Afleveringen
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In this episode of Ripple Effect, Michael and Steve are joined by Rick Hasen, professor at the University of California, Los Angeles School of Law and director of its Safeguarding Democracy Project, to talk about the risks of subversion and violence surrounding the U.S. elections. They discuss former President Donald Trumpâs refusal to accept the election results in 2020, and his multi-pronged effort to overturn the result, which culminated in his supporters attacking the U.S. Capitol on 6 January 2021. They unpack the complex voting system in the U.S. and whether legal reforms in the aftermath of the 2020 elections are enough to safeguard against potential subversion in this cycle. They also discuss whether the tense political climate around the polls and efforts by Donald Trump and his supporters to sow distrust about the validity of the vote could lead to new violence.
For more, check out Rick Hasenâs Election Law Blog, our latest Q&A Risks of Violence around the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election: A Primer and our United States program page.
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In this episode of Ripple Effect, Michael and Steve are joined by Daniel Kurtz-Phelan, Editor of Foreign Affairs, to talk about where U.S. foreign policy might be headed after the November elections as conflicts and crises swirl around the world. They take a look at Donald Trump and Kamala Harrisâ competing views about Washingtonâs role in global affairs and who either presidential candidate might choose to fill their national security cabinet. They assess how a Democratic and Republican administration would differ in tackling the deepening conflicts in Ukraine, the Middle East and elsewhere. They also discuss how U.S.-China policy and Washingtonâs relations with Tehran might evolve after the elections.
For more, check out Danielâs book The China Mission and our United States pages.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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In this episode of Ripple Effect, Michael and Steve are joined by Shivshankar Menon, Crisis Group trustee and former Indian National Security Adviser and Foreign Secretary, to talk about Indiaâs perspective on the U.S. election, what a second Trump presidency would mean for relations between New Delhi and Washington, how bilateral relations have evolved under President Bidenâs administration and how India is carving out its place in a changing world order. They discuss how India views the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, its evolving relations with Russia and Israel, and New Dheliâs perspective on the U.S.-China rivalry. They also discuss the state of democracy in the U.S. and, more broadly, the potential ramifications of the upcoming elections for international peace and security.
For more, check out our Shivshankarâs latest article in Foreign Affairs All Powers Great and Small as well as our India and United States pages.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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In this episode of Ripple Effect, Michael and Steve are joined by GĂ©rard Araud, who represented France at both the United Nations and in Washington, DC and currently serves as a Crisis Group Trustee, to talk about how European leaders are preparing for a potential return of Donald Trump to the White House, and what the implications of a Trump win would be for Ukraine, the trans-Atlantic partnership, and the prospects for Europe to achieve âstrategic autonomyâ. They discuss the rise of populism in Europe. They also discuss how French and European leaders judge the performance of the Biden administration so far and what they would expect from a second Biden term should he be re-elected.
For more, check out our United States program page.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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In this episode of Ripple Effect, Michael and Steve talk with Rachel Kleinfeld, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about the state of U.S. democracy and the risk of political violence as the U.S. heads toward the November elections. They break down how we should understand polarisation in U.S. society. They assess the potential risk factors that could contribute to political violence in the run-up and aftermath of the November elections and how they compare to the 2020 elections. They discuss how Washington is navigating the difficult task of promoting democracy abroad while facing its own challenges to its democratic institutions. They also talk about what politicians on both sides of the aisle can do to mitigate the risk of political violence in the near term.
For more, check out Rachelâs piece Polarization, Democracy, and Political Violence in the United States: What the Research Says. You can read more of Crisis Groupâs in-depth analysis of the topics discussed in this episode on our United States program page.
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In this episode of Ripple Effect, Michael Hanna is joined by Leslie Vinjamuri, U.S. and Americas programme director at Chatham House, and Richard Gowan, Crisis Groupâs UN director, to talk about how the November elections will affect Washingtonâs approach to multilateralism and its engagement with the UN. They assess how Washingtonâs relations with the UN and its partners might change should Donald Trump return to the White House. They also discuss how Trump and Biden might differ in how they would engage with China and Russia at the UN, which countries would welcome a second Trump administration, and what the outcome of the elections could mean for the future of U.S. policy on conflicts and crises around the world.
Check out Leslieâs op-ed in Foreign Policy, âWhat Another Trump-Biden Showdown Means for the Worldâ. For more of Crisis Groupâs analysis of the topics discussed in this episode, check out our U.S. and Multilateral Diplomacy pages.
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In this episode of Ripple Effect, Steve and Michael talk with Ambassador (ret.) Norm Eisen, senior fellow in governance studies at the Brookings Institution and expert on law, ethics and anti-corruption, about the legal challenges facing Donald Trump in the run-up to the November elections and their potential impact on the ballot. They unpack whatâs behind each of the four criminal trials and other litigation currently underway against Trump and whether any of them has the potential to derail his run for the presidency. They look at the risk of a new spike in political violence as Trumpâs legal battles unfold. They also discuss how Washingtonâs allies should navigate the fraught legal environment in the U.S. as the elections draw closer.
Check out Normâs latest New York Times monthly column titled âThere Is Much More at Stake in Trumpâs Manhattan Case Than Just Hush Moneyâ and his article in Lawfare âThe Consequences of Jack Smithâs Rush to Trialâ. You can find more of Crisis Groupâs analysis on U.S. foreign policy on our United States page.
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In this episode of Ripple Effect, Steve and Michael talk with Kori Schake, Director of Foreign and Defence Policy Studies at the American Enterprise Institute. A veteran of the George W. Bush administration and Republican critic of Donald Trump, Kori shares thoughts with Michael and Steve about why Trumpâs landslide victory in the Iowa caucuses was not a referendum on Republican foreign policy; how to sell âconservative internationalismâ to Trump Republicans; what she finds most worrying about the possibility of a Trump 2.0; what she dislikes about Biden 1.0; and what U.S. allies can do to Trump-proof their foreign policies in advance of the November elections.
Check out Koriâs op-ed âThe Case for Conservative Internationalismâ in Foreign Affairs. For more of Crisis Groupâs analysis on the topics discussed in this episode, check out our United States page.
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In the first episode of Ripple Effect, Steve and Michael talk with Colin Kahl, former under-secretary of defence for policy in the Biden administration, about the United Statesâ relations with the rest of the world as it moves toward a high-stakes election in November 2024. They discuss the foreign policy that the Biden administration inherited from Donald Trump in 2021, the kinds of changes Trump might make should he return to the Oval Office, and how the United Statesâ friends and adversaries would greet a second Trump presidency. They also parse how the upcoming election could shape conflict dynamics between Russia and Ukraine, the recent thaw in bilateral relations between the U.S. and China, and even the prospect of a shooting war between the U.S. and Mexicoâs drug cartels. Finally, they look at why the U.S. hasn't joined the global call for a ceasefire in Gaza and the possibilities for U.S. policy shifts as the warâs toll increases.
For more of Crisis Groupâs analysis on the topics discussed in this episode, check out our United States page.
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