Afleveringen
-
JSN, Trey McBride, and De'Von Achane are locked in as first-round dynasty assets, primed to finish as a top producer at their position this year. Knowing when their value has actually peaked lets you sell before the market catches up. Dynasty Degens' Mike "NerdBoi" Lamoureux joins Jeff to discuss tiering down, a repeatable framework for building insulated trades where you send top-tier producers for rising assets plus draft capital. The strategy builds value whether you're rebuilding or trying to extend a championship window. The two also dig into specific tier-down targets at every position heading into the 2026 season.
π‘ Key Takeaways
Tiering down means trading a top-tier producer for a slightly lower-tier asset plus extra value.These draft picks or additional players on top of a lateral swap "insulate" the trade, reducing the risk that it doesn't work out.Selling a player right after his best season feels like giving up value, but that fear fades once you focus on what you're getting back rather than what you're giving up.Contract timelines are a key signal, since a player's second contract can mark the start of a decline in tradeable value.Wide receiver is the easiest position to tier down from, since production is more linear than at running back.A tiering-down strategy fits perennial contenders looking to extend their window, not just rebuilders trying to start over.Timing matters more than the asset itself, since waiting too long to sell can cost more value than the framework can recover.Specific 2026 targets span every position, from Emeka Egbuka and Zay Flowers at receiver to Tyler Warren and Kenyon Sadiq at tight end.β±οΈ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 β Introduction
02:03 β What Is Tiering Down?
09:13 β Positional vs. Cross-Positional Trades
13:47 β Overcoming the Fear of Selling High
18:26 β Reading the Contract Clock
22:50 β A Strategy for Contenders, Not Just Rebuilders
29:55 β Timing Your Window and Learning From Misses
35:30 β Wide Receiver Targets
41:48 β Running Back Targets
48:52 β Tight End Targets
54:13 β Quarterback Targets
58:06 β Final Advice and Where to Find Mikeπ Links Mentioned
Follow Mike on Twitter/X Follow Dynasty Degens on Twitter/X Dynasty Rewind YouTube Channel Jeff's Dynasty Rankings on Footballguys Follow Jeff on Twitter/X Footballguysπ Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
IDP ("individual defensive players") has always been the side of fantasy football most dynasty managers skip, and Footballguys' Matt Montgomery says that's exactly where an edge is hiding. Understanding which defensive players to draft, how IDP scoring works, and how to introduce it to your league without chaos is what separates managers who dabble from those who dominate. In this episode, Jeff sits down with Matt for an IDP 101 conversation covering everything from the basics of defensive positions to startup draft strategy to the IDP Stock Market framework Matt uses to find risers and fallers every week.
IDP changes how you watch football because it unlocks the half of the game you've been ignoring.Start with "oatmeal" IDP scoring, 3-2-1 (sacks, big plays, tackles), as a starting point.Snap counts are the single best IDP research tool: 80β90% snap share means the stats will come.Linebackers are the RBs of your defense: consistent volume with upside.Add IDP gradually and build from there to keep your league fun.Go big-game hunting early in drafts, then manage conservatively through trades and waivers.IDP rookie drafts run 3β4 rounds deeper, and NFL draft capital is a reliable early-round signal.The biggest mistake IDP managers make is focusing only on the players with the best PR.
π‘ Key Takeawaysβ±οΈ Chapters / Timestamps
Matt's articles on Footballguys Footballguys snap counts tool Footballguys Follow Matt on Twitter/X Dynasty Degens on YouTubeJeff's Dynasty Rankings on Footballguys: Follow Jeff on Twitter/X
00:00 β What is IDP?
09:40 β How IDP scoring works (Matt's 3-2-1 explained)
16:14 β How IDP affects roster construction and pick value
24:02 β When to add IDP to an existing league vs. starting fresh
34:29 β Commissioner mistakes and how to avoid them
41:43 β Golden rules for IDP in an offense-first league
48:59 β Draft aggressive, manage conservative
54:09 β The IDP Stock Market series explained
01:00:20 β The biggest mistake IDP managers make & Matt's best advice
01:04:23 β Where to find Matt Montgomery
π Links Mentionedπ Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show. -
Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
-
JJ Zachariason of Late Round QB joins Dynasty Compass to break down how he identifies Year 2 and Year 3 breakout candidates before the market catches on. Knowing which players are undervalued by the market is one of the most reliable edges you can have in dynasty, whether you're contending, rebuilding, or somewhere in between. JJ covers his ZAP Model, his new Market Score metric, and the specific players he's targeting right now heading into 2026. He also highlights that "too late" is earlier than we think.
How JJ defines a breakout analytically using ADP expectation, not just raw productionWhat the ZAP Model predicts and why it's built around a player's first three NFL seasonsHow his new Market Score works and how dynasty managers can use it to find undervalued playersWhy dynasty managers are often too impatient with rookies, and when impatience is actually correctThe signals JJ looks for at each position: mobility at QB, pass-catching at RB, per-route efficiency at WR and athleticism at TEHow injuries factor into breakout evaluation, and why cost is the real variableJJ's 2026 breakout candidates at RB, WR, and TE, and when the buying window closesWhy "too late" arrives earlier than most managers thinkThe two pillars of dynasty success: production and market value
π‘ Key Takeawaysβ±οΈ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 β Welcome and Introduction
04:23 β The A-ha Moment in a Target Parking Lot
10:07 β Defining a Breakout
17:13 β Archetypes, Comps, and What the Market Misses
20:58 β Market Score: JJ's New Tool
28:17 β Cost Is Everything: Buying for Value, Not Ceiling
36:29 β Breakout Signals by Position
46:59 β Talent vs. Situation: What JJ Weighs More
54:58 β 2026 Breakout Candidates
01:09:04 β When to Buy, When to Sell
01:13:23 β The Most Common Mistakeπ Links Mentioned
Late Round QBFollow JJ on Twitter/X Late Round QB on YouTube Jeff's Dynasty Rankings Follow Jeff on Twitter/X Footballguys
π Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
Pat Fitzmaurice from FantasyPros joins Jeff Blaylock to break down how to approach a dynasty startup draft. First of all, have a real strategic plan before you go on the clock, and then stick to it. Jeff and Fitz cover positional priority, Superflex quarterback timing, TE premium math, and how to use in-draft trading to get your guys and avoid players you don't believe in.
