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  • In this episode, we tackle a question that is on many investor's minds: Is value investing dead? We explore various arguments for and against value investing's continued relevance in today's market.We discuss:The impact of low interest rates and Fed policy on value investingWhether too many investors have adopted value strategiesHow narrative-driven markets affect value investingThe challenges value faces in a tech-dominated marketThe role of big data and its effect on traditional value metricsWhether value investing is betting against technological progressWe aim to provide a balanced view, acknowledging the arguments on both sides. While we don't come to a definitive conclusion, we offer insights on how investors might think about value in their portfolios going forward.

    We hope you enjoy the discussion.

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  • We ask all our guests on Excess Returns one closing question: If you could teach one lesson to the average investor, what would it be? In this episode of Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we compile and discuss the most impactful answers we have received to it. We break down valuable insights on investing and financial planning from experts like Michael Mauboussin, Rick Ferri, Bob Elliott, Andy Constan, Ben Inker, Meb Faber, and more.We cover a range of crucial topics, including:Michael Mauboussin: The importance of using base rates in decision makingRick Ferri: Why simpler investment strategies often work bestBob Elliott: How true diversification goes beyond just stocks and bondsAndy Constan: Why most investors don't actually have an edgeBen Inker: Understand who's on the other side of your trades and why they should give you a returnEhren Stanhope: The importance of position sizing and risk managementAdam Butler: The future may be very different than the past Meb Faber: The benefits of being a long-term "Rip Van Winkle" investorBen Carlson and Michael Batnick: Why there's no single perfect portfolio for everyoneChris Davis: Remembering that stocks represent ownership in real businessesMike Green and Danial Crosby: Keeping investing in perspective with what truly matters in lifeWhether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, this episode distills years of wisdom into actionable lessons to improve your financial decision making. We hope you enjoy this highlight reel of some of our favorite guest insights!

    We hope you enjoy the discussion.

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  • In this episode, we explore common misconceptions about factor investing. We discuss why factors aren't less risky than the market, the challenges of diversification, and why adding more factors isn't always beneficial. We emphasize the importance of long-term perspectives when evaluating factor performance and the need for strategies to evolve with changing markets. We also touch on the emotional aspects of factor investing, the differences between academic studies and real-world implementation, and emerging ideas about factor design.

    We hope you enjoy the discussion.

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  • In this episode, we dive into recent market volatility and its implications for investors. We examine several intriguing charts highlighting unusual market behavior, including significant VIX spikes and their historical context. We discuss the importance of understanding market mechanics while maintaining a long-term perspective. Throughout our conversation, we emphasize key lessons for navigating turbulent markets: the value of education over ignorance, the danger of making impulsive changes, and the importance of aligning investment strategies with personal convictions. We explore how fundamentals continue to drive long-term market performance and why maintaining conviction in your investment approach is crucial during volatile periods. Finally, we stress the importance of understanding the potential downsides of your investment strategy and how they relate to your current life stage, reminding listeners that while market behavior may seem chaotic in the short term, a well-thought-out, long-term approach remains the best path to financial success.

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  • In this episode, we dive into lessons long-term investors can learn from our interview with Jack Schwager, author of the Market Wizards series. Drawing on Schwager's insights, we explore ten key takeaways that can benefit long-term investors, including why trading is not for everyone, the importance of learning from failure, and how to pivot strategies when markets change. We discuss Schwager's observations on risk management, the challenges of systematic trading, and the psychological aspects of investing. Throughout the episode, we relate these lessons to our own experiences as investors and financial advisors, offering practical tips for applying this wisdom to your own investment approach.

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  • In this episode, we dive deep into momentum investing, bringing you insights from some of the smartest investors we know. We explore the fundamentals of momentum, breaking down its types and examining the academic research that supports its effectiveness. We discuss why momentum works, looking at behavioral explanations and comparing it to other investment factors. We also share ways to enhance momentum strategies, such as focusing on consistency and combining it with other factors like value and low volatility. Throughout the episode, we play clips from our interviews with experts like Sheridan Titman, Jack Vogel, Harin de Silva, Andy Berkin, Pim van Vliet and Wes Gray, providing you with insights on this powerful but often misunderstood investment strategy. We also address the potential downsides of momentum investing and the challenges of factor timing.

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  • In this episode, we dive deep into practical alternatives to the traditional 60/40 portfolio. We explore various approaches like the Permanent Portfolio, risk parity and return stacking and take a detailed look at how we build alternative portfolios for our clients. We also examine Nomadic Samuel's innovative work on building diversified portfolios using new ETF products. Throughout our conversation, we emphasize the importance of having a systematic process, understanding the risks and potential behavioral challenges, and considering factors like taxes and market regimes. While acknowledging that the 60/40 portfolio isn't "dead," we highlight how these alternative approaches can potentially improve risk-adjusted returns and provide better protection in different economic environments.

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  • In this episode, we dive into the key takeaways from our recent interview with Mike Green of Simplify. We explore several important lessons, including the need to be open-minded about new ideas in investing, the potential unintended consequences of passive investing, and the importance of looking beyond market aggregates. We discuss how these concepts apply to the average investor and what they mean in practical terms for portfolio management. We also touch on the double-edged nature of innovative investment products and caution against making hasty investment decisions based on election outcomes. Throughout the conversation, we emphasize the importance of understanding the "why" behind market movements and considering the practical implications of complex market dynamics for individual investors.

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  • In this episode, we take a look back at the first half of 2024 and examine some surprising trends in the economy and markets. We discuss how inflation has remained stickier than many expected, but wage growth has actually outpaced inflation for many workers. We analyze the extreme concentration of returns in the stock market, with a small number of large tech companies driving most of the gains while many stocks have declined. We also explore some unexpected developments in housing, bonds, and factor investing performance. Overall, we aim to provide context on what's really happening beneath the surface of headline numbers, challenge some common narratives, and remind listeners of the importance of long-term thinking when it comes to investing and financial planning.

