Afleveringen
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It is not an exaggeration to say that Amy has been wanting to have our guest today, Carlos Odio, on this podcast for at least a year now. Carlos, co-founder of Equis Research, has a deep and nuanced understanding of a Latino voters, a group that gets discussed a lot in the media but not with the complexity the topic deserves.
Carlos is working to understand whatâs been driving these voters from Democrats, and what could be pulling them back. He is now emerging with new information to share with us including national polling of Latino voters.
(Our colleague Carrie Dann wrote about this new research and you can read her story here: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/democrats-are-counting-latinos-come-home-2026-its-more)
Amy and Carlos talk about what the new polling reveals about Latino perceptions of Trump, the economy and what it all means for 2026. And we take a deep dive into the high stakes races for the House and Senate in Texas, a state where Latino voters shifted considerably toward Trump in 2024.
**Check out our podcast Editors Roundtable!
Find it on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/editors-roundtable/id1765349026
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This is special edition of the Odd Years! Actually, itâs more like a collab with the Cook Political Reportâs other podcast, Editors Roundtable.
If you donât know Editors Roundtable, it is a weekly conversation between Cook Political Report analysts where we discuss the issues, trends, and individual races that we think are the most important and impactful. Think of it as an opportunity to be a fly on the wall during our editorial meetings.
On this Editors Roundtable, we discuss what weâve learned thus far from the primaries that have been held, and we drill down specifically on what to make of the success progressive Democrats have had over establishment candidates.
We recorded this last Friday, June 26, before Tuesdayâs Colorado primary, where longtime Denver Congresswoman Diana DeGette lost a primary to the more progressive DSA-backed challenger, Melat Kiros.
** How to listen to Editors Roundtable **
-> On Apple podcasts for 1.99/month: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/editors-roundtable/id1765349026
-> On Substack by becoming a paid subscriber: https://thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/s/editors-roundtable
-> By subscribing to the Cook Political Report: www.cookpolitical.com/subscribe
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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Itâs rare for voters from different political leanings to share feelings on the major issues of the day. But when it comes to AI, itâs pretty clear that no matter the party, Americans have a lot of apprehension around this new technology. The worries range from job security to kidsâ online safety to the environmental impact of massive data centers.
This also presents a rare opportunity for policy makers in Washington to work together - across party lines - to come up with a solution.
To gauge whether thatâs possible and to understand how policy makers in D.C. and state capitals around the country are thinking through these issues, Amy spoke with Ashley Gold, senior tech policy reporter at Axios and co-author of the AI+ Government newsletter. She has some really great insights into what we should expect from lawmakers and the tech industry.
We recorded this conversation on Wednesday, June 10.
**Check out our podcast Editors Roundtable!
Find it on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/editors-roundtable/id1765349026
Find it on Substack: https://thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/s/editors-roundtable
Learn more: www.cookpolitical.com/subscribe
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When the Supreme Court released their decision to limit the scope and scale of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in late April, Amy knew she wanted to dig into the political and legal repercussions with someone who is well-versed in both of those areas.
She immediately turned to Sean Trende, a senior analyst at RealClearPolitics and a lawyer who has deep expertise in redistricting law.
In fact, back in 2022, Sean was one of two special masters assigned to draw Virginiaâs congressional maps.
He's also an astute analyst of political trends and elections. It doesnât hurt that Sean lives in Ohio - a key epicenter for the battle for the Senate this year.
As fate would have it, we recorded this just a couple days before the Virginia Supreme Court struck down the Virginia map voters had approved earlier this spring.
While we werenât able to address it directly, we did discuss the possibility of this very scenario and its broader impact on the U.S. House map for 2026.
Amy's goal for the interview was to look past the immediate impacts in 2026 and ask what impact of the tit-for-tat redistricting wars could be on our politics in the near and far term.
We recorded this conversation on Wednesday, May 6.
Check out our Redistricting Tracker: www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/redistricting/2025-2026-redistricting-tracker-how-many-seats-could-flip-0
Sign up for our free weekly newsletter, In Brief: https://www.cookpolitical.com/in-brief-sign-up
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Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.
**Listen to our weekly podcast Editors Roundtable**
Find it on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/editors-roundtable/id1765349026
Find it on Substack: https://thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/s/editors-roundtable
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Americans have a pretty dismal view of Congress. Lawmakers in the U.S. House and Senate are seen as ineffective and a much diminished power under President Trump. Last year, for example, Congress passed a record low number of laws while President Trump issued the most executive orders in modern history.
Paul Kane, a veteran Capitol Hill reporter and one of its smartest chroniclers recently wrote a column for the Washington Post in which he argued that âCongress needs a major course correction or else it will slide into a permanent state of weakness that further empowers the presidency.â
To find out whether Congress is indeed headed for irrelevance, Amy checked in with Molly Reynolds, vice president and director of governance studies at Brookings. Her work focuses on Congress and how congressional rules and procedure affect policymaking.
