Afleveringen
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Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Doomberg, head writer for the Doomberg Substack, to discuss a range of topics including Trump's presidency, national debt challenges, energy policy, and global geopolitical dynamics.
Doomberg begins by analyzing Donald Trump's first 58 days in office, highlighting his whirlwind pace of executive actions. He notes that Trump is fulfilling many promises but acknowledges the limitations of relying on executive orders, which can be undone by future administrations. Doomberg expresses concern about the long-term effects of policy whiplash on industries with lengthy planning cycles, emphasizing the importance of predictable governance for capital investment.
The conversation shifts to the national debt and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's challenges in refinancing $6.7 trillion of maturing debt. Doomberg criticizes Janet Yellen's management of the debt maturity curve, comparing it to practices seen in emerging markets before crises. He suggests that Trump's team is navigating a delicate fiscal situation, potentially leading to a short but deep recession to reset the economy ahead of midterm elections.
Doomberg explores unconventional strategies like creating a crypto reserve or revaluing U.S. gold holdings to alleviate debt pressures. He also discusses the potential for tax reforms and spending cuts.
The Doom Bird discusses energy policy under Secretary Chris Wright, praising his business acumen and alignment with pro-energy industry stances. The Lifting of LNG export restrictions and the expected surge in energy production could position Trump's administration as friendly to business despite the risks of policy volatility.
Doomberg also examines global trade dynamics, particularly U.S. - Canada relations under Mark Carney's leadership and potential tariffs as a revenue source.
The discussion extends to geopolitical tensions, including Trump's approach to Ukraine, NATO, and potential conflicts with Iran. Doomberg questions the feasibility of military interventions and suggests that economic leverage, such as energy supplies, might play a more significant role in resolving conflicts than direct confrontation.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:55 - Trump Accomplishments?4:30 - Yellen & Debt Servicing7:28 - Debt Solutions/Crypto?11:55 - Gold Revaluation?14:14 - Tariffs, DOGE, & Tax Changes23:04 - Energy Policy Changes27:08 - Tariff Revenue?29:19 - Trade Wars & Canada34:37 - Carney Conspiracy38:29 - Ukraine Thinking43:04 - Dismantling NATO45:26 - E.U. Energy & Military50:06 - Military Might51:34 - Iran Considerations53:42 - BRICS Path Forward?57:13 - Competing Ideas & Truth1:02:53 - Content Treadmill1:07:27 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:X: https://x.com/DoombergTWebsite: https://doomberg.substack.com
Doomberg is the anonymous publishing arm of a bespoke consulting firm providing advisory services to family offices and c-suite executives. Its principals apply their decades of experience across heavy industry, private equity, and finance to deliver innovative thinking and clarity to complex problems. -
Tom welcomes James Anderson back from SDBullion to discuss the significant developments in the precious metals market. James delves into the recent all-time highs for gold at $3,000 per ounce, highlighting its historical significance and the potential implications for investors.
Anderson emphasizes that breaking through key price levels like $1,000, $2,000, and now $3,000 is not just a numerical milestone but often signals shifts in market dynamics. He recalls past volatility, such as the 2008 financial crisis when gold prices plummeted before rebounding, illustrating how these events shape investor behavior and market trends.
James also touches on the broader economic context, including the role of central banks and the potential for a paradigm shift in asset valuation. Anderson suggests that gold is likely to reassert its dominance over traditional assets like stocks and bonds, driven by factors such as debt levels, inflation, and geopolitical tensions.
Silver's recent market dynamics are explored as well, with Anderson noting significant physical withdrawals from London markets and the impact of tariffs on supply chains. He advises investors to monitor lease rates and physical inventories, warning against the risks of ETFs that may not fully reflect underlying asset availability.
Anderson also addresses cultural differences in precious metals investment, highlighting how Eastern economies, with historical experiences of currency devaluation, tend to prioritize gold and silver as reliable stores of value. In contrast, Western investors often lack this historical perspective.
Looking ahead, Anderson discusses potential future developments, including the possibility of a gold revaluation and the importance of long-term planning and diversification, advocating for a prudent allocation into precious metals.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:50 - $3000 Gold Significance4:14 - Long-Term Technicals8:04 - LBMA Gold Situation10:59 - ETFs & PSLV Audits16:58 - Western Metals Apathy18:50 - Fort Knox Psyop21:05 - Eastern Buying23:56 - Nominal Highs & Inflation26:12 - Doubts & Tariffs29:00 - Gold Confiscation Risk?32:18 - Platinum Metals?34:52 - 2025 Investment Advice39:26 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/jameshenryandYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/sdbullion/videosWebsite: https://sdbullion.com/Blog: https://sdbullion.com/blogJames Book: https://sdbullion.com/21st-century-gold-rush-book
A bullion buyer years before the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, James Anderson is a grounded precious metals researcher, content creator, and physical investment grade bullion professional. He has authored several Gold & Silver Guides and been featured on the History Channel, Zero Hedge, Gold-Eagle, Silver Seek, Value Walk, and many more.
Given that repressed commodity values are now near 100-year low-level valuations versus large US stocks, investors and savers should buy and maintain a prudent physical bullion position. Continued stimulus and unfunded promises will only debase the dollar further. -
Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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Tom Bodrovics welcomes back the always forthright Chris Irons host of Quoth the Raven podcast host and author of QTR's Fringe Finance Substack.
The conversation covers a wide range of topics, from economic policies to mental well-being. They discuss the inefficiencies of government-run services compared to private sector alternatives, using examples like FedEx versus the Postal Service. They also critique the Federal Reserve's role in managing economic crises, arguing that bailouts have conditioned people to expect comfort without facing necessary consequences.
Chris expresses concerns about market bubbles in cryptocurrencies, equities, and real estate, warning of potential cascading effects from options trading, ETFs, and leveraged loans. The duo also discusses the possibility of a significant market crash and its psychological impact on individuals who are conditioned to expect bailouts.
The conversation touches on social issues like gender rights, emphasizing the importance of common sense and moderation. Chris advocates for personal responsibility and delayed gratification as essential coping mechanisms against societal overindulgence and the culture of instant gratification.
Tom and Chris highlight the importance of mental preparedness and resilience, drawing parallels between economic discomfort and personal well-being. They stress the value of practicing discomfort and mindfulness to build psychological resilience, referencing stoic philosophies and the benefits of introspection.
