Afleveringen
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It looks like the FED is on a mission to crash the real estate market, but will it happen? Let's take a look at 3 things that give us a clearer picture of what is happening in the real estate market right now.
We'll dive into a Fortune Magazine article that outlines these things for you starting with the regional housing markets that are dropping fast and a lot of them tend to be in California.
Fortune Magazine Article: https://fortune.com/2022/09/18/housing-market-downturn-moves-into-second-stage-falling-home-prices/
#housing #realestate #TristanAhumada #RealestateCrash #RealEstateCorrection #HousingMarket
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If you've been following the news you are probably confused as to what's actually happening. We are hearing two sides to the real estate market. Will it crash or will it "normalize"?
From the data points we have studied and researched we definitely don't see a crash, but we know that the real estate market is regional and different areas will be affected more so than others. Come with me as I dive into some data with you so you can understand what's really happening.
Redfin Article on Housing Market Update. New Listing fall 12%https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-new-listings-fall-12pct/
Fortune Magazine article on The market not crashinghttps://fortune.com/2022/08/08/new-home-prices-falling-homebuilders-oversupply/
California Stats are behind a paid wall for Real Estate Agents on CAR.org
#HousingMarket #HousingMarketUpdate #TristanAhumada
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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Real Estate is a very perplexing thing right now. One minute it's going to crash, the next it's going to keep going up... Mortgage rates fell hard this week and according to Bank of America's research team, the rates will continue to drop.
Are we in a recession? If we're not then what will that do to Mortgages and to real estate? Some great questions that we are going to dive into right now. Let's talk Real Estate.
The housing market correction takes an unexpected turnhttps://fortune.com/2022/08/02/housing-market-correction-mortgage-rates/
What is a recession? https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/recession.asp
Mortgage Applications start picking up again, just a tiny bithttps://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/03/mortgage-applications-inch-up-for-the-first-time-in-five-weeks.html
#Recession #RealEstateCrash #MortgageRates #Tristanahumada #RealEstate
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It's here! We have more data and we can now dive into what is going to happen. The housing market has definitely taken a hit in the last few months. Mortgage rates are up and price cuts are practically everywhere. What you aren't realizing though, is that the housing market is regional.
Let's take a look at this interactive map put together by Fortune Magazine with the data from Corelogic. We will take a look at areas on the West Coast and the East Coast to better understand what cities will be hit the most, and which ones won't be hit.
Falling home prices? This interactive map shows the statistical odds of it occurring in your local housing market:https://fortune.com/2022/07/24/how-likely-home-prices-to-fall-in-you-local-housing-market-housing-chart/
#Housing #TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Investing #HousingCrash
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Homebuyer competition drops to the lowest level since 2020. The top three areas that now have lower competition according to Redfin Data are Tampa, Riverside, and Phoenix.
The list-to-sell ratio is still high in many areas, over 100% although we have seen price cuts all throughout the housing market across the United States. Let's see what the numbers say for each of these areas.
Articles I talked about and usedRedfin Data on the home competition in the United States. Homebuyer Competition Drops to Lowest Level in Over Two Years.https://www.redfin.com/news/real-estate-bidding-wars-june-2022/
List/Sell Ratio and what does it meanhttps://www.beverly-hanks.com/blog/what-is-a-list-to-sell-ratio-and-what-does-it-tell-a-homebuyer-or-seller/
List/Sell Ratio stats over the yearshttps://www.statista.com/statistics/1242369/home-sale-to-list-price-ratio-usa/
The Median Sale Price is up againhttps://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/existing-home-sales-slid-5-4-in-june
The Median Home Price for existing homes sold is up.https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/20/june-home-sales-fall-5point4percent-from-may-as-prices-set-yet-another-record.html
#TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Crash #Bubble #Economy #Inflation #RealEstate2022 #RealEstateAgents
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The housing market index is down. The FED talking about raising rates by 1%, how will this affect Real Estate this year. Some areas are going to get hit more than others, but does that mean some cities will crash?
Will all of the metro areas suffer a crash? Let's dig into some data and see what's happening in the world today. Real Estate is changing fast. Dig in with me on another episode of the Real Estate show!
