Afleveringen
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Billionaire fund manager Bill Ackman says Donald Trump is waging “an economic war against the whole world at once”.
Trump insiders haven’t put it much less dramatically. As Secretary of State Marco Rubio bluntly said, “Markets are crashing because… companies are embedded in modes of production that are bad for the United States.”
For Trump, dismantling global trade interdependence is not a side effect—it’s the point.
But the collateral damage is vast.
ECB board member Isabel Schnabel warned that what Trump triumphantly calls “Liberation Day” “was not liberating” at all, but rather “marks the end of global free trade.”
It is certainly the most dramatic day in global trade since the accession of China to the WTO in 1999. That moment marked the low water mark of tariffs, and the coming of a truly globalised world economy.
So if that era is indeed now over, what does that mean for China? And indeed the manufacturing-intensive Eastern rim?
Trump’s China strategy has always been bullish. Is this a bull in a china shop?
To discuss this Great Leap Forward, Dr Eric Henrdiks is joined by economist Philip Pilkington.
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After a disputed election late last year, the ex-Soviet satellite of Georgia was catapulted towards the top of the Western news agenda.
Its dominant political party, Georgian Dream, has traded on a peculiar mix of conservatism, nationalism and populism. If ‘all nations are conservative about different things’, then Georgia is a particularly esoteric blend. But as Calum Nicholson discovers, at the same time, Georgian Dream party trades on a formula that goes back over a century.
In this episode of Danube Knowledge, he sits down with Danube Institute Visiting Fellow Stefano Arroque, to talk over the history of Georgia’s eternal slogan: “Homeland. Language. Faith.”
If you want to read Stefano’s full paper, you can do so at the link here:
https://danubeinstitute.hu/en/research/homeland-language-faith-how-georgia-embraced-traditionalist-conservatism
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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Malcom Kyeyune is a writer for UnHerd and many other titles. He is a big thinker in the realm of geopolitics, military strategy, and social organisation. In the first episode of Unknown Knowns, Kyeyune sits down with host Philip Pilkington to discuss the biggest arc of all: Western decline. After all, it is no longer a question of if, or even when, but how Western decline occurs.
The past five years have seen a major breakdown in the system’s ability to re-order itself. The US military is increasingly a paper tiger. In Germany, we’ve now got insipid ‘grand coalitions’ whose sole purpose is to block out the rising AfD, the first retrenchments in the car industry since the war, and a doubling of the national debt ceiling. Britain has seen riots, the bankruptcy of its second city, and an effective police state in matters of speech take hold to quell the palpable sense of national unease. The BLM era shook the fundaments of Western self-belief, and Covid saddled it with unmanageable debt.
Kyeyune and Pilkington discuss the deep roots of Western decline. From the theories of Oswald Spengler, to Edward Gibbon, to Karl Mark to Julius Evola: prophets of doom have been around forever. The true question is: can the West recover? Or is it locked into an inevitable path?
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The View From The Danube
The map of Europe is soon to be re-drawn. At the same time, thanks to Trump, the history of social justice ideology (DEI, and so on) will soon be written by the victors.
There are times in the affairs of men when the world must be made anew. That means taking some of our past forward with us - things we remember.
But it also means putting some of it away – a collective amnesia, in pursuit of a bigger social goal: moving on. Peace with Russia will mean moving past the crimes and injuries of the past three years, much as British soldiers were suddenly told that Stalin was now our friend in October 1941.
What of the Guilty Men (and women)? Will the Euro elite of von der Leyen, Kallas, and co, who have led the continent to this uneasy impasse, be able to get away with their heads?
Likewise, will the turning of the tides against social justice ideology — “woke” — mean that we forgive and forget those who were responsible? Or should we exact a more demonstrative justice?
The View From The Danube is the keystone video podcast of the Danube Institute, a Budapest-based think tank that aims to bring Conservative perspectives from the Anglosphere together, in the heart of the European capital of Conservativism.
It stars Rod Dreher, author of The Benedict Option and Living in Wonder, a Senior Fellow at the Danube Institute, John O’Sullivan, former speechwriter to Margaret Thatcher, the founder and President of the DI, and Calum Nicholson, the Director of Research. This week, they’re joined by Peter Boghossian.