The discussion ends on a cautious note, acknowledging the potential for significant societal change but expressing uncertainty about whether it will lead to positive outcomes like fiscal discipline or greater social responsibility. They conclude with reflections on wealth, happiness, and the importance of inner peace, suggesting that true contentment often lies within personal mental fortitude rather than external circumstances.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:47 - Crazy News Flow6:12 - Perceptions, Media, & Mkts20:27 - Competing Ideas & Debate31:17 - Economic Theory & Outlook34:20 - The Inequality Gap44:50 - Slow Decline & Taxes53:50 - Spending Cuts & Reactions1:08:00 - Four Year U.S. Outlook?1:14:50 - Bandaid Fixes & Comfort1:16:40 - Personal Responsibility1:22:10 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCxUo55-0ScpOQNdug8FCzzA/videosPodcast: https://quoththeraven.podbean.comSubstack + Discount: https://quoththeraven.substack.com/subscribe?coupon=92245385X: https://x.com/QTRResearch
Chris Irons is the host of The Quoth The Raven Podcast, a show dedicated to discussing Fringe Finance topics and exploring the boundaries of investment decisions. Irons has spent years reading the news and has developed a strong opinion on the mainstream media's ability to drive a narrative which serves the interests of a small minority. His focus is to provide content that is rarely found elsewhere and to curate content from people he respects. Irons is not afraid to challenge the mainstream narrative or succumb to it when it serves the collective best interests.
Chris is not providing investment advice and the content on The Quoth The Raven podcast/substack is not meant to be taken as such. Anything mentioned should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell anything. -
Craig Hemke from TF Metals Report discusses macroeconomic trends, gold markets, and investment strategies. He emphasizes the importance of central bank demand for gold, driven by geopolitical tensions like Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has led to record purchases over the past three years. This demand has created a physical floor under the gold market despite rising interest rates and a strong dollar.
Hemke also explores the role of the Federal Reserve, noting its significant impact on liquidity and market expectations. He discusses potential quantitative easing measures due to high government spending and deficits, which could further inflate asset prices. The yield curve inversion in 2024 was highlighted as a precursor to economic challenges, with the Fed's policy shifts influencing currency and metals markets.
The conversation touches on the complexities of investing in precious metals, particularly silver, which straddles commodity and monetary roles. Hemke warned against passive investments like ETFs, advising investors to do thorough research when selecting individual mining stocks. He stresses the importance of a diversified portfolio and cautions against overexposure to any single asset.
Contrarian investing is addressed, with Hemke encouraging prudence rather than extremism. He advises increasing allocations to gold gradually, emphasizing long-term strategic positioning rather than timing market dips. He concludes by reiterating the role of gold as a hedge against a debt-based monetary system nearing its limits, urging investors to focus on preserving purchasing power through physical ownership.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - Macrocast & C.B. Demand5:42 - Fed's Importance?8:00 - Moar Q.E. Coming?11:25 - Fed & Drastic Action12:55 - State of Equity Mkts16:37 - Tariffs & Big Picture23:54 - U.S. Gold Revaluation?32:26 - Gold Supply & Demand?35:35 - It's Fine39:00 - Silver Considerations41:48 - Miners & Prod. Costs47:13 - Contrarian Mindset49:55 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/TFMetalsWebsite: https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/subscribeArticle: Inversion/Reversion Macrocast - https://goldseek.com/article/inversion-reversion-2025-macrocast
Craig Hemke, aka "Turd Ferguson," was a licensed securities "professional" for nearly twenty years. Then, disgruntled by the fraud known as "financial services," he retired to a career as a serial entrepreneur in 2008. Though otherworldly in his ability to forecast price movements, Craig is not a soothsayer, a psychic, or a witch, but, after all these years, he has a decent understanding of the forces at play in the precious metal "markets." -
Tom welcomes back Matthew Pipenburg from Von Greyerz Gold Switzerland for another thoughtful swap-fest. They began by discussing the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and its impact on military spending, which has diverted resources away from domestic priorities like healthcare and education. They pointed out that many countries are facing significant debt issues, leading to a shift away from the US dollar as the primary reserve currency. This trend has increased interest in gold as an alternative asset for reserves.
The role of gold was a key topic, with Matthew noting that while revaluing gold could offer short-term benefits but it wouldn’t resolve the underlying debt crisis. Central banks, especially those in BRICS countries, have been increasing their gold holdings as a strategic reserve, reflecting growing doubts about fiat currencies. Matt criticized high military spending relative to domestic investments in the US, arguing that this imbalance is unsustainable.
They also talked about central bank operations and market manipulation. Quantitative easing has led to market distortions and bubbles, while market manipulation risks eroding trust in financial systems. The conversation turned to global shifts, with BRICS countries gaining influence through their increased use of gold as a reserve asset. Tom highlighted the likelihood of significant market corrections due to high valuations and economic instability.
Finally, Matthew emphasized the need for informed, fact-based discussions rather than partisan debates, urging critical thinking about government policies and encouraging engagement with diverse viewpoints from contrarian sources like Jeffrey Sachs.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:43 - Peace & Euro War Drums17:53 - Cold War & Rationality26:30 - Trump & The Liberal Shift29:00 - Negative Real Rates34:18 - Capital Controls & CBDCs37:49 - Cognitive Dissonance?41:25 - Yellen & Short Term Debt45:53 - Adjustment Period52:23 - Gold Going Mainstream?58:04 - Revaluing U.S. Gold1:02:02 - U.S. Gold Holdings?1:08:15 - Canadian Leadership1:10:30 - Conclusion & Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
The world faces significant economic challenges, including high debt levels, shifting reserve currencies, and the weaponization of financial instruments.
Gold is increasingly seen as a safer asset in uncertain times, with central banks diversifying their reserves.
There's an urgent need for balanced, fact-based discussions to address complex economic and geopolitical issues.
Guest LinksX: https://x.com/GoldSwitzerlandWebsite: https://goldswitzerland.com/Website: https://vg.goldArticles: https://signalsmatter.com/Book (Amazon): https://tinyurl.com/pvpfmy8c
Matthew Piepenburg is a Partner of Von Greyerz and the author of the popular book, "Rigged to Fail". Matt is fluent in French, German, and English. He is a graduate of Brown (BA), Harvard (MA), and the University of Michigan (JD). His widely-respected reports on macro conditions and the changing behavior of risk assets are published regularly at SignalsMatter.com. -
In this podcast episode of Palisades Gold Radio, your host Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Michael Oliver from Momentum Structural Analysis. A length discussion on the outlook for silver and gold, stock market trends, and broader economic factors ensues.
Oliver explains his $250 target for silver as realistic, noting historical precedents where silver outperformed gold during bull markets. He highlights the spread between silver and gold, emphasizing that silver could reach 2% of gold’s price, a significant move from its current level of around 1.13%. This would translate to a substantial increase in silver prices if gold rises significantly.
Oliver believes gold will lead the way up but notes silver and gold miners may outperform due to their lower valuations relative to gold. He shows charts indicating gold’s strength against the S&P 500, with gold currently at about 45% of the index compared to a peak of 60%. Gold’s momentum remains strong despite minor pullbacks.
Oliver warns that the stock market bubble is set to burst. He expects asset managers to shift funds into gold and related assets as the market weakens. The gold miners index (XAU) is undervalued compared to gold, suggesting significant potential gains once investors begin to reallocate capital.
Oliver discusses the dollar’s potential decline, noting a critical momentum level that could signal a broader downtrend. A weaker dollar would likely boost commodities and gold, though he cautions against tying this directly to political factors like Trump’s policies.
