Afleveringen
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The foreign policy implications of recent US news; a bad day for Vladimir Putin; Harrisâ likely foreign policy; the role of the Vice President in international affairs; assassination attempts as a signal of vulnerability; international norms against assassination; and Marcus is keeping up with the news
We will be recording at a slightly slower pace over the summer. Please subscribe to Cheap Talk on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your podcast player of choice to be notified when new episodes are posted.
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Further Reading:
Joshua Byun and Austin Carson. 2024. âThe Senile Superpower?â Foreign Affairs.See all Cheap Talk episodes
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Leader age and international security; perceptions of experience vs. cognitive decline; does any of this matter for international outcomes; foreign policy is more than just a leaderâs decisions; the problem with hotlines; and Marcus briefly considered a presidential run
We will be recording at a slightly slower pace over the summer. Please subscribe to Cheap Talk on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your podcast player of choice to be notified when new episodes are posted.
Please send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
Further Reading:
Dana G. Smith. 2024. âA Userâs Guide to Midlife.â New York Times.Joshua Byun and Austin Carson. 2023. âMore than a Number: Aging Leaders in International Politics.â International Studies Quarterly 67(1).
Christian Ruhl. 2024. âBeijing is unavailable to take your call: Why the US-China crisis hotline doesnât work.â Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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The US allows Ukraine to strike into Russia; the effect of making this public knowledge; prospect theory and taking greater risks in the loss domain; the risk of escalation is context-dependent; wargaming as a way to understand an adversaryâs response; how concerned should we be about a possible bird flu pandemic; and Marcus is a worrywart
We will be recording at a slightly slower pace over the summer. Please subscribe to Cheap Talk on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your podcast player of choice to be notified when new episodes are posted.
Please send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
Check out the Cheap Talk online store at cheaptalk.shop
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The international implications of the Trump verdict; pandas are coming back to DC; trust vs. confidence in international relations; reciprocity in the nuclear nonproliferation regime; the real-world importance of trust semantics; interpersonal vs. inter state trust; precedent and trusting relations; and Marcus trusts Canada
We will be recording at a slightly slower pace over the summer. Please subscribe to Cheap Talk on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your podcast player of choice to be notified when new episodes are posted.
Please send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
Check out the Cheap Talk online store at cheaptalk.shop
Further Reading:
Andrew H. Kydd. 2005. Trust and Mistrust in International Relations. Princeton University Press.
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The role of foreign affairs in the just-announced presidential debates; an international marathon update; orangutan diplomacy isnât really diplomacy; the cutest diplomatic animals; cognac diplomacy also isnât really diplomacy; Antony Blinken plays guitar and delivers a message of US support in Kyiv; does nuclear deterrence even work; and Marcus confesses his love for presidential debates
We will be recording at a slightly slower pace over the summer. Please subscribe to Cheap Talk on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your podcast player of choice to be notified when new episodes are posted.
Please send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
Check out the Cheap Talk online store at cheaptalk.shop
Further Reading:
Detroit Free Press MarathonHeather Chen. 2024. âAn ape for palm oil? Why critics say Malaysiaâs âorangutan diplomacyâ plan is problematic.â CNN.com.
Associated Press. 2024. âCall it Cognac Diplomacy: France offered Chinaâs Xi a special drink, in a wink at their trade spat.â
Watch Antony Blinken play Rockingâ in the Free World in a Kyiv Bar
Paul Poast. 2024. âWhat We Donât Know About Nuclear Deterrence Could Hurt Us.â World Politics Review.
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The role of bees in international politics; Panda diplomacy is happening; Ukraineâs tenuous position against Russia; prospects for a US/China AI arms control process; letting AI decide to deploy nuclear weapons; the State Departmentâs new digital and cyber strategy; and Marcus is no entomologist
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Please send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
Further Reading:
Sarah Kliff. 2024. âHoneybees Invaded My House, and No One Would Help.â New York Times.Alan Rappeport. 2024. âGiant Pandas Are Returning to San Diego, China Announces.â New York Times.
Edward Geist. 2024. âBuilding a Foundation for Strategic Stability with China on AI.â RAND Corporation.
US Department of State. 2024. Building Digital Solidarity: The United States International Cyberspace & Digital Policy Strategy.
David E. Sanger. 2024. âA New Diplomatic Strategy Emerges as Artificial Intelligence Grows.â New York Times.
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Panda diplomacy, local edition; what is diplomacy, anyway; Israelâs retaliation against Iran; a success story for international diplomacy; a restrained response as a particular kind of signal; the TikTok ban is happening; US aid to Ukraine is happening; Russian strategy in response to this aid; US-Taiwan military collusion; and Marcus thinks things are looking up
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Jeffâs book, Signing Away the Bomb, is now available in paperback!