Three strategic paths β Win now, year two, productive struggle β and how they shape every pick.Why dynasty-optimal value drives the first four to five rounds regardless of strategy.TE premium: the actual math on how much (or little) it boosts tight end value (hint: it's not 1.5x).Superflex QB timing: when to take your first and second quarterback and what happens when you wait too long.How to structure an in-draft trade, both moving up for a target and moving down when the board is flat.Why the biggest startup mistake is an incoherent roster.Fitz's Golden Rule: draft players you believe in.
π‘ Key Takeaways
FantasyPros Dynasty Football podcast Follow Pat Fitzmaurice on Twitter/X FantasyPros Jeff's Dynasty Rankings on Footballguys Follow Jeff on Twitter/X Footballguys
β±οΈ Chapters
00:00 β Introduction
03:52 β Startup draft mindset & prep
06:24 β The three strategic paths explained
10:03 β How strategy changes your picks by round
15:33 β Positional priorities in early rounds
22:08 β League settings' impacts on roster construction
28:28 β When to take quarterbacks, 1QB & Superflex
30:26 β TE premium: the math behind the myth
38:05 β Running backs: talent vs. opportunity
47:32 β In-draft trading: moving up, down, and why
01:00:03 β Golden rule: draft players you believe in
π Links Mentionedπ Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
The murkiest running back, wide receiver, and tight end rooms offer big dynasty value, if you know how to read them. Knowing how to evaluate a room instead of just a player lets you find value where others see noise, and avoid the moves that dynasty managers regret every season. Brian Hartman of Too Much Fantasy Football joins Jeff Blaylock to walk through his framework for murky situations and then get into the rooms themselves, from Pittsburgh's backfield to the Rams' TE depth chart to Chicago's WR room, where nobody is sure who is The One.
Evaluating a room, not just an individual player, can change which dynasty assets look cheap and which look like traps.The Pittsburgh backfield is one of the murkiest in the league. Brian gives Rico Dowdle a slight edge over Jaylen Warren in dynasty because of his ceiling.The Seattle situation with Jadarian Price is a cautionary tale about spending first-round picks on short-term situations, not the player's long-term value.The Washington Commanders have five running backs. None of them are must-owns, but Rachaad White may be the most interesting piece to acquire cheaply.Looking at the Bears' WR room, Brian would rather sell whichever of Luther Burden or Rome Odunze he can get the most value for, but not keep both.If he misses out on the elite TE options, Brian's spending his startup capital elsewhere and taking advantage of rookie values later.Terrance Ferguson is a dynasty buy right now despite the crowded Rams' TE room. His path to volume is clearer than his ADP suggests.Know your league before anything else: the murky situations that hurt you in a vacuum might be exactly the bet your specific league rewards.
π‘ Key Takeaways
β±οΈ Chapters/Timestamps00:00 β Introduction: Rooms, Not Players
Too Much Fantasy Football on YouTubeToo Much Movie Night on YouTube Follow Brian on Twitter/X Jeff's Dynasty Rankings, exclusively on Footballguys Follow Jeff on Twitter/X Footballguys
06:16 β Pittsburgh: Warren vs. Dowdle
13:13 β Cleveland: Judkins, Sampson and the QB Problem
22:28 β Seattle: Should You Pay for Jadarian Price?
26:59 β Houston: The Texans' Run Game Doesn't Excite Anyone
29:58 β Washington: Five Running Backs, No Clear Answer
34:36 β Wide Receivers: The Tier 2.5 Problem
40:26 β Chicago: Burden vs. Odunze
49:01 β Buffalo: DJ Moore's Value with Josh Allen
53:53 β Tight Ends: Punt the Position or Pay Up?
01:03:37 β The Rams' TE Room: Buy Terrance Ferguson
01:18:28 β Quarterbacks: Cleveland's Unsolvable Problem
01:27:51 β Overarching Advice for Murky Situations
π Links Mentioned on the Showπ Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show. -
Fantasy analysts don't love admitting they got it wrong, but owning your misses is how you get better. Addison Hayes from Dynasty League Football walks through the players who scored highly in his Marker System but still busted in the NFL, breaking down what his model caught, what it missed, and what he's still learning. Jeff adds a few of his own misses, including that one trade he still regrets.