Reflecting on his book on anarcho-capitalism, Oliver suggests a shift away from statism toward market-driven solutions. He speculates that events like the stock market crash could catalyze significant policy changes, including tax reforms or central bank abolition.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:34 - Silver & Targets6:25 - Flight To Gold vs S&P9:33 - Gold Weekly Momentum12:17 - Equities & Bubbles16:18 - The Decline Grind?18:18 - XAU & Miners24:06 - Equity Selloff & Metals27:16 - Dollar Effects & Momentum33:30 - WTI Crude & Economic Reality38:25 - Cuts & Changes in Nations44:40 - Pain Points as Catalysts?48:18 - Large Long-Term Trends51:10 - DOGE & Ayn Rand54:06 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:Website: http://www.olivermsa.com/Twitter: https://twitter.com/Oliver_MSAAmazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/y2roa7p5Free Report email: [email protected]
Email MSA above, and they will send you this week's report for free, which covers many of the topics from this interview.
J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton's International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City's Battery Park. He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton's Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX.
In the 1980s, Mike began to develop his proprietary momentum-based method of technical analysis. He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth.
In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash. It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology.
In 1992, the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank's Trust Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical analysis. He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism. -
Tom welcomes back Chris Rutherglen to take a very deep dive into a few gold charts. Chris is a PhD Scientist/Engineer, Level 3 CFA, and Publisher of the Gold Investor Research Substack.
Chris explains how the long-term outlook for gold prices involves several key factors that influence its trajectory over time. One important aspect is the mid-cycle level of gold, which reflects the balance between the amount of gold available above ground and the overall money supply. When the money supply increases, this can raise the mid-cycle level, potentially leading to higher gold prices. Currently, gold is trading above this mid-cycle line, suggesting that a correction downward might be possible in the near term.
Chris shows his charts for the debt-to-money supply ratio. Historically, this ratio has remained relatively stable at around 2.5% from the 1920s up until the late 1970s. However, after the financial crisis of 2008, it began to rise and has been declining since then. If this downward trend continues, it could drive gold prices higher as more money would be needed to support existing debt levels.
Looking at long-term historical patterns, there is a suggestion that gold might reach a high point around $8,000 to $10,000 in the early 2030s. This projection is influenced by ongoing monetary expansion and economic conditions that favor safe-haven assets like gold.
Despite these indicators Chris, expects predicting the future of gold prices with certainty is challenging due to a variety of factors, including inflation rates, global political and economic events, and policies set by central banks such as the Federal Reserve. Key elements to watch include quantitative easing measures and the levels of government debt, both of which play significant roles in shaping the growth of the money supply and their impact on gold demand.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:04 - Timeframes & Cycle Lengths7:52 - Long End Curve?11:58 - Levels and Zones21:00 - Gold Mid-Cycles Levels24:04 - Cycles & Calendar Periods30:15 - Probabilities & Targets32:35 - Gold & Equities Pullback33:42 - S&P GDP Ratio + CPI37:03 - Gold & Inflation42:35 - Gold Silver Ratio44:46 - Silver Price Outlook46:55 - Silver Timing & QE's51:16 - HUI Miners Vs. Gold54:15 - Major Miner Charts1:00:43 - Patience & Majors Costs1:07:30 - Long-Term Gold Timeline1:10:42 - All Sector Debt/US M21:18:12 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/CRutherglenSubstack: https://giresearch.substack.com
Chris Rutherglen is a private investor whose primary occupation is in science & engineering with a focus on novel semiconductor devices for microwave and mm-wave applications. He began investing in the precious metal space in 2003 and has done well following a value-oriented investment approach. Although he has never been employed in the finance/investment field professionally, he did complete level 3 of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) program in 2011. Chris has a BS in physics from the California Institute of Technology and a Ph.D. in Electrical Computer Engineering from the University of California, Irvin -
Tom welcomes back Jan Nieuwenhuijs to explore the dynamics of the global gold market and its implications for global monetary systems. Key topics include the movement of gold from London to Comex, driven by concerns over tariffs and geopolitical shifts. Jan explains that this flow reflects both physical arbitrage and strategic reshuffling of gold reserves, with banks moving gold into the U.S. for potential future use or resale in Asia.
The discussion also delves into the lack of transparency around U.S. gold audits, particularly at Fort Knox. Jan highlights issues with the auditing process, noting that compartments have been reopened multiple times without proper justification, raising questions about the integrity of the audits. He argues for an independent audit to ensure accountability and reassurance regarding the nation's gold holdings.
Another significant point is the valuation of U.S. gold reserves at $42 per ounce, a relic from the Bretton Woods era aimed at demonetizing gold. Jan suggests that revaluing gold could unlock substantial funds but warns this would be inflationary. He also touches on the role of gold in China's financial strategy, noting that while official reports understate their purchases, they are actively accumulating gold to diversify away from the dollar.
The conversation concludes with Jan emphasizing the importance of tracking central bank gold buying and developments in alternative payment systems like the BRICS M-Bridge, which could challenge the dollar's dominance.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:54 - Tariffs & LBMA Flows5:30 - Gold Demand & Lease Rates9:01 - Import Code Changes10:30 - U.S. Gold Reserve Audits20:14 - Time Req'd to Audit21:37 - Encumbrance Concerns24:35 - $42 U.S. Gold Valuation26:36 - U.S. Dollar Vs. Gold29:09 - Revaluing & Funding32:10 - Sovereign Wealth Fund?33:25 - Uncertainties & Credit37:50 - Deleveraging & Dollar41:00 - Eastern Perspective44:32 - China's Gold Holdings46:30 - Gold & Dollar Flight49:49 - Concluding Thoughts51:30 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/JanGold_Website: https://moneymetals.com
Originally a sound engineer in the Dutch movie industry, Jan Nieuwenhuijs has devoted the last decade to in-depth gold market research. His commentary and analysis has earned him international recognition as a top expert on the Chinese gold market, the COMEX futures market, the London Bullion Market, and the Turkish gold market. At Money Metals, he writes about the international monetary system, central bank gold policies, the mechanics of the global gold market, the gold price, and economics in general. -
Tom welcomes back Martin Armstrong from Armstrong Economics for a discussion on the never ending news cycle. Martin begins by reflecting on the current political landscape, comparing it to the challenges faced during the first Trump administration. Armstrong highlights how President Trump has learned from past mistakes, particularly in assembling a cabinet that is not tied to the "deep state." This shift, Armstrong argues, is crucial for enacting meaningful reforms.
The conversation then turns to government waste and corruption, with Armstrong referencing specific examples of misallocated funds, such as support for a transgender opera in Columbia. He emphasizes the importance of transparency and accountability, especially given the staggering levels of debt that governments worldwide are accumulating. Armstrong warns that the current system is unsustainable and that a reckoning is inevitable when buyers for new debt no longer exist.
Armstrong also delves into the global reserve currency status of the US dollar, explaining how its dominance emerged post-World War II. He discusses the manipulation of economic indicators, such as CPI adjustments, to hide the true state of fiscal health. Armstrong's firm has successfully forecasted economic trends and events, including Brexit, by focusing on raw data rather than political narratives.
