
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:40) The Boeing 737 Crashes
(03:09) Boeing's Market Position and Risks
(18:10) Sponsors: Beehiiv
(20:18) Boeing's Future
(24:19) US Aerospace Decline
(30:36) Lessons from Airbus
(43:31) Bismarck Brief on the Decay of Boeing
(47:05) Wrap - Laat meer zien