How the Marker System uses production, athleticism, and draft capital checkboxes to grade college prospectsCorey Davis is the archetype for why small school production remains a persistent source of model errorThe N'Keal Harry List: what it is, why it exists, and who's on it in 2026The Ladd McConkey List: the positive flip side, and why Makai Lemon is the only 2026 wide receiver on itWhy Cam Akers and J.K. Dobbins are injury misses, not model failuresJeff's personal misses: Jalen Reagor, Zach Wilson, Henry Ruggs, and that Puka Nacua tradeWhat the 2026 class's historically low average grade should tell dynasty managers heading into rookie drafts
π‘ Key Takeawaysβ±οΈ Chapters/Timestamps
themarkersystem.com Dynasty League Football DLF YouTube Channel Follow Addison on Twitter/X Jeff's Dynasty Rankings on FootballguysFootballguys Follow Jeff on Twitter/X Dynasty Compass website
00:00 β Why we need to talk about our misses
07:33 β Markers: production, athleticism & draft capital
16:41 β Adjustments to raw production that tell the real story
24:11 β Corey Davis and the small school problem
26:34 β N'Keal Harry and the advanced marker gap
28:55 β Cam Akers, J.K. Dobbins, and the injury caveat
33:23 β Jadarian Price and the CEH comparison
44:11 β Small school patterns and the zone-coverage signal
47:07 β Analytics vs. film: where each approach has blind spots
51:49 β Jeff's misses: Reagor, Darnold, Wilson, Ruggs, and Puka Nacua
57:51 β Lessons for dynasty managers and a warning for 2026
1:13:17 β Where to find Addison's work
π Links Mentionedπ Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
Rookie drafts aren't the only way to improve your dynasty roster this offseason. Theo Gremminger from Fantasy Points joins Jeff to survey the dynasty trade landscape right now: who to target, what to pay, who to move, and which players are worth holding a little longer. Knowing where the value gaps are lets you trade with conviction and avoid the traps the market hasn't priced in, yet. Theo covers rookie landing spot winners and losers, veteran buy targets for contenders, the rebuild playbook, players he'd be selling today, and why the biggest mistake managers make in May has nothing to do with individual players.
Carnell Tate's landing spot is better than the market appreciates β Brian Daboll's track record with first-season receivers is a real edge.David Montgomery and Terry McLaurin are win-now targets available at an age discount that won't last.Year-two players are being overpriced; the Garrett Wilson and Ladd McConkey cautionary tales apply to some big names right now.Bucky Irving is a sell: injuries, the Kenneth Gainwell signing, and off-field concerns combine for a souring outlook.For rebuilders, 2027 seconds may be more valuable than many managers realize given the projected class and easier to obtain than first-rounders.Tight end upside at a deep discount is offered by Eli Raridon, Oscar Delp, Max Klare and Terrance Ferguson.Don't feel pressure to fill out your roster in May. You're not setting a lineup until September Acquire value and make the right moves in July and August.
π‘ Key Takeaways
β±οΈ Chapters00:00 β Introduction
00:49 β Rookie landing spot winners: Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, Jadarian Price, Kenyon Sadiq
04:33 β Rookie landing spot losers: Omar Cooper, Day 2 & 3 running backs
06:59 β The buy side: David Montgomery, Terry McLaurin, Christian Watson, Zay Flowers
12:00 β What to pay: going rates and trade philosophy
15:05 β The rebuild side: handcuffs, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck, 2027 picks
19:15 β The sell side: Bucky Irving, George Kittle, and the "no untouchables" rule
21:33 β Contenders: tiering up, two-for-ones, and year-two traps
30:43 β Depth targets: Jordan Addison, Parker Washington, rookie stashes
33:34 β The tight end evolution: Rams TE room, Eli Raridon, Oscar Delp
41:09 β The hold side: A.J. Brown, Jayden Reed, Chris Godwin, Jonathan Brooks
46:00 β Biggest mistake dynasty managers make this time of yearπ Links Mentioned
Fantasy Points Fantasy Points Fantasy Football YouTube Fantasy Points Dynasty YouTube Follow Theo on Twitter/X Jeff's Dynasty Rankings Follow Jeff on Twitter/X Footballguys
π Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show. -
Can you believe drafters are sleeping on these guys?
Path to playing time is the key to deciding which late-round rookie is worth drafting.DBro's favorite WR sleepers include Chase Roberts, CJ Daniels, Eric Rivers and Kevin Coleman Jr., who he calls "South Beach Jayden Reed."Bryce Lance is available in the third and fourth round of rookie drafts despite ranking sixth in yards per route run among all FBS and FCS receivers last year β DBro sees a Christian Watson 2.0 with a clear path to starting in New Orleans.High-end athleticism at tight end is a prerequisite for dynasty value, not just a bonus. DBro won't draft a TE who runs a 4.8 40 or slower.Oscar Delp and Eli Raridon, DBro's two most undervalued players in this class, are falling to the third and fourth round of rookie drafts when both could be long-term starting tight ends.DBro is most excited about tight ends in the fifth round and beyond of rookie drafts. He's targeting Seydou Traore, Matthew Hibner and Jaren Kanak.Seth McGowan, one of DBro's favorite late-round RBs, is worth drafting as a potential RB2 in Indy, and Eli Heidenreich is a late-round RB who might end up as a starting slot receiver.DBro is fading Demond Claiborne and Adam Randall despite the buzz, citing contact avoidance and poor tackle-breaking metrics that don't match the hype.Cole Payton is DBro's sleeper quarterback pick for Superflex leagues, while Haynes King is the waiver wire name to stash.
Knowing which rookies have a realistic path to playing time can turn a late-round pick or a waiver claim into real dynasty equity. Yet, many managers are letting these guys fall down the draft board. After this episode, you'll know exactly which 2026 rookies to grab before your leaguemates figure it out. Derek Brown, senior analyst at FantasyPros, joins Jeff Blaylock to dive deep into the 2026 rookie class and surface the late-round rookie picks dynasty managers should be drafting while their league mates draft less impactful players. From Chase Roberts and Bryce Lance to Oscar Delp, Eli Raridon, and Matthew Hibner, this is the episode for managers hunting first-round talent with fourth and fifth-round picks.