The interview then shifts to geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in Ukraine. Armstrong critiques the handling of the crisis, arguing that it is being used as a diversion from deeper economic problems. He suggests that the war serves the interests of certain European leaders who seek to weaken Russia and strengthen their own power. Armstrong also touches on the potential consequences of tariffs and trade policies under Trump, warning against the risks of contagion in global markets.
He further discusses the Epstein files controversy, suggesting that the case is more about political manipulation than mere scandal. Armstrong posits that Epstein's activities were likely part of a broader espionage or blackmail scheme involving high-profile individuals.
Finally, Armstrong offers advice to listeners, urging them to pay attention to developments in Europe and the flow of capital during times of conflict. He emphasizes the importance of understanding global economic trends and avoiding the pitfalls of mainstream media narratives. The interview concludes with a call for critical thinking and awareness of the complex interplay between politics, economics, and global security.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:34 - Trump & News Cycle3:18 - Government Waste7:52 - Leadership & Information12:12 - Trump & Mkt. Optimism?18:30 - Resource Deals & Peace23:10 - Europe Preps for War30:43 - Capital Flight & War35:08 - European Basket Case36:34 - U.S. 'Monetization'42:53 - Creation of the Fed47:00 - Fed Can't Stop Inflation49:12 - A Global Perspective53:05 - Trump & Tariff Impacts57:50 - Canada - U.S. Takeover?1:01:43 - Epstein Honey Trap1:09:37 - Watch Europe & Ukraine1:13:20 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:Website: http://armstrongeconomics.comTwitter: https://x.com/strongeconomicsFacebook: https://facebook.com/martin.armstrong.167Amazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/ybtrslr9
Martin Armstrong is the Owner and Researcher for the website Armstrong Economics. He is the former chairman of Princeton Economics International Ltd. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.
At age 13, Armstrong began working at a coin and stamp dealership in Pennsauken, New Jersey. After buying a bag of rare Canadian pennies, he became a millionaire in 1965 at the age of 15. He continued to work on weekends through high school, finding the real-world exciting, for this was the beginning of the collapse of the gold standard. Martin became captivated by this shocking revelation that there were not just booms and busts, -
Tom welcomes back Lawrence Lepard from Equity Management Associates to discuss his new book, "The Big Print: What Happened to America and How Sound Money Will Fix It." Lepard explains that the book aims to simplify complex monetary issues for the average reader, highlighting how the broken monetary system has fueled inflation, wealth inequality, and economic dysfunction.
Lepard emphasized that the U.S. monetary system began deteriorating with Nixon's abandonment of the gold standard in 1971, leading to persistent inflation and debt accumulation. He argued that sound money — gold, silver, and Bitcoin — is essential to fix these issues. Gold provides stability, while Bitcoin offers a digital solution to scarcity and divisibility, though it is still volatile.
The interview explored how inflation affects everyday life, with Lepard noting that the government's reported inflation rates often underestimate real costs. He criticized the Federal Reserve for prioritizing debt servicing over economic fairness, leading to a cycle of printing money that disproportionately harms wage earners.
Lepard also discussed the political challenges in transitioning to sound money, suggesting that widespread public awareness and grassroots support are needed to push for systemic change. He warned against complacency, noting that the U.S. is on a trajectory toward a debt crisis unless decisive action is taken.
The conversation concluded with Lepard encouraging listeners to engage with his book to better understand these issues and advocating for a future where sound money restores economic health and fairness.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - The Big Print7:20 - Where It All Went Wrong10:00 - CPI Chart 1800-200512:00 - Inflation a Key Issue15:00 - The Wealth Gap18:30 - Next Monetary Crisis21:20 - A Moral Imperative23:00 - Debt System Origin26:00 - Top Vs. Bottom Wealth27:00 - Why All Fiats Fail31:00 - Lies & Inflation Stats34:50 - Deflation Boogeyman38:00 - Solutions & Outcomes45:00 - Peg to Real Assets48:45 - Bitcoin Advantages52:20 - Resets & Reserve Currency56:30 - Book & Wrap Up
Guest Links:Newsletter: http://eepurl.com/gOf1dTWebsite: http://www.ema2.comX: https://twitter.com/LawrenceLepard (Account is back)Book - The Big Print: https://tinyurl.com/4p4k6htt
Lawrence W. Lepard is the Founder and Managing Partner of Equity Management Associates. He has spent his entire 38-year career as an investor, principally focusing on venture capital opportunities.
Before co-founding EMA, Mr. Lepard spent 13 years at Geocapital Partners, in Fort Lee, NJ. There he was one of two Managing General Partners and was responsible for several venture capital funds. Before Geocapital, Mr. Lepard spent seven years at Summit Partners in Boston and California, where he was a General Partner at Summit I and Summit II.
Mr. Lepard received his BA in Economics from Colgate University, and he received an MBA with Academic Distinction from Harvard Business School. -
Tom welcomes back an always interesting guest who dives deeply into various financial topics; John Titus. Several key topics were discussed, including the banking crisis of March 2023, federal debt, central bank independence, and the implications of the Fed's policies.Titus began by revisiting his prediction of the banking crisis, attributing it to the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program during the pandemic. He explained that this led to a surge in commercial bank deposits, which ultimately caused instability when large deposits were withdrawn from banks like Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). Titus emphasized that these massive deposits, often exceeding $1 billion, were uninsured and posed significant risks when withdrawn rapidly.He discussed how the Fed's actions during the pandemic injected liquidity into non-bank entities, leading to a buildup of deposits in commercial banks. This created a situation where the failure of SVB was inevitable due to the withdrawal of large deposits.Moving on to federal debt, Titus expressed concern about the growing U.S. debt and its sustainability. He highlighted that the Fed's policies have led to a system where debt is used to finance government operations, creating a cycle of borrowing to cover interest payments. This spiral could lead to fiscal insolvency if not addressed.The discussion then turned to central bank independence and the implications of a Biden administration memo emphasizing central bank autonomy. Titus argued that in the U.S., the Federal Reserve is not truly independent but rather an agency under Congress, which has the constitutional authority to oversee it. He warned against efforts to model the Fed after systems like the European Central Bank, which operate independently of national governments, as this could erode democratic accountability.Titus also previewed his new series, "The War for Bankocracy," which explores the history and power dynamics of central banks. He emphasized the importance of constitutional governance over monetary policy, arguing that Congress must maintain control to prevent abuses of power by central bankers.Throughout the interview, Titus stressed the need for public awareness and engagement in monetary policy decisions, urging listeners to stay informed and advocate for transparency and accountability in how debt and money are managed. His analysis highlighted the interconnected risks posed by federal debt, banking instability, and central bank autonomy, emphasizing that these issues require immediate attention to prevent further economic crises.Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:48 - Predicting Bank Failures4:12 - Bank System in 20256:43 - Risks or Manipulation10:06 - Fed, Deficits, & Austerity12:43 - Fed & Fiscal Dominance15:05 - The Debt Spiral20:15 - Extinguish Debt?23:40 - C.B. Gold Reserves25:57 - U.S. Rates & Debt Rollover27:07 - Treasury Dealers31:25 - Fed & Inflation34:59 - Neverending Puzzle36:30 - Debt Solutions?40:00 - Reverse Repo Status45:15 - Fed 'Independence'50:00 - Biden Memo Concerns52:26 - C.B. Independence55:20 - Bankocracy SeriesGuest Links:SubStack: https://bestevidence.substack.com/Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1843407Odysey: https://odysee.com/@BestEvidence:bYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BestEvidenceBankocracy Series Episodes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y-fPI_tleUo&list=PLXr4cxq6ih6DbS8NIMK3nAiEM8AggZ_DQJohn Titus holds a masters degree in electrical engineering as well as a law degree and he uses these to pursue his "day job". However, John is also a staunch critic of central banking the federal reserve system and his diligent research has uncovered numerous lies and deceptions from the U.S. Federal Reserve regarding their actions/policies since 2008.John is the creator and executive producer of the "BestEvidence" YouTube channel and all of his documentaries can be found there.BestEvidence seeks to chronicle major financial forces and legal changes be...
