Afleveringen
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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.
In the US – a look ahead to U.S GDP and personal spending data and Nike earnings. In the UK – a look ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. In Asia – a look ahead to Bloomberg’s China economic survey.
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Guests:
-Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent, to preview next week's U.S GDP/personal spending data.
- Poonam Goyal, Senior U.S. E-Commerce and Retail Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, to preview Nike earnings.
-Leo Kehnscherper, Bloomberg European Asset Management Reporter, looks ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference.
-Julian Harris, UK Economics Editor, looks ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference.
- Eric Zhu, China Economist for Bloomberg Economics, discusses Bloomberg’s China Economic Survey.
-Karishma Vaswani, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist in Singapore, discusses her column: “US Rethink on Australia Subs Is China’s Win.”See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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US equity futures moderated declines early Friday as President Donald Trump weighs whether to back Israel militarily in its conflict with Iran. Contracts for the S&P 500 were down around 0.3% from Wednesday's close in early Asia hours, compared with a 0.9% drop on Thursday when US markets were closed for the Juneteenth holiday. While traders were offered some short-term clarity as the White House said Trump will decide within two weeks whether to strike Iran, the remarks did little to resolve broader uncertainty around potential US involvement and the risk of renewed energy-driven inflation. For more on what's ahead, we heard from Maria Rost Rublee, Professor of International Relations at the University of Melbourne. She speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts.
Markets were already on edge after the Federal Reserve downgraded its estimates for growth this year and projected higher inflation. As projected, Fed officials held rates steady at their policy meeting this week. We get some analysis from David Laut, Chief Investment Officer at Abound Financial.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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Senior US officials are preparing for the possibility of a strike on Iran in the coming days, according to people familiar with the matter, a sign that Washington is assembling the infrastructure to directly enter a conflict with Tehran.
Meantime, there are a lot of unknowns about the outlook for the economy and interest rates, but Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled at least one thing seems certain: Higher prices are coming. Policymakers voted unanimously to hold interest rates steady for a fourth straight meeting Wednesday as they await clarity on whether tariffs will leave a one-time or more lasting mark on inflation. Powell said it’s still unclear how much of the bill will fall on the shoulders of consumers, but he expects to learn more about tariffs this summer. For more, we speak to Mark Cranfield, Bloomberg MLIV Strategist in Singapore.
Plus - for more on the Federal Reserve's latest decision, we heard from Betsey Stevenson. She is a Professor at the University of Michigan. Stevenson was also a former Chief Economist of the United States Department of Labor.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Oil climbed and most stocks in Asia followed losses on Wall Street as concerns mounted that an escalation of tensions in the Middle East will trigger a more direct US involvement. West Texas Intermediate crude rose as much as 1.1% in early trading Wednesday after settling at the highest in almost five months the previous day. US equity futures slipped, as did Australia’s benchmark index and Hong Kong futures.
Staying with geopolitics, The White House's review of the Aukus pact — a security arrangement between the US, UK and Australia — is rattling one of Washington’s closest alliances, and playing right into China’s hands. It sends yet another signal that America First might just mean everyone else alone. First announced by former President Joe Biden in 2021, the multibillion-dollar deal commits Washington and London to help Canberra develop a fleet of nuclear-powered submarines over a 30-year period. It was designed to help counter Beijing’s growing influence in the Indo-Pacific. For more, we turn to Bloomberg Opinion columnist Karishma Vaswani.
Plus - Federal Reserve officials are widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged for a fourth straight meeting on Wednesday, reiterating they want more clarity on the economic impact of a wide array of government policy changes before adjusting borrowing costs. Policymakers have warned President Donald Trump’s tariffs could boost inflation and unemployment, but so far, steady hiring and cooling inflation have allowed Fed officials to keep rates unchanged this year. We speak to Bill Campbell, Global Bond Portfolio Manager at DoubleLine.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Iran’s capital Tehran on Monday, hours after he urged the country’s leadership to sign a deal to limit its nuclear program and Israel signaled strikes would continue. It wasn’t clear if Trump knew of a fresh round of attacks Israel may have planned for the city, which has a population of more than 9 million people. Israel had earlier warned one Tehran neighborhood to evacuate and video showed massive traffic jams as people sought to escape. Soon after Trump’s post, Iran’s Fars news agency reported several explosions east of the city. For more, we heard from Middle East Analyst and Author Rodger Shanahan. He spoke to Bloomberg's Paul Allen and Shery Ahn.