What is a housing Bubblehttps://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/housing_bubble.asp
Housing Market Meltdown. Home builders halt constructionhttps://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2022/07/18/housing-market-meltdown-intensifies-homebuilders-halt-construction-as-confidence-plunges-to-2-year-low/?sh=38f331fc6756
Monthly supply of new houses according to FRED DATAhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MSACSR
Boise and Phoenix look like they are overvalued when it comes to real estatehttps://fortune.com/2022/07/18/bubbly-housing-markets-boise-phoenix-got-home-price-top-blown-off/
Investors for real estate show patternshttps://fortune.com/2022/06/26/housing-market-and-home-price-boom-made-bigger-by-investors-and-wall-street/
Migration patterns during the pandemichttps://www.redfin.com/news/migration-inflation-q2-2022/
Altos research data and what's happening in Real Estatehttps://twitter.com/mikesimonsen/status/1549119707147407361/photo/1
NAHB Ceo says we are short on housing. Dramatically short. https://www.foxbusiness.com/real-estate/grim-outlook-housing-market-nahb-ceo-warns
Dave Ramsey explains the current market and where we are heading in Real Estatehttps://youtu.be/fORUvZNm3oo
#TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Crash #Bubble #Economy #Inflation #RealEstate2022 #RealEstateAgents
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Is there or is there not a housing shortage in the US? With home prices going down and fewer people buying homes, how does it make sense that there is a housing shortage? Let's talk about housing and some numbers so we can see what's going on there.
As far as the mortgage rate goes, what can we anticipate to happen when we hit a recession in the US? Will rates go higher and if so how high will they go? Let's use some data and also check what typically happens in the past when it comes to a recession and real estate.
NPR Article on housing shortages in the United States. https://www.npr.org/2022/07/14/1109345201/theres-a-massive-housing-shortage-across-the-u-s-heres-how-bad-it-is-where-you-l
Wall Street Journal Article on Why Mortgage Rates fall during a recession. https://www.wsj.com/articles/mortgage-rates-fall-to-5-30-reflecting-recession-fears-11657202418
Investopedia on recession and mortgage rates. https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/102015/do-interest-rates-increase-during-recession.asp
Dave Ramsey talking about a housing shortage and the housing crash. Minute 13:19https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fORUvZNm3oo&t=1347s
NAR stats on housing inventory. Including active homes on the MLS and new constructionhttps://cdn.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/documents/ehs-05-2022-overview-2022-06-21.pdf
#2022recession #growth #Tristan #economy #HousingCrash #Housingbubble #Crash #TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Coach
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I've got the 10 Metro areas in the USA that are cooling the fastest and the 10 Cities that are cooling the slowest. You're going to be surprised. The market seems to be cooling down and it also looks like we're heading into a neutral market.
Questions about the coming housing crash? Although people relate the housing crash of 2008 to what's happening now, the correlation is incorrect. Let's use data over drama please and look at what's actually happening.
10 US real estate markets decreasing quickly and 10 USA real estate markets decreasing slowly. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/12/us-real-estate-markets-that-are-cooling-the-fastest.html
Housing Market Data for July 2022 by Redfinhttps://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-balance-returning/
Should I wait for real estate prices to crash before I buy a house?https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wait-real-estate-prices-crash-200500170.html
#2022Recession #economy #HousingCrash #Housingbubble #Crash #TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Coach
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Mortgage rates are falling, but it may not be a good reason behind the drop. In this session, we will talk about 6 things you should know about the housing market for July 2022. We will talk about the Mortgage Rates and we will talk a little bit about the current housing market in the United States.
We'll dive into two articles really quickly and get you the information you need so you know what's happening for the day when it comes to housing in the United States.
Forbes Magazine showing that Black Knight Data on Market Stats and how the housing market won't be crashing: https://www.forbes.com/advisor/mortgages/mortgage-rates-drop-july-7/
Market Watch Article on 6 Things You Should know about the market, I don't agree with all of these things, but here's the article: https://www.marketwatch.com/picks/im-the-director-of-forecasting-for-the-national-association-of-realtors-here-are-6-things-you-should-know-about-the-housing-market-now-01656706585
Wall Street Journal Article on Interest Rates Dropping and why they are dropping. Mortgage Rates are tied to the 10 Year Treasury Yield and if a recession hits interest rates will probably drop for mortgages: https://www.wsj.com/articles/mortgage-rates-fall-to-5-30-reflecting-recession-fears-11657202418
#2022Recession #economy #HousingCrash #Housingbubble #Crash #TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Coach
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I'm listening to a lot of people freaking out about the housing market possibly crashing. A lot of these people are smart people too, but the fear is based on a lack of data and knowledge. A lot of the fear comes from emotion attached to fear or the desire to capitalize on a projected opportunity that may never happen.