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Tom welcomes back economist John Williams, the founder of Shadow Government Statistics to discusses the current state of the economy and inflation under the Trump administration. Williams highlights the disconnect between market optimism and underlying economic weakness, emphasizing that while GDP growth appears strong, key indicators like retail sales, industrial production, and housing are lagging or negative year-over-year.
He critiques the government's reporting methods, arguing that metrics such as GDP and CPI are manipulated to downplay inflation and inflate economic health. For instance, Williams points out that the consumer price index (CPI) has been redefined since the 1980s to suppress reported inflation rates by about 8 percentage points. This manipulation masks the true cost of living increases, particularly felt in housing costs.
Williams also discusses the role of the Federal Reserve, noting its focus on maintaining banking stability over controlling inflation or economic growth. Despite efforts to reduce liquidity, the money supply remains excessively high, fueling inflationary pressures. He warns that this could lead to hyperinflation and a potential collapse of the dollar's value, with gold serving as a key indicator of these risks.
Looking ahead, Williams predicts continued inflation and economic stagnation, with the possibility of a market crash or deeper recession within the next year. He underscores the importance of understanding inflation through alternative measures like gold prices, which reflect true economic conditions more accurately than official reports.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:34 - Trump & Weak Economy4:53 - GDP Comparisons8:09 - Stats & Market Reactions10:50 - Past Five Year Inflation16:14 - CPI Numbers & Gold18:30 - Inflationary Outlook21:03 - CPI Vs. Gold24:49 - Gold & New Highs?26:25 - Concluding Thoughts
Guest Links:Website: https://shadowstats.comE-Mail: [email protected]
Walter J. "John" Williams was born in 1949. He received an A.B. in Economics, cum laude, from Dartmouth College in 1971, and was awarded a M.B.A. from Dartmouth's Amos Tuck School of Business Administration in 1972, where he was named an Edward Tuck Scholar. During his career as a consulting economist, John has worked with individuals as well as Fortune 500 companies. -
Tom welcomes a new guest Eric Yueng to explore the current state of the gold market, focusing on the LBMA's physical delivery delays, the surge in physical gold demand at the COMEX, and the implications for investors.
Yueng explains that the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) has seen significant delays in physical gold deliveries, increasing from T+2 or T+4 to T+30 or even T+60. This has led to a surge in physical gold delivery requests at the COMEX, with volumes reaching 15 times normal levels in December and January, and continuing to rise in February. He attributes this surge to investors seeking physical metal rather than cash-settled contracts, driven by concerns over the LBMA's ability to deliver.
Yueng discusses the role of exchange-for-physical (EFP) trading pairs, where arbitrageurs typically profit from price differences between COMEX and LBMA markets. However, the current demand for physical delivery has disrupted this mechanism, potentially leading to a "short squeeze" as those unable to secure physical gold are forced to cover their positions at higher prices.
He suggests that large institutions, possibly acting on behalf of the U.S. government, are driving much of the physical gold demand. This aligns with reports of significant imports into the U.S., which he believes could be part of efforts to repatriate gold ahead of potential audits or revaluation.
Yeung also touches on the role of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) like GLD, noting that borrowing rates have surged as institutions withdraw physical gold. This, combined with the LBMA's reported attempts to borrow gold from foreign central banks, highlights growing concerns about the availability and allocation of physical gold.
Looking at China, Yeung notes that the country is preparing for higher gold prices through initiatives like the Gold Accumulation Program, which encourages retail investment in physical gold, and allowing insurance companies to invest in it. These moves are expected to significantly increase institutional demand for gold in China.
Yueng contrasts this with the West, where sentiment toward gold remains lukewarm despite high prices, partly due to competition from cryptocurrencies. He predicts that if gold prices continue to rise, particularly beyond $3,500 per ounce, there could be a significant shift in investor behavior and increased demand for mining stocks.
Finally, Eric addresses silver, suggesting that its price suppression may end as the U.S. seeks to support domestic mining interests amid manufacturing reshoring efforts. He highlights the growing deficit in silver supply and questions the LBMA's reported inventories.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - EFP Premiums & LBMA3:44 - Demand & Deliveries9:19 - Who's Long/Short10:38 - U.S. Taking Delivery?17:53 - Remonetizing Assets?19:40 - ETFs & GLD Demand23:52 - LBMA & Availability26:48 - Change in U.S. Policy28:25 - China's Gold Strategy33:14 - Sentiment West/East36:43 - Expectations for Gold40:07 - Demand & The Miners42:05 - Margins & Sentiment45:37 - China & Silver Suppression51:13 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:X.com: https://x.com/KingKong9888 -
Tom welcomes back Francis Hunt, known as "The Market Sniper," to discuss the importance of understanding various time frames in market analysis, particularly for gold and silver. He emphasizes that being bullish or bearish can vary across short-term, medium-term, and long-term perspectives. Hunt highlights the technical patterns he uses to predict market movements, such as head-and-shoulder setups and falling wedges, which help identify key entry and exit points.
Hunt is long-term bullish on gold due to its role as a hedge against debt-based economic collapse. He warns that while gold may experience short-term corrections, it remains a strategic investment for preserving wealth. He advises investors to avoid putting lump sums into the market at current highs and instead use dollar-cost averaging or wait for pullbacks.
Francis touches on silver, noting that it has broken out of a significant resistance level but could face volatility. Hunt suggests maintaining a diversified portfolio with a focus on gold as the primary investment, while considering silver when specific technical indicators align. Additionally, he mentions platinum as a potential high-performing asset due to its scarcity and current technical setup.
Hunt cautions against the risks of totalitarianism and loss of privacy in the coming economic crisis. He advises listeners to prepare for both financial and societal challenges by reducing debt, preserving capital, and staying informed about global trends. He emphasizes the importance of adapting strategies based on changing market conditions and highlights the need for a holistic approach to wealth preservation.