Plus- President Trump's comments on evacuating Tehran caused a jolt in global markets, with US futures falling and oil prices rising almost 2%. Despite earlier optimism that the conflict between Israel and Iran wouldn't escalate, Trump's comments contrasted with his earlier statement that Iran wanted to make a deal. For more, we turn to James Abate, Managing Director & Head of Fundamental Strategies at Horizon Investments.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Oil climbed early Monday with investors squarely focused on escalating geopolitical tensions as Israel and Iran continue to bombard each other with no sign of a pause. Brent crude rose as much as 5.5% in early Asian trading after Israel and Iran continued attacks on one another's territories over the weekend. Israel launched an attack on the giant South Pars gas field in the Persian Gulf, forcing the shut down of a production platform, after air strikes on Iran's nuclear sites and military leadership last week. For more, we speak with Pavel Molchanov, Investment Strategy Analyst at Raymond James & Associates.
Plus - S&P 500 futures slipped, while Asian equity-index contracts pointed to declines in Hong Kong and Sydney, and a gain in Tokyo. The dollar saw modest gains against major peers in early trading. With Federal Reserve officials signaling an extended hold on interest rates, investors and economists will look to Chair Jerome Powell this week for clues on what might eventually prompt the central bank to make a move, and when. We take a look at the macro landscape with Patrick Kennedy, Founding Partner at AllSource Investment Management.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.
In the US – a look ahead to next week’s Fed decision. In the UK – a look ahead to next week’s Bank of England decision. In Asia – a look ahead to next week's Bank of Japan decision.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Stocks fell along with equity-index futures and investors rushed to the safety of havens such as Treasuries after Israel attacked Iran's nuclear program sites. Crude oil jumped more than 9% while gold also rose. We get the latest on what's moving markets from Mary Nicola, Bloomberg MLIV Strategist in Singapore.
Plus - Treasuries rallied across the curve on Thursday, bringing the 10-year yield six basis points lower to around 4.36%. The gains were supported by the second US inflation print in as many days that came in below consensus forecasts, backing the argument for Fed cuts. The dollar hit a three-year low. The producer price index rose 0.1% from a month earlier, compared with the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists that called for a 0.2% increase. A solid sale of long-term US government debt added further impetus for the rally, reducing fears that spiraling deficits are causing investors to shun the bonds. We talk inflation and trade with Natalia Gurushina, Chief Economist for EM Fixed Income Strategy at VanEck.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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US equity-index futures dipped along with the dollar after President Donald Trump said he will set unilateral tariff rates within two weeks, dialing up trade tensions once again. The comments come a day after Chinese and US officials struck a positive tone following their talks to dial down trade tensions. Amid US talking with countries including India and Japan to lower the levies, some investors see Trump's comments as an effort to ramp up urgency in talks. We talk markets with Zachary Hill, Head of Portfolio Management at Horizon Investments.
Plus - China's biotech industry is gaining momentum, with Pfizer and Bristol-Myers Squibb making billion-dollar deals with Chinese companies to license experimental cancer drugs. The industry is expected to continue growing, driven by factors such as US President Donald Trump's economic policies, cheaper and easier human testing in China, and an abundance of young and affordable engineering talent. We check in with Shuli Ren, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, for a closer look at the sector.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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The US and China de-escalated trade tensions, agreeing to a preliminary deal on how to implement the consensus the two sides reached in Geneva, negotiators for both sides said. While the full details of their accord weren't immediately available, US negotiators said they "absolutely expect" that issues around shipments of rare earth minerals and magnets will be resolved with the framework implementation. We get reaction from George Schultze, Founder and CEO at Schultze Wealth Management.