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Lord Frost Podcast
David Frost, Lord Frost of Allenton, was Britain’s Chief Brexit Negotiator.
Five years ago, as Britain exited the European Union, David Frost was sent to Brussels, to make a landmark speech, setting out the country’s position on the next the kind of trade policy we’d want, and to some extent the kind of country we’d be.
Five years on, it feels as though we’re way off course. Brexit is remembered with bitterness by some, and wistfulness by others. But few think it has fulfilled its purpose.
This month, Lord Frost returned to Budapest, to the Danube Institute, to deliver a kind of sequel speech, setting out a vision for Europe’s institutions. For how we lost our way — and how we might recover it.
In this exclusive podcast, he talks to the DI’s Director of Research, Calum Nicholson, about the timeline of the past five years. From “Get Brexit Done” to the Windsor Agreement, to Keir Starmer’s subtle Rejoin-ism.
Danube Politics is the current affairs strand of Danube Podcasts, a product of The Danube Institute. Connecting Hungarian conservatism to the English-speaking world and beyond.
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As the Ukraine War starts to wind down, the next few months willdecide the shape of Europe for a generation.
What happens when the continent is neither master of its owndomain, nor under the aegis of a superpower? And what of the continental elitewho piloted us to the gates of disaster? Professor Doug Stokes explains wherewe might be headed.
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View From The Danube
What is the proper order of love?
Is it the one thing that irreconcilably separates liberals from conservatives?
How much can ordinary retail politics ever be built from deep moral philosophical foundations?
And how far are we from Real Existing Post-Liberalism?
This month, on View From The Danube, we’re tracking recent events in America, in the context of an intellectually self-confident re-assertion of conservatism. This is “the religious right” thumping their Thomas Aquinas.
Host Rod Dreher is joined by his guests to discuss the astonishing executive presidency of Trump’s first month. From DOGE to USAID to DEI to Robert Kennedy, this has been a revolution in the head like little else.
But the thing that Rod picks up on is the battle royale of JD Vance versus Rory Stewart over the ‘ordo amoris’. The proper order of love.
Is there, Rod wonders, a deeper battle underway between liberalism and conservatism? Are we really injuncted to love everyone equally? Or is the truth that we have special obligations to our family, friends and neighbours?
In short, is Stewart the last godforsaken yelp of the disappearing liberal world order?
The View From The Danube is the keystone video podcast of the Danube Institute, a Budapest-based think tank that aims to bring Conservative perspectives from the Anglosphere together, in the heart of the European capital of Conservativism.
It stars Rod Dreher, author of The Benedict Option and Living in Wonder, a senior fellow at the Danube Institute; John O’Sullivan, former speechwriter to Margaret Thatcher, the founder and President of the DI; and Calum Nicholson, the Director of Research.
This week, they’re joined by Liliana Śmiech, Director General for International Affairs at the Ludovika University of Public Service.
Podcast Episode Chapters -
In the first episode of his new podcast from London, David Oldroyd-Bolt, the Danube Institute's Anglosphere Fellow, interviews the former Conservative Party Member of Parliament and Cabinet minister the Rt Hon Michael Gove.
After leaving Parliament at the General Election of July 2024, Gove succeeded Fraser Nelson as editor of The Spectator in October and has been widely tipped to received a peerage in Rishi Sunak's resignation honours list. Oldroyd-Bolt and he discuss what makes the Spectator such an enduring success and what he plans to do as editor, before turning to Gove's political career, including his revolutionary education reforms and whether he was correct to take a such hard pro-lockdown line in Cabinet during the Covid panic.
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As the Trump 2 era dawns, the talk is all of a price on Greenland and the kowtowing of Canada. The Mar-a-lago world view that is emerging is one based on shoring up America's geographical power. We're back into the world of hemispheres - of the Monroe Doctrine, and implied spheres of influence.
So what happens when America pulls away from the abstractions of the 'rules based international order', and re-enters the world of territory and pseudo-empires?
This time on The View From The Danube, host Rod Dreher, the Danube Institute's Senior Fellow, is joined by renowned geopolitical scholar Dr Gladden Pappin, President of the Hungarian Institute of International Affairs. And Liliana Śmiech, a Pole based in Budapest, who is the Director-General for International Affairs, at the Ludovika University of Public Service.