The interview concludes with Hunt encouraging listeners to stay vigilant and proactive in their financial planning, emphasizing that while times ahead may be challenging, careful preparation can help navigate the storm.
Talking Points From This Episode0:00 - Introduction0:37 - Confusion & Timeframes15:12 - Accelerating Cycles/Debt21:00 - Yields & U.S. Tariffs25:40 - Debt & Dollar Balance28:37 - Gold & Oil Dynamics36:33 - Fed & Economic Data40:19 - Rates & Market Forces44:19 - Chart of Silver50:20 - Platinum Outlook54:30 - Preps & Wrap Up
Guest LinksTwitter: https://twitter.com/themarketsniperTwitter: https://twitter.com/thecryptosniperWebsite: https://themarketsniper.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/TheMarketSniper
Francis is a trader, first and foremost. Unlike most educators in the trading space, Francis walks the walk and talks the talk, with 30 years of experience trading his personal capital on various markets and instruments. Through this passion for trading and his relentless study of markets and economic theory, he uses the Hunt Volatility Funnel trading methodology, a systemized approach, to answer the critical question: What is the next most profitable trade?
He believes the actual price of an asset is the most accurate reflection of all the factors that influence it. Practical technical analysis, the study of price action over time, is needed to formulate profitable trade ideas. Indeed, with all the market manipulation and high-frequency trading operations currently in play, technical analysis is all that can be relied upon when it comes to formulating future price trends. A trained eye can often spot such manipulative practices, as is the case with HVF traders. Therefore, the HVF methodology is based purely on technical analysis.
Francis is passionate about sharing his knowledge and understanding of markets by utilizing his HVF trading methodology. With entertaining anecdotes and the careful guidance of his students, he has already trained a large community of hundreds of traders and helped them transform from complete newbies to seasoned trading professionals.
He genuinely loves sharing his knowledge and strategies with others who are committed to finding freedom through trading. Plus, teaching strengthens his trading abilities while helping to build a v... -
Tom welcomes back Peter Schiff, the CEO and Chief Economist of Euro Pacific Asset Management, Chairman of Schiff Gold, and host of Schiff Radio to the show.
Peter discusses inflation, central banking policies, and the implications of stagflation on the economy. He emphasizes that inflation is fundamentally caused by an expansion in the money supply and credit, rather than rising prices alone. Schiff argues that the Federal Reserve's actions, including quantitative easing and low interest rates, have fueled inflation and exacerbated economic instability.
Schiff critiques the government's handling of inflation, noting that it often deflects blame onto businesses or labor unions instead of addressing the root causes. He warns that continued deficit spending and debt accumulation will lead to higher inflation and potentially a financial crisis. Schiff also highlights the role of tariffs and trade policies in affecting prices and trade deficits, though he doubts their effectiveness in fundamentally altering the economic landscape.
The discussion turns to gold and precious metals as a hedge against inflation. Schiff notes that despite record earnings from gold mining companies, investor sentiment remains cautious, with many preferring speculative assets like cryptocurrencies or AI stocks. He believes this presents an opportunity for investors to capitalize on undervalued gold mining stocks before prices rise significantly.
Schiff also touches on the potential impact of rising interest rates in Japan and the yen carry trade, warning that unwinding these positions could disrupt global markets. Additionally, he discusses the role of central banks in buying gold as a form of portfolio insurance and predicts continued demand for precious metals as investors seek safe havens amid economic uncertainty.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:45 - Causes of Inflation9:40 - Fed Inflation Targets15:09 - Fed & Data Dependence17:37 - Lower Dollar Problem22:10 - Deepseek AI & China24:33 - Overvaluations27:36 - Tariff Threats & Trade31:18 - Japanese Bond Yields34:40 - LBMA & Lease Rates38:33 - Country of Origin41:47 - Gold Chinese Insurers48:38 - Miners and Earnings58:12 - Thoughts on Silver1:00:59 - Wrap Up
Tallking Points From This Episode
Inflation is caused by money supply expansion, not just rising prices, and central banks are the primary culprits.
Gold and precious metals offer protection against inflation, with mining stocks currently undervalued despite strong fundamentals.
Economic instability and stagflation risks loom large, driven by debt, deficits, and ineffective monetary policies.
Guest Links:Podcast: https://schiffradio.com/Website: https://schiffgold.com/Website: https://schiffsovereign.com/Website: https://europac.com/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PeterSchiffYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIjuLiLHdFxYtFmWlbTGQRQ
Peter Schiff is an honorary chairman of SchiffGold, founder of Euro Pacific Asset Management, and host of The Peter Schiff Show. Peter is an economic forecaster and investment advisor influenced by the free-market Austrian School of economics. He is one of the few forecasters who accurately and publicly predicted the 2007 housing market collapse and subsequent 2008 financial crisis. His latest best-selling book, The Real Crash: America's Coming Bankruptcy - How to Save Yourself and Your Country, warns that the 2008 crisis was just the prelude to a larger sovereign debt crisis in the United States that may lead to a collapse of the US dollar. Peter recommends long-term investment in foreign markets with sound fiscal policies, as well as global commodities including buying gold, silver and other physical precious metals. -
Tom welcomes back Robert Sinn to share his background in precious metals, junior mining, and biotech investing.
Robert emphasizes the attractiveness of gold mining equities due to their underappreciated nature and the potential for significant returns. He highlights that the sector is less competitive compared to mainstream stocks like Apple or Microsoft, offering investors an edge through lower competition and fewer institutional players.
Sinn structures his portfolio by considering market capitalization and volatility, allocating smaller percentages to high-risk junior miners (e.g., 2-3%) and larger allocations to more stable major miners (e.g., 10%). He prioritizes risk management, focusing on potential losses before profit opportunities. He also advises against holding overly concentrated positions in volatile stocks, suggesting that investors should cap their exposure based on market feedback.
He touches on the macroeconomic backdrop, particularly the secular bull market for gold driven by central banks' increased demand, especially from China and India. Sinn notes that gold's role as a safe-haven asset is becoming more pronounced amid global uncertainty and geopolitical tensions. He also discusses the potential impact of tariffs and trade policies under the current administration on gold prices, suggesting that these factors could further drive demand.
Sinn critiques the use of ETFs like GDX to gauge the entire mining sector, arguing that such funds are skewed towards larger companies and may not reflect broader trends. Instead, he advocates for a more nuanced approach, examining individual company performance and pipeline projects.
He also touches on the importance of China's gold accumulation, which has significantly influenced global markets, and the potential for a physical short squeeze in gold. While acknowledging the complexity of predicting such events, Sinn believes that gold's role as a hedge against inflation and economic instability will continue to drive its value.
