Afleveringen
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For a while there being a tough guy was good for your credibility.
Look at Victor Orban, Javier Milei and Nayib Bukele. They all revelled, and succeeded, at the polls with their macho, Trump-esque persona.
The world was moving away from "Me Too" and progressivism. There has been a very distinct move to conservatism, especially in parts of Europe.
Being like Trump was, more often than not, good for your political aspirations.
Peter Dutton had a touch of that, but sadly in the length of an Australian campaign it's all changed. The more he has looked like Trump, talked about Trump, and promised policy that sounded like Trump, the worse it has got.
Chances are by Saturday night, he will be a loser.
In the meantime, in Canada, who are voting now, the reason Mark Carney is in the lead is twofold.
1) The bloke who ran the place before him was a progressive sap and was a victim of the movement against the left. But he also had been there a decade, and his clock had run out.
2) His replacement has made much ground in the new-found vein of political success of looking not at all like Trump, but being tough enough to stand up to him.
Mark Carney will most likely win today and if he does, the fortunes of his Liberal Party will be one for the ages.
The same anger, frustration and impatience that led Trump to victory over a hapless socialist, should have played out the same way âand was going to play out the same wayâ north of the border.
Yet in the space of a couple of months, the entire scenario has been tipped on its head.
Looking like Trump, like Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives do, is no longer currency. It's bad news.
They have tried desperately to direct the campaign towards the issues that had Canadians so upset for the past ten years; cost of living, cost of housing, and jobs.
But the tariffs and Trump and his insults have fired them up and off into a new direction, which is hating on America. Carney and the Liberals have seen it, grabbed it and run with it.
The last polls have a 3%-ish point gap to them. The Liberals have come back from 20 points down, it's astonishing.
Let's do the counting. But if they win, what's it say about the distaste for Trump? What's it say about a single-issue campaign?
And will there have ever been a bigger victory snatched from the jaws of defeat?
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Itâs been 100 days since Donald Trump was sworn in as US President.
His campaign was filled with promises of dramatic change, and heâs certainly followed through, with a record-breaking number of orders filed in the first three months.
The most dramatic of which is his sweeping global tariffs.
Quest Means Business host Richard Quest told Mike Hosking it goes against the orthodoxy of economics that has always been taught â that tariffs can be a benefit if targeted and used for a specific purpose.
He says using widespread tariffs to reshape global trading structures has not been done before, but itâs something Trump has always wanted to do.
Quest believes with the tariff headwinds pushing against the global economy, major economies are facing recessions, and the slowdown in economic growth will feel pretty awful for people as the year continues.
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Tuesday 29th of April, Tory Whanau has decided to drop her bid for re-election â this must be the news Wellington wanted.
Shane Jones is rejecting the co-governance plan for the Waitakere Ranges, and we look at the latest fruit market to go gangbusters â persimmons!
Quest Means Business host on CNN, Richard Quest joins to talk Trump's first 100 days and the global effects of the tariff debacle.
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There is a growing appetite for New Zealandâs rarest and most unusual fruit.
Persimmons have had a 20% rise in exports in the last year, and demand has never been higher.
Persimmon Industry Council Manager Ian Turk told Mike Hosking it's thanks to recent sunny weather in Gisborne, where the vast majority of the fruit is grown.
He says after a rough five years for the industry âwith impacts from the likes of Cyclone Gabrielleâ growers are looking forward to a good season ahead.
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The number of KÄinga Ora tenancy terminations is being described as a far cry from what's needed.
Newstalk ZB can reveal the agency terminated 299 tenancies in the year to March â more than double the 134 in the year before.
Much of the increase is from KÄinga Ora taking a stronger line on disruptive tenants and rent arrears.
Litigation lawyer Adina Thorn told Mike Hosking KÄinga Ora needs to evict 1,000 to 1,500 tenants by her own calculations.
She says nobody wants to live in public housing when they're next people described as the worst of the worst.
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The Deputy Leader of New Zealand First says his party will step in to stop management of the Waitakere Ranges morphing into co-governance.