Along with the Danube Institute's Director of Research, Dr Calum Nicholson, the panel consider the implications of this new Great Game for Europe. Once the forge of empires, in the 21st century it has become suborned to America's military might.
Will Trumpism 2 mean a pulling back from America's implied military protections? How will the continent's ailing great powers cope? How can it maintain itself in a world where being 'a regulation superpower' won't even be a droll punchline?
OUTLINE 00:00 Introduction 00:08 Greenland, the vibe shift, nationalism and neo-imperialism. 26:00 Elon Musk: Tump's court jester or his new prince? 36:00 Europe in challenging times. Cultural lethargy versus a potential reboot. 45:00 Predictions for 2025: Melania, Musk, and J.D. Vance.The View From The Danube is the keystone video podcast of the Danube Institute, a Budapest-based think tank that aims to bring perspectives from the Anglosphere together, in the European capital of Conservativism.
With regular guests, we'll be looking at how Conservatism is changing in a world that is itself changing beyond recognition.
PODCAST LINKS: Institute Website: https://danubeinstitute.hu Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/danube-institute-podcast/id1620342407 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6goB4Z3ZWqjJOfuLz3VFCP?si=a6f7dff0d27642fe RSS: https://creators.spotify.com/pod/show/danube-institute-podcastSOCIAL LINKS: X: https://x.com/institutedanube LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/danube-institute Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/danubeinstitute -
Sáron Sugár, a researcher at the Danube Institute, sits down with Or Yissachar, the Head of Israel Defence and Security Forum's Content Division and Research Department, to discuss what lies ahead for Israel’s security strategy as tensions with Iran and its proxies continue to simmer. The discussion explores the prospects for US-Israel relations under President Trump’s second term, controversies around humanitarian aid to Gazans, and rising anti-semitism in the West. The discussion concludes with a question related to Hungary’s strong support of Israel.
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Michelle Watson, Senior Visiting Fellow at the Danube Institute, sits down with "Mimi" Roy, Visiting Fellow at Ludovika University of Public Service in Budapest, Hungary, to discuss her latest research topic. The conversation delves into two key questions: how India’s tech strategy is shaping its role in the new era of techno-competition, and how the country is positioning itself as a prominent stakeholder in influencing the global narrative around technology.
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“Every epoch is a sphinx that tumbles into the abyss once its riddle is solved” - Heinrich Heine, 1833 It was only as the reality of Trump’s win began to sink in that the enormity of the change ahead began to dawn on us. With control over the House, the Senate, the Supreme Court and the executive, Trumpism 2.0 has the all means to make good on its outlandish promises; early nominations suggest it has the mettle too. But beyond politics itself, there is an even bigger prize at stake: to change the psychology of a nation. After 40 years of neoliberal dominance, finally, it feels as though the consensus around both social liberalism and economic liberalism will end in January. Now, with a few definitive strikes of the legislative guillotine, Trumpism will set the tone for the middle of the 21st Century: a post-liberal world order. As Rod Dreher explains, this has huge implications, from art to race to geopolitics The world is about to be made anew. The vibe shift is real.The View From The Danube is the keystone video podcast of the Danube Institute, a Budapest-based think tank that aims to bring Conservative perspectives from the Anglosphere together, in the heart of the European capital of Conservativism. It stars Rod Dreher, author of The Benedict Option and Living in Wonder, a senior fellow at the Danube Institute, John O’Sullivan, former speechwriter to Margaret Thatcher, the founder and President of the DI, and Calum Nicholson, the Director of Research. This week, they’re joined by David P Goldman, deputy editor of the Asia Times, and a Washington Fellow of the Claremont Institute. With regular guests, we’ll be looking at how Conservatism is changing in a world that is itself changing beyond recognition.