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  • In this episode, we dive into the key lessons from our recent conversation with Rick Ferri on the Excess Returns podcast. We explore Rick's approach to simple, low-cost investing and discuss how his insights apply to various investment strategies, including factor investing. We cover topics such as favoring simplicity, the enduring relevance of the 60/40 portfolio, the importance of fees, and looking to history for guidance. Throughout the discussion, we relate Rick's ideas to our own experiences in quantitative investing and financial planning, offering our perspectives on how these principles can be applied in practice. We also have some fun connecting each lesson to a KISS song. Our goal is to break down Rick's wisdom and show how it can benefit investors across different approaches and philosophies.

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  • In this episode, we explore the 4% rule for retirement withdrawals, discussing its origins, applications, and limitations. We delve into the importance of considering individual circumstances, market conditions, and the ability to adjust withdrawal rates over time. We also discuss the challenges of unsustainable withdrawal rates and the balance between sustaining one's lifestyle and leaving money to heirs. Throughout the conversation, we stress the importance of financial planning that goes beyond simple calculations, taking into account real-world factors and personal goals. We conclude by highlighting the need for flexibility and ongoing adjustment in retirement planning, using both quantitative analysis and practical considerations to guide decision-making.

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  • In this episode of the podcast, we dive into the world of backtesting investment strategies. We discuss the importance of approaching backtests with a healthy dose of skepticism, as it's easy to create a backtest that looks impressive but may not hold up in the real world. We explore various questions to ask when evaluating a backtest, such as whether it accounts for human emotions, has a sound economic reasoning behind it, covers a sufficiently long time period, and includes periods of struggle. We also touch on the potential pitfalls of data mining and the challenges of creating a truly "pure" bet without unintended exposures. Throughout the conversation, we emphasize the need to understand the limitations of backtesting and to use it as a tool for learning rather than a definitive guide to future performance.

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  • In this episode of Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we dive into Corey Hoffstein's insightful list of "15 Ideas, Frameworks and Lessons from 15 Years." We explore several key concepts, such as the transformation of risk, the necessity of pain to achieve premiums, and the philosophical limits of diversification. Through a mix of investing and real-life examples, we discuss how these ideas can be applied to both portfolio management and personal decision-making. Join us as we break down Hoffstein's thought-provoking lessons and share our own experiences in navigating the complex world of investing and financial planning.

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  • In this episode we dive into the world of market valuation. We look at the major valuation metrics used to value the market and what they are and are not useful for from an investing perspective. We also look at value spreads, cross country valuations and expected returns and delve into the practical applications of valuation data in financial planning, considering factors such as time horizons, liability-driven investing, and individual circumstances.

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  • In this episode of Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we delve into a diverse range of listener-submitted investing and financial planning questions with speclal guest Ben Tuscai. We cover the tax efficiency of ETFs compared to mutual funds, the pros and cons of having retirement savings in different account types (Roth, Traditional IRA, taxable), strategies for investing in AI and new technologies, considerations for the current housing market, and the benefits and drawbacks of direct indexing versus ETFs.

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  • In this episode of Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we tackle a range of listener questions, from the recent resurgence of meme stocks like GameStop to the potential impact of the upcoming presidential election on investors. We discuss the role of small trading accounts, the pros and cons of generative AI in backtesting investment strategies, and the significance of value spreads. While we may not have clear-cut answers to every question, we believe that thinking through these complex issues and discussing them from various angles helps us grow as investors and thinkers, and we hope our listeners find value in these nuanced conversations.

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  • In this episode of Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we explore the biggest lessons we've learned throughout our careers in investing and financial planning. We discuss the importance of diversification, the challenges of balancing long-term strategies with changing market conditions, and the critical role of understanding an investor's true risk tolerance. We also discuss the principal-agent conflict, the potential pitfalls of relying solely on quantitative measures, and the necessity of adapting to an ever-evolving financial landscape.

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  • In this episode of Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we discussed the key insights and lessons learned from our 12-hour live podcast event, "PNL for a Purpose." Throughout the day, we interviewed 24 guests on a wide range of topics, including macro investing, quantitative investing, value investing, and technology. We delved into the importance of being open to changing one's opinion when presented with new evidence, the challenges of navigating the complexities of the current economic landscape, and the potential impact of AI on our future. Our conversations with these diverse experts provided valuable perspectives on risk management, long-term investing, and the need for adaptability in an ever-changing world. We hope our listeners found these discussions as engaging and informative as we did, and we encourage everyone to support the Susan G. Komen foundation through our ongoing fundraiser.

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  • In this episode of Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we return to our Fact of Fiction framework. We cover a diverse set of investing and financial planning topics that are on many investors' minds. We debate whether inflation can truly be predicted, if legendary investment managers are a thing of the past in today's market environment, and how much emphasis to place on fees and taxes when constructing an investment strategy. Additionally, we dig into the question of whether your house should be considered part of your overall investment portfolio and have some discussion on the age-old question of whether avoiding small purchases, like a daily $4 coffee, can really have a meaningful impact on your long-term wealth.

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  • In this episode of Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we dive deep into the world of trend following investment strategies. We explain what trend following is, discuss the potential benefits such as downside protection during bear markets, and explore some of the challenges involved, including false signals, whipsaw risk, and the difficulty of sticking with the strategy during underperforming periods. We also talk about how trend following can be incorporated as one component of a diversified investment portfolio and why the sizing and blending of strategies is so important.

    We hope you enjoy the discussion.

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