Auckland Council's proposing a board made up of Iwi, the Department of Conservation, and the council.
Act Leader David Seymour has also criticised the plan as moving towards co-governance.
Shane Jones told Mike Hosking they're not going to stand for it.
He says they won't tolerate any slither of the West Auckland heritage land being under that type of arrangement.
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Tory Whanau's shock U-turn not to run for the Wellington mayoralty again marks three consecutive one-term mayors for the capital.
Whanau has this morning revealed she's dropping out of the race, saying she wants to give Andrew Little a clearer run to victory.
It means Whanau, along with the two previous mayors Andy Foster and Justin Lester, only served one term in the job.
Former Mayor Dame Kerry Prendergast told Mike Hosking that's bad for the city, which needs stability.
Tory Whanau will stand for the city's MÄori ward.
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There's a belief changes to certifications and inspections for builders is a step in the right direction.
Legislation introduced by the end of this year will see approved building firms, drain layers, and plumbers allowed to sign off their own work on smaller residential dwellings.
Certified Builders Chief Executive Malcolm Fleming told Mike Hosking the Government's missed an opportunity to introduce a quality mark for builders.
He says that would give homeowners the confidence a builder has the credentials to do the job well.
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Charities have been spared from tax changes in this year's Budget.
Finance Minister Nicola Willis has been proposing revisions to tax rules that could see charities taxed on their business activities.
But she says there are still complex issues that need to be worked through before any rules are updated.
Tax expert Geof Nightingale told Mike Hosking it's likely too hard.
He says there's been several goes at this over the last 20 years, with not enough tax revenue being the main problem.
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It is being reported as a scrap, which I'm not sure is accurate.
But if it is, it is a shame and probably a lesson for the combatants, who are both supposed to be on the same side.
But under MMP, is anyone on the same side?
Act are concerned about ACC and their current desire to solve safety issues in the manufacturing sector.
But by putting a race-based lens across it, ACC want people who have answers, or programmes, for injuries to MÄori and Pasifika.
This of course is not what the Government is supposed to be about and a Cabinet edict says so.
The shame of this is both sides, in fact all three sides, are at one on the issue.
They campaigned on the issue and they campaigned on it because the last Government got so obsessed with MÄori issues and language and acquiescing to everything cultural that a large swath of voters got thoroughly sick and tired of it.
So why we are here after a year-and-a-half and a Cabinet instruction is beyond me.
The fact ACC, or any Government department, are still trying this on is the real problem.
It goes to a theme we have highlighted too often this term and that is that a public service donât appear to be neutral, or operating under the instruction of the Government of the day, but rather to their own beat.
There is no good news in two parties seemingly debating a formally agreed approach with each other and there is no good news in a department continuing to do something they shouldnât.
We have enough to deal with at the moment without previously agreed approaches being re-litigated or disavowed.
Obviously work safety is not a race-based problem. It is an industry or sector problem and ACC should know this. Even if they didnât, they should be following instruction.
Act are on the right side of this.
But they shouldnât have to be given the point of Government is enactment of policy, not endless re-litigation.
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The Government's changing New Zealand's approach to EV infrastructure.
Grants will now turn into interest-free loans -$69-million worth for the private sector to build chargers throughout the country.
The target is 10 thousand in the next five years.
ChargeNet Board Member Stephen England-Hall talks to Mike Hosking about the scheme.
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Monday the 28th of April, how did Hawkes Bay's gang conflict warrant pan out?
The Prime Minister speaks to us out of Dubai as he wings his way home about Gallipoli, the Pope's funeral and his time with Keir Starmer.
Andrew Saville and Jason Pine talk the Warriors in the top 4 and Auckland FC winning the Premier's Plate.
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Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says incomplete or wrong information from the IRD is to blame for shortfalls in the Government's FamilyBoost scheme.
The tax rebate of up to $75 per week was initially touted as a $249-million-a-year handout to help with covering childcare costs.
Only 1.2% of eligible families received a full subsidy.