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When the Washington Post failed to endorse the Kamala campaign, the reaction was off the scale. Journalists resigned. The rest of the liberal media blew a fuse. But this was only one paper and one guy, Jeff Bezos. What was going on? As Rod Dreher explains, The Washington Post’s non-endorsement was the moment the Harris campaign and their supporters sensed that the deep narrative was finally drifting away from them. So they pulled out the biggest of guns - the F-word… the spectre of midcentury Germany. It feels desperate. The hyperbole is now so big it’s visible from a SpaceX satellite. But does that mean that, after constant lawfare and two assassination attempts, victory is finally in sight for Donald Trump? On the inaugural View From The Danube podcast, the team break down the weirdest election since at least 1912. Maybe since 1876 — or even 1824. *** The View From The Danube is the keystone video podcast of the Danube Institute, a Budapest-based think tank that aims to bring Conservative perspectives from the Anglosphere together, in the heart of the European capital of Conservativism. It stars Rod Dreher, author of The Benedict Option and Living in Wonder, a senior fellow at the Danube Institute, John O’Sullivan, former speechwriter to Margaret Thatcher, the founder and President of the DI, and Calum Nicholson, the Director of Research. This week, they’re joined by Deputy Director Melissa O’Sullivan. With regular guests, we’ll be looking at how Conservatism is changing in a world that is itself changing beyond recognition.
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Lord Frost, joined us on the Danube Institute Podcast to explain how a hard-fought Tory leadership contest has changed the whole tenor of the British Right. Here, he explains why Robert Jenrick is his pick.
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Prof Doug Stokes and journalist Gavin Haynes join the podcast to discuss the state of British politics, whether we are living in a truly multipolar world, and the significance of the coming American election.
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Though Chinese-Israeli relations had taken off and were set for great heights, China turned away from Israel immediately after October 7, not even condemning the Hamas terror attack. Chinese-US rivalry is a factor. What is going on? Dr Eric Hendriks, who previously worked at Peking University and is now a fellow at the Danube Institute, interviews Elie Pieprz, Director of International Relations of the Israel Defense and Security Forum. The location is Budapest, where Herzl created the idea of political Zionism 130 years ago.
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Discussion on the outcomes of the French elections and their implications.
Prof Daniel Mahoney and Dr Soós Eszter join the podcast to reflect on the surprising results of the French election, and their implications for the future of france, and the french right in particular.
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"There is simply no way to know what comes after liberalism", according to political economist and journalist Philip Pilkington, but he is convinced that "the world system that liberalism created after the Second World War is collapsing". In this episode of Buda Hills Podcast, we discuss some of the most striking claims in Pilkington's next book, The Collapse of Global Liberalism, which is forthcoming with Polity Press.
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Next weekend French voters go to the polls in the second round of elections to the French National Assembly after the "far Right"
National Rally headed by Marine Le Pen scored a strong but not decisive success in the first round. France's President Emmanuel Macron had called the elections in a response to its victory in the European elections to demonstrate that the Euro-results were an aberration by rallying the other parties to defeat the NR nationally. But Macron's own party came a poor third p\ after the Rally and the left-wing Popular Front, This last round will decide whether the National Rally will leap over the cordon sanitaire that has excluded the party from office until now or face continued exclusion by a Centre-Left coalition. And if the former, will President Macron form of working partnership or "cohabitation" with the NR administration? Or will he seek to block it? And what is likely to be the impact on wider European politics?
In the second of three programs on the elections and their consequences between French,, American, and Hungarian experts, Anne-Elisabeth Moutet of the London Sunday Telegraph and Daniel Mahoney, author of several books on French and European politics, and Eszter Soos, a leading Hungarian academic specialist in French politics and culutrewill discuss these and other questions.
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Overview and predictions for the first round of the French elections.
Over the next two weekends French voters will be going to the polls to select a new national government. France's President Emmanuel Macron called the elections in an emergency response to the victory of the "far-right" National Rassemblement,, in elections to the European Assembly. Apparently he intended to demonstrate that the Euro-results were an aberration by rallying the other parties to defeat the NR nationally. But opinion polls show that the NR's support among voters is almost forty per cent and holding up well whereas the President's own centrist liberals are trailing in third place. These elections open up the possibility of major changes in the conduct of France's democracy and government. Will the National Rassemblement be able to enter into government for the first time leaping over the cordon sanitaire that has excluded the party from office until now? If so, will President Macron form of working partnership or "cohabitation" with the NR administration? Or will he resign? And what is likely to be the impact on wider European politics? In the first of three programs on the elections and their consequences between French, American, and Hungarian experts, Anne-Elisabeth Moutet of the London Sunday Telegraph and Daniel Mahoney, author of several books on French and European politics discuss these and other questions.
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