π‘ Key Takeaways
FantasyPros FP's YouTube Dynasty Channel Follow Derek Brown on Twitter/X Jeff's Dynasty Rankings at FootballguysFootballguys Follow Jeff on Twitter/XDynasty Compass website
β±οΈ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 β Introduction
08:12 β Finding first-round talent with late-round picks
14:31 β WRs: Chase Roberts & Bryce Lance
23:17 β Kevin Coleman Jr. and the Miami Dolphins' WR mess
28:04 β "TikTok footwork," contested catch rate, and what actually translates
36:04 β CJ Daniels & Eric Rivers
42:34 β TEs: Athleticism as a filter
48:17 β Oscar Delp & Eli Raridon
55:13 β Matt Hibner & Jaren Kanak
01:02:54 β RBs: Seth McGowan & Eli Heidenreich
01:10:44 β QBs: Cole Payton & Haynes King in Superflex
01:15:57 β DBro's round-by-round final picks
π Links Mentioned
π Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show. -
Jake Ciely of The Athletic has been doing fantasy football rankings for 15 years, and one of his most honest admissions is that he kind of hates them. Not because they aren't useful, but because a ranked list can't convey everything a manager actually needs to know. Understanding what rankings can and can't tell you changes how you use them. In this episode, Jeff and Jake walk through how dynasty rankings get built, why the current season deserves more weight than most dynasty managers give it, and what question you should be asking yourself every time you open a rankings page.
Rankings are a vacuum snapshot β they tell you what a ranker prefers if all else is equal, not what you should do for your specific team.Tiers communicate more than order; a player ranked 21 and a player ranked 28 in the same tier are essentially interchangeable, and a good ranker wants you to know that.Dynasty rankings take roughly twice as long to produce as redraft rankings because every player evaluation involves a multi-year time horizon.Jake weights the current season heavier than most dynasty rankers, arguing that too many managers are optimizing for 2029 instead of actually trying to win.Age is primarily a tiebreaker in the top tier, but becomes a more significant factor around ages 27β28.Contract situations are the underrated companion to age in dynasty valuation.Consulting redraft rankings alongside dynasty rankings can help break close calls, especially when you want to know which of two players has a clearer path to contributing this season.The hardest players to rank well are often not the stars but the mid-tier options whose range of outcomes is widest and upside matters more than floor.Jake's closing advice: stop being a lazy manager. Look at other teams' needs, make offers, start conversations. Don't just wait for trades to come to you.
π‘ Key Takeaways
β±οΈ Chapters00:00 β Introduction
Jake Ciely at The Athletic Jake's Post-Draft Dynasty Rankings Follow Jake on Twitter/X All In Speed Run podcast on Apple Podcasts FantasyPros Jeff's Dynasty Rankings Follow Jeff on Twitter/XFootballguys
04:58 β The Question Rankings Try to Answer
14:08 β Tiers and What Gets Lost
21:13 β Weighting This Year vs. Future Years
27:32 β How Age and Contracts Factor into Rankings
37:38 β How Jake Uses, and Avoids, Outside Rankers
42:36 β When Are Your Rankings Done?
52:56 β Should Dynasty Managers Use Redraft Rankings?
01:04:17 β Stop Being Lazy & #BanKickers
π Links Mentioned
π Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
Dynasty managers misvalue injured players β and most of the time, it's because the conventional wisdom is wrong. Footballguys injury expert Adam Hutchison has tracked more than 2,000 injuries across nine seasons, and the data pushes back on some of the most common assumptions: about ACL recovery, about age and athleticism, about which injuries actually linger and which ones don't. Knowing where the myths break down lets you buy low when others are running scared β and avoid the traps that look like value but aren't. Adam also shares which injured dynasty assets he's buying and selling right now, and closes with a three-question checklist every manager should run before making any move on an injured player.
Dynasty managers assume age and athleticism predict ACL recovery. The data says otherwise. Past performance is far more predictive than a player's age or athleticism.The "injury prone" label is real but haphazardly applied. Adam's Recovery Score metric shows that some players consistently beat their timelines while others (including some big names) consistently miss more time than expected.The number of days between surgery and returning to the lineup has a meaningful, positive relationship with post-injury fantasy output. Dynasty managers should be wary of players returning too quickly after surgery.Re-injury risk is higher than most managers realize for certain injury types β MCL sprains for RBs, hamstrings for TEs and WRs β and that risk isn't priced into most dynasty markets.Not all injuries linger the same way. Lower leg injuries suppress RB production the longest. Core and hip injuries are the most damaging for WRs' performance. Treating all injuries as equal leads to mispriced trades.Some injuries are almost never worth buying at any price. Achilles tears, knee dislocations, and patellar tendon ruptures are the three Adam won't touch regardless of discount.Before any injured-player move, run Adam's three-question checklist: know your window, know the injury, know the risk.
π‘ Key Takeaways
Footballguys Adam's Articles on Footballguys Follow Adam on Twitter/X Follow Jeff on Twitter/X Coachspeak Index (Greg Brainos) Keep Trade Cut (dynasty valuation site)
β±οΈ Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 β Injuries: An Unfortunate Reality in Football
04:03 β Adam's PT Background Shapes His Injury Analysis
11:43 β Is the 'Injury Prone' Trope Real?