As we stare into the summer housing market one thing is adamantly clear, there is no housing crash coming as of right now. In fact, as you dig into the data you also find that real estate is regional and it's a supply issue more than a demand issue. Dig into the housing market of 2022 with me.
Altos Research Graphs by Mike Simonsonhttps://twitter.com/mikesimonsen/status/1544382251923714050/photo/1
Chairman Powell talking about housing prices going up still on Minute 55https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IlfEJrG96b4&t=0s
Fox News saying interest rates won't go up past 4%https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/mortgage-rates-unlikely-rise-2022
Bar Graph showing Last 6 Recessionshttps://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1nVL_8Gn7i77HDugMkAwMeuQOiKhJFp_oWTvRHpM6sV4/edit?usp=sharing
What the housing market correction will do by 2023. The Fortune Magazine Articlehttps://fortune.com/2022/07/04/housing-market-2023-predictions-home-prices-2023-forecast/#2022Recession #economy #HousingCrash #Housingbubble #Crash #TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Coach
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There are typically four phases in a real estate cycle, but we're in the middle of something that is outside the typical cycle. Demand is high, yet Mortgage interest rates are higher than they've been for years.
How will this affect the real estate market? Let me explain by sharing this great article and some data with you. Are you ready?
We've skipped a key phase in the typical real-estate cycle — and next up is a recession. Business Insider Article: https://www.businessinsider.com/next-housing-market-crisis-recession-real-estate-cycle-prices-slow-2022-5
Mike Simonson and Altos Research Graph on home prices going up over the years:
https://twitter.com/mikesimonsen/status/1541497206070382592/photo/1
#2022 #economy #Housing Crash #bubble #Crash #TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Coach
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It's no surprise to anyone that was paying attention to how big of an impact investors were on the housing demand and supply. They ate up a good portion of the homes that were for sale and made it harder for first-time homebuyers to buy a home.
Let's take a look at how big of a chunk they were taking and what's happening now. Let's also talk about where the real estate market will go from here.
Redfin Article showing investor activity
https://www.redfin.com/news/investor-home-purchases-q1-2022/
Fortune Magazine not realizing that investors made a big part of the pandemic real estate market
https://fortune.com/2022/06/26/housing-market-and-home-price-boom-made-bigger-by-investors-and-wall-street/?queryly=related_article
Dave Ramsey agreeing with me about the housing market
https://www.instagram.com/p/CfaG5vescEE/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y%3D#2022 #economy #Housing Crash #bubble #Crash #TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Coach
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I sat down with my real estate team a few days ago at our favorite coffee place in Southern California. We talked about a few old-school things and some things that we will continue to go deeper in.
Pay attention to this one and take some notes. I've got a few things for you to look at. Retargeting, Newsletter, PPC, FSBOs, Expireds, Farming...
Ylopo
https://www.ylopo.com/#001
Followupboss
https://www.followupboss.com/
Social Media Calendar
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1gYR3zhi7IFmTrt8C_8LhevuxTcm5LElx/view?usp=sharing
Farming Outline
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1J-KYz_0E2QBLSPfiy7UZiTZp1M0vVzkXlACZ2HGzn3s/edit?usp=sharing
Expired Drips
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1p8iT1fy8TjuerwWj3VCjhKTdJw_aNBYAkCos6yc6fek/edit?usp=sharing
RedX for Expireds and FSBOs
http://www.redx.com/affiliate/lca
#2022 #economy #bubble #Crash #TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Coach #Expireds #RealEstateCRM #FSBO #SocialMedia
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100 Experts were asked about the housing bubble and the majority agreed with me, we aren't in a housing bubble as of today. They used data that I'm going to share with you so that you can dig into it as well and keep an eye out for what happens next.
I'll also dig into some of the housing areas that have slowed down so you can see what they look like across the top 10 areas in the United States.