Financial markets were closely watching whether the world's largest economies can find a way to tamp down trade tensions that economists say have tipped the world economy into a downturn, with the US among the hardest hit. Despite the modest moves Wednesday, global stocks are still at a record high, having recovered from their April lows as President Donald Trump suspended his tariffs until July 9th. For more, we hear from Matthew Michelini, Partner and Head of Asia-Pacific at Apollo Global Management. He speaks with Bloomberg's Yvonne Man at the Bloomberg Invest Summit in Hong Kong.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Asian shares edged up, buoyed by expectations about the US-China trade talks as officials struck a positive tone after the first day of negotiations. While no significant breakthroughs were announced after the first day of talks and stocks pared some of their earlier gains, US officials sounded optimistic about the negotiations. With a key inflation read on tap Wednesday - and the Federal Reserve is entering a blackout period before its June 18 interest-rate decision - money managers are wrestling with what could propel the S&P 500 back to a record after the index soared 20% from its April lows. For a look at how the talks are impacting market action, we hear from Jim Worden, Chief Investment Strategist at the Wealth Consulting Group.
Talks will continue into a second day, according to a US official, as the two sides look to ease tensions over shipments of technology and rare earth elements. The advisers will meet again Tuesday at 10 a.m. in London, the official said. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said discussions between Washington and Beijing were "fruitful" and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent cited a "good meeting." Talks will continue into a second day, according to a US official, as the two sides look to ease tensions over shipments of technology and rare earth elements. The advisers will meet again Tuesday at 10 a.m. in London, the official said. For a closer look, we hear from Bloomberg's Jennifer Dlouhy in Washington and Stephen Engle in Hong Kong. They speak with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Asian stocks opened higher Monday with the US and China set to resume trade negotiations. Adding to the optimism in the stock market was the surprise in labor data. While US job growth moderated in May and prior months were revised lower, Friday's report narrowly exceeded forecasts. We get reaction from Chris Brigati, Chief Investment Officer at SWBC.
Plus - trade tensions appeared to recede between President Donald Trump and China's Xi Jinping as an impasse on critical minerals was broken, paving the way for further trade talks. We get a preview of how the talks may impact the trading week ahead with Alicia Garcia Herrero, Chief Asia-Pacific Economist at Natixis. She speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.
In the US – a look ahead to U.S CPI and PPI data and Tesla’s Robotaxi launch. In the UK – a look ahead to London’s Tech Summit. In Asia – a look ahead to readings on Chinese exports, as well industrial production and retail sales.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Tesla shares slumped 14% on Thursday as President Donald Trump proposed ending Elon Musk's government contracts and subsidies after his onetime adviser attacked the Republican's tax-policy bill. Musk also said he would end the use of SpaceX's Dragon spacecraft and called for Trump's impeachment. The Tesla move weighed on US benchmarks Thursday that had earlier risen as Trump and China's President Xi Jinping agreed to further trade talks. Trump said talks would begin shortly at a location to be determined as the countries aimed to resolve disputes over tariffs and rare earth minerals. We take a look at how markets are digesting the headlines with Robert Schein, Chief Investment Officer at Blanke Schein Wealth Management.
Plus - during President Trump's first term, he famously toured a Texas factory and claimed credit for bringing Apple Inc's production back to America. Except the plant had been running long before he took office. And it was an "unmitigated fiasco." Workers in China had to be flown in to help fix the mounting manufacturing issues encountered in the US heartland. We're joined by Bloomberg Opinion's Catherine Thorbecke, for a look whether a China exit is plausible for the iPhone maker amid tariff threats from Washington.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Treasuries rallied as tepid US economic data reinforced expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. The 10-year Treasury yield fell 10 basis points to the lowest level in almost a month. Equity-index futures for Asia were mixed while an index of US-listed Chinese shares rose 2%. We get a read on markets from Willem Sels, Global Chief Investment Officer at HSBC Global Private Banking and Premier Wealth.