Further Reading:
Heather Knight. 2024. âSan Francisco Mayor Gives Panda Diplomacy a Try.â New York Times.See all Cheap Talk episodes
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TikTok as an information-gathering platform; worries about a wider war in the Middle East; the signal sent by Iranâs attack against Israel; a missile defense success story; how technology affects the risk of escalation; Iranâs nuclear program as a potential target for Israel; cyberattacks in gray zone conflict; a chance for diplomacy to work; and Marcus is hopeful that he is right
Please subscribe and leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your podcast player of choice
Please send us your questions! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
Jeffâs book, Signing Away the Bomb, is now available in paperback!
Further Reading/Listening:
Cheap Talk Podcast. March 22, 2024. âMostly Golden Retriever Videos.â With Special Guest Jaime Settle.Tiffany Hsu and Steven Lee Myers. 2024. âChinaâs Advancing Efforts to Influence the U.S. Election Raise Alarms.â New York Times.
Gaby Del Valle. 2024. âReport: TikTokâs efforts to silo US data are âlargely cosmetic.ââ The Verge.
Cheap Talk Recommends:
Shogun (Hulu)Love is Blind, Season 5 (Netflix)
Ripley (Netflix)
The Magic Prank Show with Justin Willman (Netflix)
Magic for Humans (Netflix)
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Fragmentation in the international relations discipline; normal science versus overarching theory; insights from the International Studies Association annual conference; the best name for a political science department; the US-Japan state visit; state dinners as a signal of alliance ties; insulating the US-Japan relationship from a future Trump administration; Japanâs increasing role in defense cooperation; and Marcus prefers running uphill
Please subscribe and leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your podcast player of choice
Please send us your questions! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
Jeffâs book, Signing Away the Bomb, is now available in paperback!
Further Reading:
Michael D. Shear. 2024. âTo Counter Chinaâs Rising Power, Biden Looks to Strengthen Ties With Japan.â New York Times.Cheap Talk recommends:
Otter.ai (AI meeting notes)Perplexity.ai (AI-powered information discovery)
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What is happening with the Apple Vision Pro; recent Chinese cyber activity; signaling and deterrence in the cyber domain; building and maintaining cyber trust; demonstrating a capability without losing it; the psychological impact of potential cyberattacks; managing the overall US-China relationship in the midst of cyber incidents; extending the US cyber umbrella; cyber-intrusions into the electoral system in democracies; and Marcus likes power
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Please send us your questions! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
Further reading/listening:
David E. Sanger and Mark Landler. 2024. âU.S. and Britain Accuse China of Cyberespionage Campaign.â New York Times.Cheap Talk Podcast. 2023. âGiving ChatGPT Our Nuclear Codes.â
Cheap Talk recommends:
True Detective: Night Country on MaxShogun on FX/Hulu
3 Body Problem on Netflix
World War II: From the Frontlines on Netflix
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Jaime Settle joins Cheap Talk to discuss her research on social media networks; pending legislation to ban TikTok; how social media influences political knowledge and mobilization; the importance of the algorithm to the social media experience; what it is like to work with Meta to conduct research on Facebook; and Marcus is not afraid to take a stand
Jaime Settle is the Cornelia Brackenridge Talbot Professor of Government and Data Science at William & Mary. Check out her work on Google Scholar.
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Support the podcast by visiting our online store at cheaptalk.shop
Read Jaime Settleâs books:
Frenemies: How Social Media Polarizes America
What Goes Without Saying: Navigating Political Discussion in America (with Taylor Carlson)Further reading/listening:
2020 Election Research Project. 2023. âFirst Four Papers from US 2020 Facebook & Instagram Research Election Study Published in Science and Nature.â Medium.Cheap Talk Podcast. 2023. âIt Comes Down to Paranoia.â
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A rebroadcast of the October 16, 2022 episode of Cheap Talk: The sixtieth anniversary of the Cuban Missile Crisis; lessons from the crisis; the dangers of reasoning from analogy; why Russia would use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine; how NATO would respond if they did; gambling for resurrection; the US role in facilitating peace; and Marcus would prefer that countries refrain from using nuclear weapons
Weâll be back with a new episode of Cheap Talk soon!
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Please send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
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Further Reading:
David E. Sanger. 2024. âBidenâs Armageddon Moment: When Nuclear Detonation Seemed Possible in Ukraine.â New York Times.Richard E. Neustadt and Ernest R. May. 1986. Thinking in Time: The Uses of History for Decision-Makers. Free Press.
Yuen Foong Khong. 1992. Analogies at War: Korea, Munich, Dien Bien Phu, and the Vietnam Decisions of 1965. Princeton University Press.