Graphs From Keeping Current Matters
https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/12kS9BEKD8y_dWTinJ-o260OLDenNMb7gmPoWLJj-9_4/edit?usp=sharing
The National Association of Realtors shows 2.6 months of inventory for housing across the Nation
https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/existing-home-sales-fell-3-4-in-may-median-sales-price-surpasses-400000-for-the-first-time
Realtor.com shows the fastest-selling housing Markets and the Slowest Selling Markets in the United States.
https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/days-on-market-where-homes-selling-the-fastest-and-slowest/
Puleconomics survey of 100 people
https://pulsenomics.com/surveys/#home-price-expectations
#2022 #economy #bubble #Crash #TristanAhumada #RealEstate #Coach
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We're definitely seeing a lot more of the media turn around and say that there will not be a crash. They are finally jumping on board and saying that there will only be a slight downturn in the housing market. Although interest rates have gone up it hasn't hurt the home prices. Rent has gone up too and we are at new levels.
This pace isn't sustainable, so we will probably see a softening in the Fall or Winter, but let's take a look at the data so we can make better decisions.
People selling and renting: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/24/realestate/homeowners-renting-housing-market.html
Home prices still going up and rents going up too.
https://www.axios.com/2022/06/22/home-prices-rising-market-cools
Miami Rents
https://www.route-fifty.com/infrastructure/2022/06/too-high-rents-home-prices-blowing-miami-dade-county/367763/
Foreclosure Data
https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1v1p7Dg4DdtPjm6Cx1w9NtQip0YjaMkhRDoPSwGpXhDU/edit?usp=sharing
Black Night Data on the Market and Foreclosures
blackknightinc.com/black-knights-april-2022-mortgage-monitor/?&
World Market Real Estat and Concerns
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-06-21/cooling-real-estate-markets-in-us-uk-risk-deeper-global-economic-slump
The Crash and Foreclosures, It's not going to happen
https://nypost.com/2022/06/24/us-housing-market-price-correction-to-hit-coast-to-coast-moodys-economist-warns/
#2022 #economy #bubble #Crash #TristanAhumada #RealEstate #coach
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Instead of predicting what's happening next, let's talk about what's happening now with real estate, and let's go over the conversations that are happening in the Media.
Let's take a look at what Billionaire Ray Dalio has to say, what Investor Suze Orman is talking about, and what the message has changed too over the last week when it comes to real estate.
Suze Orman on the real estate market
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-ormans-advice-on-buying-real-estate-164149528.html
Ray Dalio on why the FED sucks and what should be one and why we're heading into Stagflation.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reducing-inflation-come-great-cost-stagflation-ray-dalio/?trackingId=FB%2Fp38igS4Gr%2BgT1sGE3PQ%3D%3D
Fortune Magazine and the interactive housing maps for overvalued areas
https://fortune.com/2022/06/20/housing-market-in-2022-looks-similar-to-the-2008-housing-bubble-housing-charts-home-prices/
Altos Research housing information as of June 2022
https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1nVL_8Gn7i77HDugMkAwMeuQOiKhJFp_oWTvRHpM6sV4/edit?usp=sharing
#RealEstate #housing #Tristanahumada #TheMarket #Housing2022 #TheBubble #TheCrash
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Let's call this The Great Reset. As we get a clearer picture of what's happening with the economy and with the real estate market we can see that the housing market is coming to a slowdown. There is no crash on site yet, but what happens in the coming months is crucial as to where we end up.
The Fed made it clear that they have no clue what's happening next, but they did give us an indication that home prices can still go up and also that they want interest rates to come down in the future.
Listen to the Fed Chair talk about Real Estate and the housing market on minute 53:40
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IlfEJrG96b4&t=0s
Altos Research Data:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IlfEJrG96b4&t=0s
The Fed article on the housing reset.
https://fortune.com/2022/06/16/housing-market-reset-federal-reserve-could-see-home-prices-fall/
#Housing2022 #ThehousingMarket #TheBubble #TristanAhumada
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The Fed has now indicated they will be raising the rate at a higher pace if necessary to keep tabs on inflation. They are clear with one thing, and that's they are not sure what will happen next as they continue to fix inflation. There are two sides to what happens next. One says a housing crash and the other says not even close.
Let's take a look at the data and let's listen to all the sides to see what is actually happening. What's next for housing in 2022?