Plus - economic activity declined slightly in the US in recent weeks, indicating tariffs and elevated uncertainty are rippling across the economy, the Federal Reserve said in its Beige Book survey of regional business contacts. Mentions of tariffs came up 122 times in the Beige Book, compared with 107 in the prior report. Variations of the word "uncertain" appeared 80 times. We look at what it may mean for monetary policy with David Bahnsen, Founder and Chief Investment Officer at the Bahnsen Group.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Left-leaning challenger Lee Jae-myung won South Korea's presidential election, ending three years of conservative rule in a race that was largely a verdict on his ousted predecessor's botched attempt to revive martial law in the longstanding US ally. Lee, a former labor activist, won Tuesday's election with 49.4% of the vote, a comfortable win over Kim Moon-soo of the incumbent People Power Party, according to the final count released by the National Election Commission. The agency, which said voter turnout reached a 28-year high of 79.4%, officially declared Lee as the nation's 21st president at 6:21 a.m. local time on Wednesday. We get more on what's ahead from Rachel Minyoung Lee, Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center's Korea Program. She speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Paul Allen.
Plus - Asian stocks rose for the first time in four days after data showed the US labor market is holding up despite concerns President Donald Trump's tariff war is pushing the world economy into a downturn. Just days ahead of the US payrolls report, an unexpected increase in job openings buoyed market sentiment, sending the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 higher. That helped offset investor angst after the Paris-based OECD said Trump's combative trade policies have tipped the world economy into a downturn, with the US among the hardest hit. We get some market perspective from Brad Bernstein, Managing Director at UBS Private Wealth Management.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Asian shares were off to a tepid start at the open Tuesday after a rebound in big tech drove US stocks higher. Bonds fell as the dollar hit its lowest since 2023. Wall Street kept a close eye on the latest twists in the trade war, with the US extending the exclusion of Section 301 tariffs on some Chinese goods until Aug. 31, according to a notice issued by the US Customs and Border Protection. Trump and Xi Jinping will "likely" speak this week, according to the White House. We talk markets with Adam Coons, Chief Investment Officer at Winthrop Capital Management.
Plus - South Koreans head to the polls Tuesday to elect a new president to lead the nation after an attempt to impose martial law at the end of last year triggered its worst constitutional crisis in decades. Opposition Democratic Party nominee Lee Jae-myung was the frontrunner ahead of conservative ruling People Power Party candidate Kim Moon-soo in final polls conducted last week. A third contender, Lee Jun-seok, a former PPP leader now running for the Reform Party, was splitting the conservative vote. The winner will face the challenges of trying to unite a deeply fractured country and restore growth to a shrinking economy that is among the most vulnerable in the world to US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. For more, we hear from M. Jae Moon, Professor of Public Policy and Management at Yonsei University. He speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn in Seoul.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Tariff headlines are once again dominating markets after a legal back-and-forth last week on the status of Trump’s century-high levies. On Friday, President Trump said he would double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports and accused China of violating an agreement with the US to ease levies. We got reaction from Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth.
Plus- we go to New Zealand, where demand for 'golden visas' has increased under looser rules. The country has eased its rules in February to attract more foreign investment. We got reaction from Stuart Nash, Former Minister of Economic Development in New Zealand and co-founder of Nash Kelly Global.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.
In the US – a look ahead to the U.S jobs report. In the UK – a look ahead to the ECB’s monetary policy decision. In Asia – a look ahead to economic data in Vietnam.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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A federal appeals court offered President Donald Trump a temporary reprieve from a ruling threatening to throw out the bulk of his sweeping tariff agenda, giving at least some hope to a White House now facing substantial new restrictions on its effort to rewrite the global trading order. Meantime, Asian shares and US stock futures declined as uncertainties around President Trump’s tariffs whipsawed the markets. For more, we spoke to Mary Nicola, Bloomberg MLIV Strategist.
Plus - the US equity market advanced as it grappled with several forces such as solid guidance from Nvidia, legal uncertainty around President Trump's trade war and questions about monetary policy. That is after the fact President Trump pushed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates. We speak to Scott Ladner, Chief Investment Officer at Horizon Investments.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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