15:12 β Christian McCaffrey, Injury Patterns & Practice Philosophy
21:38 β ACL and Achilles: Is the βRecovery Yearβ Trope Real?
27:53 β Other Injury Myths the Data Doesnβt Support
31:19 β Re-injury Rates by Position
40:46 β Lingering Effects of Injuries on Production
47:01 β When Should Missing Practice Actually Concern You?
53:10 β Expectations for Alec Pierce, Jonathan Brooks & Tank Dell
59:37 β Adam's Checklist for Buying an Injured Player
π Links Mentionedπ Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
The 2026 NFL Draft is over. Now the real dynasty work begins. Andrew Cooper of Fantasy Alarm joins Jeff to separate the winners from the losers, highlight the dream landing spots and the fantasy nightmares, and decode the biggest reaches and strangest picks. From Jeremiyah Love's arrival to a crowded RB room to the Jets' bumper crop of slot weapons to the best snipe in NFL draft history, Coop has the intel and strategy you need to win your rookie drafts.
Coopβs βBlock Lineβ evaluates the draft class based on when the first pure blocking tight end is taken. The 2026 class had the earliest Block Line in recent memory.Don't overthink Jeremiyah Love (ARI) because of the Cardinals' backfield situation. He's the 1.01, regardless of format.Kenyon Sadiq's landing spot (NYJ) was great ... for an hour. Then the Jets drafted Omar Cooper Jr. The slot has gotten crowded.Eli Stowers (PHI): the Eagles told him heβs the next in their lineage of star second-round tight ends.Depressed RBs: The NIL era has created a bottleneck at running back, and draft capital suffered for it.Coopβs favorite non-first-round dynasty picks: Eli Raridon (NE), Elijah Sarratt (BAL), Malachi Fields (NYG) and Adam Randall (BAL).De'Zhaun Stribling (SF) and Kaelon Black (SF) headline the reaches, and force Coop and Jeff to rethink their rankings.Coop rates KC Concepcion as the last rookie heβs truly comfortable taking in round one of dynasty rookie drafts β after five or six the value gets very sketchy very fast.Despite a weak class, there's value to mine in later rookie draft rounds.
π‘ Key Takeawaysβ±οΈ Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 β The Draft Is Over
Fantasy AlarmFollow Andrew Cooper on Twitter/X SiriusXM Fantasy Sports RadioJeffβs Dynasty RankingsFollow Jeff on Twitter/XFootballguysFootballguys Rookie Guide
03:39 β The βBlock Lineβ: Coopβs draft quality litmus test
08:42 β Tight end landing spots: Sadiq & the Jets disaster, Stowers & Raridon
19:01 β Tight end nightmares: Roush, Klare & the Ramsβ 5-TE
24:15 β Wide receiver landing spots: Williams, Bernard & the best/worst spots
36:35 β Running backs: the NIL bottleneck and why the class is thin
42:10 β Jeremiyah Love: just take him 1.01, full stop
49:09 β Jeanty, Washington & the Raidersβ split-backfield reality
55:28 β Quarterback landing spots: Mendoza, Simpson & the rushing QB flyers
1:06:25 β Reaches, head-scratchers & the panic picks
1:15:32 β Value picks & sleepers: Raridon, Branch, Brazzell & late-round darts
1:20:53 β Dynasty rookie draft strategy: round-by-round recommendations
π Links Mentioned
π Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show. -
Your rookie pick is never more valuable than when it's on the clock, and the trade window is open. Should you make the pick, trade down, or trade out? Jeff Blaylock sits down with Pete Nova of PlayerProfiler to break down the strategy behind trading picks during your live rookie draft. Knowing when to sell, when to hold, and what to ask for can be the difference between winning and spinning your wheels. Whether you're sitting at the 1.01 or staring at a late third you're not excited about, there's a strategy for every spot on the board.
A pick's value peaks when it's on the clock β certainty is the asset being traded, and knowing your league matters before you try to use it.Rebuilders with the 1.01 should always be listening to offers, not just taking the pick. Drafting a player without offering trades or considering trading down for multiple assets is malpractice.Moving from an early first area requires a proven player in return, not just picks. A.J. Brown is the kind of asset that justifies dropping a few slots.Moving up in the second round means targeting running backs. Wide receiver hit rates are too low to justify burning assets for a late-second receiver.Third-round picks are prime candidates to trade for veterans if you're contending, like a Rachaad White or J.K. Dobbins, or opportunities to invest in intriguing tight end prospects.Future non-first picks are throw-ins. Future distant firsts should be valued like seconds because the uncertainty is real.The person holding the pick on the clock has the leverage, but if you're sitting on a pick you don't want, smart opponents will smell it.
π‘ Key Takeawaysβ±οΈ Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 β Intro
05:06 β When Is a Draft Pick's Value at Its Peak?
09:26 β The 1.01: Buying and Selling the Top Pick
14:04 β The 1.03 Tier: What It Takes to Move Down
16:34 β Second-Round Strategies
21:49 β Third-Round Picks: Veterans, Tight Ends, and Futures
28:06 β Your Guy Is on the Board: Draft Now or Negotiate?
35:15 β Who Has the Leverage On the Clock?
39:52 β Deciding to Trade Down vs. Move Out Completely
44:10 β Buying the 2027 Hype?