Video of the FED and housing: Minute 53:40
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IlfEJrG96b4
Meet Kevin selling you courses and talking about the housing market
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y_sGr0GEYzc&t=1s
Dave Ramsey talks about how the housing prices will go up for the next 5 years
https://www.instagram.com/reel/CezoK47AamU/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y%3D
Unemployment Data
https://www.google.com/search?q=unemployment+data+today&oq=unemployment+data+today&aqs=chrome..69i57j0i22i30i457j0i22i30l6.4968j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
Altos Research graph on housing inventory
https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1g0RNslFN4zkO71Y6rSVbOYGM3ZzqUu98s9dnJBoulro/edit?usp=sharing
Fortune Magazine article on overvalued areas
https://fortune.com/2022/06/13/these-40-overvalued-housing-markets-could-see-15-to-20-home-price-declines-if-a-recession-hits/?queryly=related_article
#Housing2022 #ThehousingMarket #TheBubble #tristanahumada
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It's been a crazy last week with inflation coming in super high and also the rates being raised by the FED. How does that affect the Real Estate market and what should we be paying attention to?
The housing market is cooling down and here are some items that are important to understand so that you are better informed when it comes to real estate in 2022. Is there a housing crash? Is there a bubble? What's happening in Real Estate? How high will interest rates go? Let's talk...
US Builders need more homes
https://www.npr.org/2022/06/15/1105240933/the-us-needs-more-homes-but-builders-may-be-slowing-construction?utm_source=pocket_mylist
AirBNB rentals and what's happening in this housing market
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-06-14/airbnb-rentals-turn-into-real-estate-goldmines-with-easy-money-mortgages?utm_source=pocket_mylist
USA Home equity hits highest level ever
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-home-equity-hits-highest-level-on-record-27-8-trillion-11655250769?mod=hp_lead_pos3&utm_source=pocket_mylist
What the Fed rate hike means for mortgages, credit, and everything else
https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-fed-rate-increases-mean-for-your-financial-plans-11655246877?mod=markets_lead_pos12&utm_source=pocket_mylist
Here's what Dave Ramsey has to say: https://www.instagram.com/tv/CezD3D3ABZZ/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link
#RealEstate2022 #housing2022 #TristanAhumada #HousingCrash #Isitagoodtimetobuy #DaveRamsey
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With inflation coming in much higher than anticipated last month the FED will probably be raising the rate by .75 which is .25 higher than previously anticipated. This may affect the Mortage rates and go a little higher, probably will. That will in effect cause some demand challenges in the real estate market.
So far, over the last 3 months, the real estate market has slowly been stabilizing back to normal. Heading into summer 2022 let's see where the real estate market goes.
20 Areas Overpriced by Fortune Magazine. Real Estate 2022
https://fortune.com/2022/06/13/these-40-overvalued-housing-markets-could-see-15-to-20-home-price-declines-if-a-recession-hits/
Top 100 areas overpriced in the United States to watch for for Real Estate 2022
https://business.fau.edu/executive-education/housing-market-ranking/housing-top-100/
Altos Research with @Altos Research will give you all the data that you are looking for when it comes to Real Estate (No Affiliation to me)
https://altos.re/
Gasoline, Groceries and Housing Drove Inflation in May, it's getting nuts
https://www.wsj.com/articles/gasoline-groceries-and-housing-drove-inflation-in-may-11654874899
Fed Likely to Consider 0.75-Percentage-Point Rate Rise
https://www.wsj.com/articles/bad-inflation-reports-raise-odds-of-surprise-0-75-percentage-point-rate-rise-this-week-11655147927?mod=hp_lead_pos1
What is stagflation and how do we define it
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stagflation.asp
Unemployment in June 2022
https://www.google.com/search?q=unemployment+data+today&oq=unemployment+&aqs=chrome.2.69i57j35i39l2j0i67j0i67i131i433j0i67j0i131i433i512l2j46i131i175i199i433j0i131i433i457i512.6647j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
6% Mortgages Look close and that could cause another housing issue
https://fortune.com/2022/06/11/housing-market-is-once-again-watching-mortgage-rates-spike/
#RealEstate2022 #RealEstateCrash #RealEstateBubble #RealEstateMarket #TristanAhumada
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