Finally, Sinn underscores the need for investors to understand both macroeconomic trends and micro-level company fundamentals, emphasizing the importance of staying informed and adaptable in a rapidly changing market landscape.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:46 - A Mining Equity Focus3:25 - Volatility & Risk5:46 - Doubling Down?8:35 - Wild Market Signals11:55 - Mine Lifecycles15:26 - Sentiment & Interest18:56 - Market Contrasts21:00 - New Investor Advice23:02 - Mergers & Mine Cycles25:06 - Problems With The GDX26:46 - Deposits & Economics28:14 - Royalties & Streams28:48 - Macro Outlook & Gold34:24 - Asian Gold Demand35:37 - LBMA & Deliveries?39:00 - Silver Demand?41:18 - His Primary Focus?44:37 - The 4th Turning46:19 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
Robert highlights gold mining equities' potential for significant returns due to underappreciation and fewer institutional players.
Sinn advocates for a balanced miner portfolio, allocating smaller percentages to high-risk junior miners and larger percentages to stable major miners. He emphasizes risk management.
Sinn discusses the gold bull market driven by central bank demand, safe-haven status in uncertain times, and potential impact of tariffs on prices.
Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/CEOTechnicianSubstack: https://robertsinn.substack.comCEO.CA: https://ceo.ca/@goldfingerYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCV_3gUkg2hbl-Fni4XxNb_Q
Robert Sinn is a 20+ year market veteran whose research and insights are followed by hedge fund managers, investment professionals and thousands of readers/viewers across the globe. His introduction to the stock market came in 2003 when his Father shared a research note on a company called Northern Dynasty Minerals (NDM). Shares proceeded to rise more than 1000% over the next nine months. Robert was hooked, and the Junior mining sector became an obsession. -
Tom welcomes back David Murrin for a comprehensive analysis of global geopolitical dynamics, economic trends, and historical cycles. He begins by discussing the terminal decline of American power, comparing it to Britain's post-empire struggles in the 1970s. Murrin argues that President Trump's policies, while intended to revitalize the nation, face significant headwinds due to high inflation, debt dynamics, and geopolitical challenges. He warns against the erosion of democratic institutions under Trump's administration, highlighting concerns about executive overreach and constitutional challenges.
Murrin contrasts the U.S.'s declining influence with China's rise, noting that while both nations confront internal issues—such as demographic challenges for China and systemic decay for the U.S. China's military advancements and strategic initiatives position it to challenge American hegemony. He expresses concern about potential conflicts in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran, which could escalate tensions and disrupt global oil markets.
In discussing monetary systems, Murrin emphasizes the role of gold as a safe haven during times of instability, predicting significant price increases for precious metals. He critiques cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, arguing that they have reached speculative peaks and are likely to decline due to the shifting economic landscape.
Murrin also addresses the Middle East conflict, advocating for peaceful resolutions through carrots rather than sticks. He suggests that offering incentives for displaced populations could foster stability, contrasting this with punitive measures. He laments the failure of international efforts in Ukraine, urging a more strategic approach akin to historical lend-lease programs.
Throughout the interview, Murrin underscores the inevitability of cyclical conflicts and the challenges of breaking these patterns. However, he holds out hope for external interventions or technological breakthroughs that could alter this trajectory. He encourages listeners to engage with his work critically, fostering dialogue and understanding in an era marked by uncertainty and rapid change.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:58 - Empire Cycle Status6:43 - Monetary Status9:32 - DOGE & Cutting11:46 - Freedom Threats?13:36 - Carrot Stick Approach16:27 - Dollar System Failing?17:40 - U.S. Status & China22:13 - China Demographics24:50 - Gold & Global Reset?27:58 - Gold Cycle Timing30:53 - Bitcoin Thoughts33:12 - Economic Realities36:33 - Iran & Middle East42:32 - Palestine Solution?45:45 - Cycle Inevitability?49:37 - Challenging Thoughts52:00 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
America's terminal decline mirrors Britain’s post-empire struggles, facing high inflation and debt.
China's military expansion poses a direct challenge to U.S. hegemony and global stability.
Gold will rise as the liquidity cycle ends, while Bitcoin faces a speculative bubble collapse.
Guest LinksTwitter: https://twitter.com/GlobalForecastrWebsite: https://www.davidmurrin.co.uk/Instagram: https://instagram.com/murrinraw
David Murrin began his unique career in the oil exploration business amongst the jungles of Papua New Guinea and the southwestern Pacific islands. There, he engaged with the numerous tribes of the Sepik River, exploring the mineral composition of the region. Before the age of adventure tourism, this region was highly dangerous, very uncertain and local indigenous groups were often hostile and cannibalistic. David's work with the PNG tribespeople catalyzed his theories on collective human behavior.
In the early 1980s, David embarked on a new career, joining JP Morgan in London. Watching his colleges on the trading floors, he quickly identified modern society also behaved collectively. He was sent to New York on JPMs highly rated internal MBA equivalent finance program. Once back in London, he traded FX, bonds, equities, -
Tom welcomes back Gary Savage, founder of Smart Money Tracker Premium, to discuss the current state and future outlook of gold and silver markets. Savage shares his insights on market cycles, volatility, and how investors can navigate this evolving landscape.
Savage begins by highlighting the significance of an eight-year cycle in precious metals, which he believes is nearing its peak. The cycle, which started in October 2022, is expected to reach a parabolic top within two to four years, potentially pushing gold prices as high as $7,000 or even $10,000. While this phase will be volatile, Savage emphasizes that it’s crucial for investors to stay focused on the long-term trend rather than getting distracted by short-term corrections.
Silver, according to Savage, is currently suppressed around $33 per ounce due to heavy shorting and manipulation by bullion banks. However, he predicts that once silver breaks through this resistance level, a strong short squeeze could push prices significantly higher, possibly reaching $40 or beyond. Savage urges investors to position themselves before this breakout occurs, as chasing gains after the fact could be costly.
Savage also discusses intermediate cycle timing, suggesting that the current rally in gold and silver may top out between late March and mid-April. While corrections are inevitable, he stresses that bull markets are defined by higher highs, so missing a few weeks of gains won’t derail long-term success. He advises investors to avoid panic during downturns and instead use these moments as opportunities to accumulate more assets.
Throughout the interview, Savage emphasizes the importance of managing recency bias and staying disciplined in the face of market volatility. He reminds listeners that while the ride may be bumpy, the rewards for those who stay invested are substantial. As the bull market progresses, Savage believes silver will outperform gold and mining stocks, making it a strategic choice for investors seeking outsized gains.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - The Bigger Picture3:00 - Eight Year Cycle6:00 - Gold & Market Volatility9:20 - Momentum & Gold Outlook13:00 - Silver Possibilities15:30 - Timing Assessment19:00 - Gold/Silver Ratio Uses23:40 - Monitoring the Miners26:40 - Human Nature & BIAS30:00 - Fundamentals & Sentiment34:45 - Tops, Debt, & Fed Policy39:30 - Silver Opportunity43:00 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
Gary explains how an eight-year cycle, starting in October 2022, is driving this gold bull market.
With silver currently suppressed at $33, Savage predicts a massive breakout that could push prices up to $40 or beyond.
Corrections are part of bull markets. Savage advises staying disciplined and avoid panic during downturns.