47:16 β How to Value Future Picks in an Active Tradeπ Links Mentioned
PlayerProfiler Dynasty YouTubeFollow Pete Nova on Twitter/XJeff's Dynasty RankingsFollow Jeff on Twitter/X
π Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
Every incoming rookie gets defined by a blizzard of metrics, but which ones matter for predicting dynasty success? Ryan Heath of Fantasy Points joins Dynasty Compass to walk through the analytical models he built to rank rookies at wide receiver, tight end, and running back. He explains the specific metrics that predict early career fantasy success, which players in the 2026 class those metrics love, which ones concern him, and why. Ryan drops tons of insights on Jordyn Tyson, Jonah Coleman, Elijah Sarratt, Max Klare, Michael Trigg, Tanner Koziol, Zachariah Branch, and many more.
Yards per team passing attempt and first downs per route run are the most predictive metrics for WRsReception share, missed tackles forced and athleticism score matter most for TEs"Yards After" and targets per routes run are critical to RB successRaw metrics can mislead; they need to be adjusted for age, team volume & strength of scheduleBeware "one hit wonders" β guys with a single season of solid productionSlot concentration and overreliance on screens are big red flags for WRsThe evolution of the TE role and rise of multi-TE sets have serious implications for production
π‘ Key Takeaways
Ryan's Rookie RB Rankings Ryan's Rookie WR Rankings Ryan's Rookie TE RankingsFollow Ryan Heath on Twitter/XFantasy PointsFollow Jeff on Twitter/XJeff's Dynasty Rankings at FootballguysFootballguys Rookie Draft Guide
β±οΈ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 β Welcome & Model Building
05:44 β What the Model Predicts
10:35 β Predictive Metrics for WRs
17:14 β Predictive Metrics for TEs
28:09 β Predictive Metrics for RBs
33:17 β Flag Plants: Coleman, Tyson, Sarratt
41:54 β The Problem with Screens: Zachariah Branch
46:32 β Troubles with Washington, Bell & Hurst
52:27 β TEs Who Shine and Those Who Donβt
56:51 β The Problem with Slot Concentration
1:01:31 β Understanding Tiers Is Key
π Links Mentionedπ Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show. -
Most commissioners think their job is merely administrative. They collect dues, schedule drafts, manage league settings and move on. Footballguys' community engagement leader Joey Wright thinks that's only the beginning. In this episode, Joey joins Jeff Blaylock to talk about what it actually takes to build a dynasty league that people never want to leave, from the three roles every commissioner plays to the tools and traditions that keep a league alive year-round to what separates a good commissioner from a great one. Whether you're a veteran commissioner or thinking about launching your first league, this conversation will change how you see your role.
You may want to check out this episode on YouTube for some special photos and moments that don't necessarily translate to audio-only formats.
The three hats every commissioner wears: administrator, mediator, and social chairWhy turnover is the truest signal a league is in troubleHow a league constitution prevents most conflicts before they startThe best communication tools for keeping leagues engaged are outside the appThe off-season engagement playbook: events, birthdays, and moreWhat to look for in a commissioner and what skills the role actually requiresStarting a dynasty league from scratch: settings, format, buy-in, and timingThe Empire dynasty format and why it may be the future of money leagues
Topics IncludeChapters/Timestamps
00:00 β The Commissioner Builds the Community
01:55 β Joey's Road to a Full-time Fantasy Role
09:19 β The Home League Show & How It Came to Be
13:10 β Think Bigger Than Administration
17:06 β The Three Hats: Administrator, Mediator, Social Chair
23:01 β What to Look for in a Commissioner
31:00 β Skills Every Commissioner Needs
38:29 β Handling Conflict & the Constitution
46:17 β How to Level Up Your League
55:39 β Parting Advice for New Commissioners
58:58 β Where to Find Joey
Links & Resources Mentioned in the Show
Download an Example League Constitution
Order "The Commissioner's Playbook: A Guide to Creating the Fantasy Football League of Your Dreams" from Amazon (not an affiliate link)
Follow Joey on Twitter/X
The Home League Show on YouTube
Trivia Night Live on YouTube
Footballguys
Follow Jeff on Twitter/X
Jeff's Dynasty Rankings
Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
Orphan leagues are often the easiest entry into dynasty, and adopting one comes with a learning curve that nobody warns you about. FFToday's Dustin Ludke joins Jeff Blaylock to walk through the full orphan experience: how to evaluate a roster before you commit, what to expect from your new league mates, and how to rebuild from the worst team in the league into a contender. Knowing what's actually coming β from early lowball offers to the energy drain of managing a rebuild β can be the difference between a frustrating experience and a future championship run.
Topics Include:
How to evaluate an orphan roster before agreeing to take it overRed flags that signal a league you should walk away fromFee negotiation and how to protect yourself from being a league's ATM machineFinding cornerstone players in a bad rosterHow to use a win threshold framework for closing the gap, position by positionWhy new orphan managers underestimate the energy a rebuild requiresHow to read your league mates and match the trading energy of a new leagueThe "ask for the throw-in" principle and how lottery tickets compound over timeChapters/Timestamps:
00:00 β Orphans Are the Gateway Drug to Dynasty
02:05 β Justin's Diary of an Orphan
07:10 β Evaluating an Orphan Before You Commit
12:00 β Red Flags: Turnover, Fees & League Drama
20:00 β Finding Cornerstones in a Disaster Roster
22:48 β What New Orphan Managers Underestimate
28:50 β The First Thing to Do After Adoption
35:25 β Minimal Increases: How Rebuilds Actually Work
42:50 β What Dustin Wishes He'd Known About Dynasty
47:10 β Where to Find DustinLinks Mentioned in the Episode
Follow Dustin on Twitter/X FFToday Follow Jeff on Twitter/XJeff's Dynasty RankingsFootballguysLeagueSafe LeagueSafe Find a LeagueDynatyzeVisit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
Alfredo Brown of the Pretend GM joins Jeff Blaylock to dig into the 2026 rookie class β not the names everyone already knows, but the players worth targeting in rounds 2, 3, and beyond. Knowing which late-round prospects have real upside versus which ones are just names on a sheet can mean the difference between a dynasty-winning stash and wasted roster space. Alfredo walks through his proprietary PGM Score, his Low/Median/High player comp framework, and what he took away from watching prospects in person at the NFL Combine. A must-listen before your rookie draft.