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How leaders matter if you believe countries are people; what would happen if Putin died; the impact of the Russian invasion two years on; what a nuclear weapon in space means for international security; space nukes and the violation of international law; and Marcus thinks every listener would agree
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Support the podcast by visiting our online store at cheaptalk.shop
Further Reading:
Rajan Menon. 2024. âPutin Has Already Lost.â New York Times.See all Cheap Talk Episodes
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Special guest Nicholas Wheeler returns to Cheap Talk to explain the English School of international relations; why the English School never took off in the US; methodology in IR theory; the fractionalization of IR; nuclear responsibilities; and Marcus doesnât love sharing the spotlight
Nicholas Wheeler is @WheelerICCS on Twitter/X. You can also find him on LinkedIn and Google Scholar.
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Further Reading:
Too many to listSee all Cheap Talk podcasts
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Nicholas Wheeler joins Cheap Talk to discuss his research program in international diplomacy; personal chemistry among leaders; the security dilemma; explaining Russiaâs aggression toward Ukraine; the policy utility of international theory; and Marcus is so excited
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Support the podcast by visiting our online store at cheaptalk.shop
Nick Wheelerâs books include:
Saving Strangers: Humanitarian Intervention in International SocietyThe Security Dilemma: Fear, Cooperation and Trust in World Politics (with Ken Booth)
Trusting Enemies: Interpersonal Relationships in International Conflict
Further Reading:
Marcus Holmes. 2018. Face-to-Face Diplomacy: Social Neuroscience and International Relations. Cambridge University Press.Robert Jervis. 1976. Perception and Misperception in International Politics. Princeton University Press.
Tuomas Forsberg and Heikki PatomÀki. 2022. Debating the War in Ukraine: Counterfactual Histories and Future Possibilities. Routledge.
Stephen M. Walt. 2022. âAn International Relations Theory Guide to the War in Ukraine.â Foreign Policy.
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What the Apple Vision Pro means for the future of international diplomacy; the essential elements necessary to realize the benefits of face-to-face diplomacy; micro-expressions and realism in virtual worlds; barriers to outsiders and the risk of eavesdropping; verifying that youâre talking to the person you think youâre talking to; the promise of training in virtual and augmented reality; and Marcus canât wait to hear about this
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Support the podcast by visiting our online store at cheaptalk.shop
Further Reading:
Marcus Holmes. 2018. Face-to-Face Diplomacy: Social Neuroscience and International Relations. Cambridge University Press.Sign up for an Apple Vision Pro demo at your local Apple Store via Appleâs website
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Iran and the risk of a wider war in the Middle East; the likely US response to the recent drone strike; how to cooperate in an age of conflict; barriers to working together; the role of confidence-building mechanisms in international security; the death of the dream of Korean reunification; and Marcus doesnât want to scare the listener
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Doomsday clock trivia; the origins of the clock; over-interpreting what time it is; becoming desensitized to global threats; public education and advocacy around existential risk; risk assessment by the global elite; the perils of expert prediction; and Marcus thinks this is a trick question
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Please send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
Support the podcast by visiting our online store at cheaptalk.shop
Further reading:
â2024 Doomsday Clock Announcement.â 2024. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.âDoomsday Clock Timeline.â 2023. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
Kennette Benedict. 2023. âAnswers to Common Questions.â Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
âGlobal Risks Report 2024.â 2024. World Economic Forum.
Philip E. Fetlock and Dan Gardner. 2015. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. Crown Books.
Seth Walder. 2023. âGoing for 2 down 8 points: Explaining NFL analytics strategy.â ESPN.com.
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International bright spots for 2024; democracy is still a thing; a newly aggressive Iran; Iran as a missile power; domestic political imperatives for international conflict; Pakistanâs response and the maintenance of an international reputation; an absence of diplomacy in the region; the US and multinational response to Houthi attacks; where is Saudi Arabia when you need them; whether Iran has changed its strategy; and Marcus is the psychologist in the room
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Please send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail
Support the podcast by visiting our online store at cheaptalk.shop
Further Reading:
Lara Jakes and David E. Sanger. 2024. âIranâs New Missile Fleet: Part Deterrent, Part Sales Pitch.â New York Times.See all Cheap Talk episodes.
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Happy New Year from Cheap Talk: The top global risks in 2024; the shadow of the US presidential election; the Russia/Ukraine conflict and the dangers of risk-taking; a broader war in the Middle East; accidental conflict and North Korea; Chinaâs economy; AI and misinformation; extreme weather and El Niño; the erosion of limits on nuclear weapons; the decline of global cooperation; and Marcus declines to make a New Yearâs resolution
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Please send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemail.
Support the podcast by visiting our online store at cheaptalk.shop.
Further watching:
CGP Grey. 2020. âYour Themeâ (on New Yearâs themes). YouTube.See all Cheap Talk episodes
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