Guest LinksTwitter: https://x.com/garysavage1Blog: https://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgiNs7gCxEvgBE1HHvoOKTQ/videosWebsite: https://smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/login/
Gary Savage is a retired entrepreneur living in Las Vegas. He has been investing in stocks and commodities for 15+ years. Gary is a self-made multi-millionaire and attributes his financial success to savvy investments made in owning/selling several businesses, real estate, and, more recently, the stock market. He is also a national Judo, powerlifting, and Olympic weightlifting champion and world record holder. Gary holds national titles in 3 different sports and continues to challenge himself as an avid rock climber, and recently his newest endeavor bowling (two perfect 300 games so far).
Gary's renown as a recognized trading/investment expert in the areas of precious metals, stock market, oil, and currency markets is demonstrated by his numerous internationally published articles in these market areas: Kitco, 24hGold, Gold-Eagle, Investing, 321Gold, Keyport, SilverSeek, TFMetalsReport, FuturesMag, ResourceInvestor, Silver-Phoenix, BayStreetBlog, -
Tom welcomes back Don Durrett, author, investor, and founder of Goldstockdata.com, to discuss the current state of gold, silver, and the broader economic developments.
During their conversation, gold reached an all-time high, with spot prices near $2863 and futures above $2900. Silver is trading around $32.26, while the HUI (Hard Rock Miners' Index) stood at 328.
The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) reported delivery delays of four to eight weeks, indicating potential shortages. Lease rates have spiked to five percent, a significant increase from the usual one percent or less. Don suggested this could be due to LBMA supply issues.
Don emphasized silver's role as a proxy for gold, particularly during periods of economic uncertainty. He warned of potential shortages in silver, driven by competing demands from investors and industrial fabricators. This could lead to dramatic price increases if a fear trade begins.
Despite strong stock market performance, Don expressed concerns about an impending "rug pull," where the market could crash due to economic factors like inflation, high interest rates, and tariff policies. He highlighted issues such as consumer discretionary spending constraints, commercial real estate overhangs, and rising bankruptcies in small businesses.
The Fed's inability to cut rates due to inflation concerns was discussed, along with potential implications for the economy. Don speculated that the Fed might resort to quantitative easing (QE) in response to a market crash, though he questioned their ability to manage regional bank crises.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:11 - Gold at New Highs2:58 - LBMA Delivery Issues10:00 - Thoughts on Silver16:42 - Institutional Buyers19:16 - Equity Mkt. Concerns23:20 - Tariffs China/Europe?27:17 - Fed & Inflation33:09 - Tariffs on Bonds?35:52 - Equity Valuations37:10 - Banks & Retail40:02 - Employment & Hires42:05 - Coming Rug Pull44:50 - A.I. & Tech48:00 - Fed's Reactions51:48 - Cheap Miners?53:46 - Traders Market55:24 - Miner Pyramid59:05 - Royalty Companies?1:05:36 - Physical First1:07:34 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/DonDurrettWebsite: https://www.goldstockdata.com/Substack: https://dondurrett.substack.com/Amazon: https://www.amazon.com.mx/How-Invest-Gold-Silver-Complete/dp/1427650241Blog Posts: https://seekingalpha.com/author/don-durrett#regular_articlesYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/Newager23
Don Durrett received an MBA from California State University Bakersfield in 1990. He has worked in IT-related positions for 20+ years. He has been a gold investor since 1991, with a focus on Junior Mining stocks since 2004. Realizing the value of investing in gold and silver and noticing the lack of available material for first-time investors, Don set out to provide information. First, he wrote a book, How to Invest in Gold & Silver: A Complete Guide with a Focus on Mining Stocks. He followed up the book with a website (www.goldstockdata.com) to provide data, tools, and analysis for gold and silver stock investors. His gold and silver mining stock newsletter is widely regarded as one of the best. He is a frequent guest on financial podcasts and a contributor to SeekingAlpha.com. -
Tom Bodrovics, welcomes back Jeff Christian, Managing Partner of CPM Group, for a thought-provoking episode. The conversation begins around the far-reaching implications of tariffs on markets, industries, and economies. Tariffs are not one-size-fits-all, with their impact hinging on both the specific country and metal involved. Jeff expresses his disdain for tariffs, citing their detrimental effects on economic activity and inflation. The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 serves as a cautionary tale, illustrating the devastating consequences on imports, exports, and both the US economy and the global marketplace during the Great Depression. The threat of retaliation could trigger a US recession, while gold and silver might experience heightened demand due to market uncertainty. Tariffs involve importers bearing added costs, instigating inflation, complicating international trade, and affecting base metals.Two potential solutions for government funding - Value Added Tax (VAT) and gold-backed bonds - are examined, yet concerns over regressiveness, economic downturns, and practicality linger. Central banks have turned to gold as a means of securing dollar reserves amid past economic instability under the gold standard. Recent geopolitical developments have prompted some Eastern European countries to stockpile gold for safety against external pressures like Russia. The surge in demand for physical gold within the US is accompanied by a transition from London to New York, giving rise to borrowing and EFP premiums as markets grapple with economic and political uncertainties.Jeff discusses the problems inherent in all financial system and why those problems would also exist under a gold standard. He argues that the Fed has played an important role in reducing the severity of economic contractions. However, he cautions that the only financial system in history that has not failed is this the current one.Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:50 - Tariff Discussion12:10 - Impacts on Metals?14:38 - Various Scenarios19:58 - Inflationary/Recessionary26:03 - Fast Track U.S. Industry?28:13 - Effects on Currencies?31:13 - Recession Outlook?36:00 - Appalling Statistics38:00 - Income Tax & Trump42:07 - A Gold Backed Bond?45:49 - Fed & Depressions52:13 - C.B. Gold Reserves56:39 - CPM Client Concerns?59:55 - EFP Premiums & Supply1:07:48 - Reality & Forecast1:10:00 - Wrap UpTalking Points From This EpisodeTariffs' detrimental effects on economic activity and inflation are discussed, with Smoot-Hawley Act as a historical reference.Central banks turn to gold as a hedge against economic instability; some countries stockpile for geopolitical safety.US recession potential and increased demand for gold and silver due to tariff uncertainty.Guest LinksTwitter: https://twitter.com/CPMGroupLLCWebsite: https://www.cpmgroup.com/Questions Email: [email protected] Link: https://www.youtube.com/c/CPMGroup/videosJeffrey Christian is the Managing Partner of the CPM Group. He is considered one of the most knowledgeable experts on precious metals markets, commodities in general, and financial engineering, using options for hedging and investing purposes. He is the author of Commodities Rising 2006.Jeffrey Christian has been a prominent analyst and advisor on precious metals and commodities markets since the 1970s, with work spanning precious metals, energy markets, base metals, agricultural markets, and economic analysis. The company was founded in 1986, spinning off the Commodities Research Group from Goldman, Sachs & Co and its commodities trading arm, J. Aron & Company.He has advised many of the world's largest corporations and institutional investors on managing their commodities price and market exposures and providing advisory services to the World Bank, United Nations, International Monetary Fund, and numerous governments.
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