Christopher Luxon talks to Luxon about the shortfall, his experience at the Pope's funeral and time commemorating Anzac Day.
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Auckland FC went into yesterday's game against Perth Glory knowing they had won the Premier's plate.
The win comes for finishing top of the round.
The team went on to beat Perth Glory 1-0.
Auckland FC CEO Nick Becker talks to Mike Hosking about the achievement.
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The Hawkes Bay has seen three shootings in 48 hours as gang conflicts heat up.
A gang conflict warrant has been invoked 26 times since Thursday, leading to eight arrests.
Police Minister Mark Mitchell talks to Mike Hosking about the conflict.
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US President Donald Trump met with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy at the Pope's funeral to discuss next steps in Russia-Ukraine peace effort.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio says that this week Trump will decide whether to continue the process.
It comes as Trump said in a post to truth social last week, "Vladimir, STOP!" after Russia carried out the deadliest attack in months on Ukraine.
US Correspondent Richard Arnold talks to Mike Hosking about the meeting and what the polls are saying after Trump's first 100 days in office.
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The stance may be softening in the trade war between China and the United States.
Last week US President Trump said the initial 145 percent tariffs wouldn't actually be that high.
China appears to now be mulling their imposed tariffs.
Greg Smiths of Devon Funs Management talks to Mike Hosking about the developments, the trade war's impact on the US economy and the good news for US tech stocks.
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At the end of each week, Mike Hosking takes you through the big-ticket items and lets you know what he makes of it all.
Meteorological paranoia: 2/10
Between the MetService and the media, you would have thought Noah and his large ship were going to be needed, and yet...
Teachers: 6/10
God bless them, but itâs hardly a surprise when you see a drop in numbers, is it? Would you be a teacher?
Easter rules: 3/10
I'm not sure whatâs worse, the shambles theyâve become, or the annual tedious debate about changing them⊠even though we never change them.
Hegseth: 4/10
Looks increasingly like a doofus, and Iâm not sure he wasnât a doofus to start with.
Canada: 7/10
Best election going right now â early voting at records, massive swing in the polls⊠could be one to remember.
Exports: 8/10
Good news story of the week. In March, this country hit it out of the park â thatâs what we need more of.
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Polls are funny things at the best of times, and despite plenty of evidence that they can be as wrong as they can be right, we still seem fascinated, if not obsessed, by them.
There are two races at the moment being heavily polled: Australia and Canada. Canada votes this Monday, Australia in a couple of weeks.
Canada is more interesting, if for no other reason than the incumbents were losing by so far it wasnât funny, but are now leading.
The PM quit and the new bloke, Carney âwho once ran the Bank of Canada and the Bank of Englandâ is now chasing the top job.
On the surface, that change of leadership might have played a part in voters' minds â Trudeau was past his used-by date in a Jacinda Ardern âloved then hatedâ kind of way. More likely, south of the border, Trump got elected, tariffs became an issue, and Carney looks like the person who can better stand up to America.
Polling out yesterday says the Conservatives are closing as people refocus on local issues like housing and cost of living, but the gap is still 12 points. Which is an amazing swing given the gap was 20 points the other way until tariffs stole the headlines.
Meantime, in Australia itâs gone from a race where the incumbent would be lucky to survive, far less thrive. Where a hung parliament was probable, requiring any number of accommodations with Greens and Teals and Independents, given a minority was the best Albanese could hope for, to what increasingly looks like an easy romp home with a majority.
Marginal seat polling out yesterday shows Labor with a 3.5% swing in the past week. Another poll had 45% of voters saying they didnât like Duttonâs personality, therefore wouldnât vote for him.
Competence, cost of living, that apparently doesnât count. You look at him, you donât like him, heâs toast.
It hardly seems a sophisticated way to decide the future of your nation, but then thatâs democracy, isnât it?
One argument says Albo should win âfirst term governments donât loseâ havenât since the 30s.
But Canada, if the polls are right, that would be a victory from the ashes. What happens in another country is so profound: the party that was getting thrashed has their fortunes completely reversed. Thatâs one for the history books.
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