Topics Include:
How the PGM Score is built and what it measures at each positionWhy three player comps beat one, and how to read a range of outcomesWhat it's actually like to scout players in person at the NFL CombineWR sleepers: Ted Hurst, Brennan Thompson, and CJ DanielsRB sleepers: Jaydn Ott and what makes him a fourth-round targetTE sleepers: Max Claire, Oscar Delp, Eli Rein, and the blocking-matters argumentPass protection concerns: Kaytron Allen, Jadarian Price, and Kenyon SadiqWhy Pretend GM Gems mark the players where film, analytics, and draft value all alignClass quality, kicking the can on bad draft years, and using picks based on your team's actual directionChapters/Timestamps
00:00 β Intro & Welcome
02:57 β What moved Alfredo to build a rookie guide
06:23 β The PGM Score: how it's built and why
09:48 β How the PGM Score maps to player tiers
11:50 β Player comps using Chris Brazzell as an example
16:15 β Where to find the Pretend GM Rookie Draft Guide
17:33 β Alfredo's experiences at the Combine
22:16 β How the Combine affects his rankings
28:03 β WR sleepers: Ted Hurst, Brenen Thompson
36:20 β RB sleepers: Jaydn Ott
39:12 β TE sleepers: Max Klare, Oscar Delp, Eli Raridon
43:19 β Pass protection concerns: Kaytron Allen, Kenyon Sadiq
48:29 β Pretend GM Gems: CJ Daniels, Taylen Green
51:20 β Class quality, kicking the can, and using picks wisely
57:43 β Wrap & where to find AlfredoLinks Mentioned on the Show
Get the Pretend GM Rookie Guide Pretend GM Podcast Follow Alfredo on Twitter/X Jeff's Dynasty Rankings at FootballguysFollow Jeff on Twitter/XSupport the Show: If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
Jeff Blaylock and RotoWire's Alan Seslowsky return for Part II of their conversation, working through every significant free agency mover and what it means for your dynasty roster before the NFL Draft arrives. Knowing which players to buy now, which to hold, and which to trade away before the market catches up is the difference between a dynasty offseason well-spent and one you'll regret. They close with a look at which veteran players are about to get kneecapped by the incoming rookie class β and how both hosts are planning to use their picks in the degenerate four-quarterback league they share.
Travis Etienne's move to New Orleans and what it means for Bhayshul Tuten in JacksonvilleRico Dowdle in Pittsburgh: real dynasty asset or glorified trade chip?The Panthers backfield: Chuba Hubbard, Jonathan Brooks, and Trevor EtienneA.J. Brown as the run-into-the-burning-building buy of the offseasonMike Evans to San Francisco: the easiest veteran buy of the windowD.J. Moore to Buffalo, Wan'Dale Robinson to Tennessee, and what they leave behindIsaiah Likely, Chig Okonkwo, and the tight end middle classTyreek Hill, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and Jauan Jennings β buy while unsignedWhich veterans are primed to get kneecapped by Jeremiah Love's landing spotHow Jeff and Alan are approaching their rookie draft picks in their shared league
Topics IncludeChapters/Timestamps
00:00 β Intro
00:50 β Travis Etienne & Jaguars Impacts
04:23 β Rico Dowdle in Pittsburgh
08:19 β The Panthers Backfield: Hubbard, Brooks & Trevor Etienne
12:35 β Courtland Sutton & De'Von Achane: Hold or Move?
14:51 β The Seattle Backfield Without Kenneth Walker
18:08 β Time to Buy A.J. Brown or Jaylen Waddle?
22:13 β Mike Evans to San Francisco: Easy Buy
25:35 β DJ Moore to Buffalo & Wan'Dale Robinson to Tennessee
32:08 β Isaiah Likely, Mark Andrews & David Njoku
35:30 β Chig Okonkwo: Sneaky Winner of Free Agency
38:29 β Aiyuk, Hill, Deebo & Jauan Jennings: Buy the Unsigned
41:58 β Who Gets Kneecapped by the Rookie Draft?
45:31 β What We're Doing with Our Picks
Links Mentioned on the Show
Episode 29 (Part 1 of this conversation with Alan)Follow Alan Seslowsky on X:
RotoWire
SiriusXM Fantasy Sports RadioCatch The Dynasty Hour, hosted by Alan Seslowsky, on SiriusXM Channel 87, Tues/Wed/Fri 1:00 PM ET
Jeff's Dynasty Rankings
Follow Jeff on Twitter/X
Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show. -
The window between free agency and the NFL Draft may be the most underrated trade market of the dynasty calendar, and most managers are either frozen or making the wrong moves. Jeff Blaylock sits down with RotoWire's Alan Seslowsky to break down how to think about this moment and shares his philosophy of running into the burning building.
In Part 1 of this two-episode series, Jeff and Alan discuss who to target before the market catches up and why waiting for the draft usually costs you more than it saves. They also dig into the 2027 pick hype, the Alec Pierce sleeper case, Kyler vs JJ, Jaylen Waddle's prospects in Denver, and why Kenneth Walker's dynasty value is more complicated than it appears.Topics Include
Why the post-free agency, pre-draft window is an undervalued trade marketAlan's philosophy of running into the burning buildingDented cans & broken toys: names worth a second lookThe 2027 pick hype: legitimate signal or dynasty groupthink?Alec Pierce: overlooked dynasty riser right now?How coaching changes create buy and sell opportunities dynasty managers are missingJaylen Waddle's upside in Denver and what it means for the whole offenseKenneth Walker: cash out into the Super Bowl MVP hype, or hold?Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 β That Crazy League We're In Together
05:04 β Should You Ever Rebuild, or Always Go for It?
09:54 β Grading the Offseason Chaos
12:59 β Run Into the Burning Building
17:39 β Dented Cans & Broken Toys
21:09 β Bench Size Changes Everything
24:52 β The 2027 Class Hype: Real or Overblown?
29:14 β The Counterintuitive Play for an 8th Place Team
31:26 β Offseason Storylines We're Sleeping On
36:30 β The Case for Buying Productive Vets Now
39:24 β Jaylen Waddle's Opportunity in Denver
44:38 β Kenneth Walker: Cash Out or Hold?
50:32 β Juggling Leagues & Platforms
55:37 β On Agentic AI: "I Saw War Games"Links Mentioned
RotowireSiriusXM Fantasy Sports RadioFollow Alan on Twitter/XJeff's Dynasty Rankings at Footballguys Follow Jeff on Twitter/XSupport the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
Dynasty rookie draft picks look sequential β but they are not created equal. Knowing where the gaps are located lets you trade for value and avoid traps.
In this episode of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock breaks down the hidden value cliffs that divide rookie drafts into distinct probability bands.
Using nine years of ADP data and rookie performance outcomes, Jeff explains why the 1.01 stands alone, how much value the first 16 picks historically produce, how likely you'll draft a fantasy starter, and why the largest value cliff in the entire rookie draft occurs between picks 2.04 and 2.05.
Understanding where these cliffs exist can help dynasty managers trade down intelligently, capture additional value, and avoid the traps that cause managers to overpay for perceived certainty.
Topics Include
Why rookie draft picks have no inherent valueDraft pick bands vs rookie tiersThe unique value of the 1.01Historical hit rates by rookie draft pickThe 2.04 vs 2.05 βGrand Canyonβ value dropHow your rookie draft is really two draftsTrading down to gain dynasty valueChapters / Timestamps
00:00 The Dirty Secret of Rookie Draft Picks
03:02 The Lottery Ticket Problem
04:18 What Draft Picks Actually Guarantee
06:33 Certainty vs Flexibility in Rookie Drafts
08:50 Draft Pick Bands vs Rookie Tiers
10:06 This Year's 1.03-1.05
12:51 How the Research Was Built
16:27 The Rookie Draft Pick Bands
17:54 Why the 1.01 Is Unique
19:54 Expected Value by Pick Range
23:23 The 2.04 vs 2.05 Chasm
29:05 Example Dynasty Trades
32:52 The Strategy: Trade Down Within BandsResources Mentioned in the Show
Episode 25 - Draft or Trade? 1-Round Rookie Mock with Heath CummingsFootballguys Rookie Draft GuideDynasty League Football Jeff's Dynasty RankingsFollow Jeff on Twitter/XSupport the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
-
NFL free agency can reshape the dynasty landscape overnight.
In this episode of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock is joined by Marc Gartenberg to break down the players and teams dynasty managers should be watching as the free agency signing period begins.
They discuss possible landing spots for Kenneth Walker, Travis Etienne, Tyreek Hill, Kyler Murray, and Malik Willis, along with the teams that could dramatically shift fantasy outcomes depending on how aggressively they attack the market.
For dynasty managers, free agency is often the moment when player values rise β or collapse β before the draft even begins.
Topics Include
β’ Why this free agency period could be unpredictable
β’ Teams that must get free agency right
β’ Kenneth Walker and Travis Etienne landing spot scenarios
β’ Quarterback movement and dynasty ripple effects
β’ Dream vs nightmare landing spots for fantasy players
β’ Sleeper free agents to watch
β’ Strategy for dynasty managers entering free agencyChapters / Timestamps
00:00 β Free Agency Is Coming
01:30 β Why This Free Agency Period Could Be Chaotic
03:05 β Teams That Must Nail Free Agency
06:30 β Running Backs Who Could Change Dynasty Value
09:39 β Wide Receivers to Watch in Free Agency
14:00 β Chicago Adds by Subtraction
16:33 β Surprise Free Agents Who Could Rise
18:50 β Landing Spots That Kill Fantasy Value
21:39 β Quarterback Domino Effects (Kyler, Cousins, Willis)
26:45 β Dream vs Nightmare Landing Spots
31:15 β Kenneth Walker & Travis Etienne Scenarios
34:15 β WR Landing Spot Possibilities
37:45 β Dreaming About Njoku
42:27 β Where to Find Marcβs WorkLinks Mentioned
Follow Marc Gartenberg on Twitter/X, on YouTube, on Instagram
Follow Jeff Blaylock on Twitter/X
Jeff's Dynasty Rankings on Footballguys
Support the Show
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a review, and sharing the show with a fellow dynasty manager. Your support helps the show grow and reach more members of the dynasty community.
Visit the Dynasty Compass website
- Laat meer zien