Molly has a more nuanced opinion about the state of the modern Congress and helps put its dysfunction into context. Amy and Molly also talk about what a potential flip in congressional control in 2027 would mean for President Trump and for legislating overall.
We recorded this conversation on Tuesday, April 7.
Sign up for our free weekly newsletter, In Brief: https://www.cookpolitical.com/in-brief-sign-up
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Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.
**Listen to our weekly podcast Editors Roundtable**
Find us Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/editors-roundtable/id1765349026
Find us on Substack: https://thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/s/editors-roundtable
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Amy has long been an admirer of this weekâs guest, The Wall Street Journal's chief economics commentator Greg Ip. She finds his insights into how our economy functions to be thoughtful as well as approachable. Itâs also why she thought he'd be the perfect person to talk with about the central disconnect we've seen in perceptions of our economy over the last few years - namely that the markets and Wall Street suggest everything is going great. Meanwhile American consumers are saying the economy is not great, at all.
They also talk about AI, why Greg thinks it's not likely to have a huge impact on our jobs, but why it's potentially contributing to Americans' generally pessimistic views of their economic futures.
Of course, the war with Iran is adding its own economic uncertainty to the mix. So they start the conversation there.
We recorded this on Wednesday, March 11th.
Sign up for our free weekly newsletter, In Brief: https://www.cookpolitical.com/in-brief-sign-up
Interested in subscribing to CPR? Go to: www.cookpolitical.com/subscribe
Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.
**Listen to our weekly podcast Editors Roundtable**
Find us Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/editors-roundtable/id1765349026
Find us on Substack: https://thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/s/editors-roundtable
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The Odd Years is back with our first episode of this midterm year!
Political news and events seem to be breaking faster than the human brain can process, so we wanted to take a step back and talk to people with experience, insight, and perspective who can help us make sense of it all.
That is why we kicked off the inaugural 2026 episode with two political reporters who embody those traits: The Wall Street Journal's Annie Linskey and Puck's Peter Hamby. They are known for their smarts and scoops, but also their level headedness and ability to separate the buzzy from the newsworthy.
In this episode, Annie discusses Trump's rare backtrack on immigration enforcement in Minnesota. Peter's been doing a lot of great reporting and survey research on young voters and gives us a timely update on their views of Trump and how they see the potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidates.
Plus, we talk about what we should make of Trump's talk of ânationalizing electionsâ and whether the Republicans proposed voter ID law could actually make it harder for their own supporters to cast a ballot.
We recorded this conversation on Tuesday, February 10.
You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@thecookpoliticalreport
Sign up for our free weekly newsletter, In Brief: https://www.cookpolitical.com/in-brief-sign-up
Check out our weekly podcast Editors Roundtable.
On Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/editors-roundtable/id1765349026
On Substack: https://thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/
Interested in subscribing to CPR? Go to: www.cookpolitical.com/subscribe
Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.
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It's a consequential week in the Supreme Court as justices hear a case that could reorient the bounds of executive authority and overturn a ninety year precedent that insulates independent government agencies from political interference from the president.
President Trump has tested those bounds of his executive power on everything from tariffs and trade to immigration to government spending.
It's now up to the Supreme Court to determine just how far that authority can stretch, and that's why Amy wanted to talk to our guest today, Josh Gerstein, a reporter at Politico, who covers the intersection of law and politics -- which these days feels like just about everything under the sun.
Amy and Josh talked about the dynamics in this Supreme Court, how they may rule on these upcoming cases, including ones like the Voting Rights Act.
We recorded this conversation on Thursday, December 4th, right before the court announced they were taking up the birthright citizenship case and before they issued their stay on Texas' redistricting map.
You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@thecookpoliticalreport
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In Amyâs opinion, Astead Herndon is one of the sharpest and most thoughtful political journalists out there. His New York Times podcast, The Run-Up, did an amazing job pulling back the cover on how national politics is done and showing the gulf that exists between the parties, the insiders and actual voters.
Itâs this kind of journalism that has set Astead apart from the pack. He picks apart conventional wisdom and elevates the complexities and gray areas that are critical in understanding this political moment.
He's also been skeptical of the idea that traditional forms of political journalism can keep up with the significant changes we've seen in the way Americans receive and process the fire hose of digital media coming at them every single day.
It's one reason why he made the decision to leave the New York Times for a role at Vox. There, heâll take on the position of host and editorial director and create a new weekly video podcast about, of course, politics starting next year.
This was a really interesting conversation that covered everything from the media to the midterms to the World Cup.
We recorded it on Wednesday, November 19th.
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Californians often like to think of themselves as the center of the universe. But when it comes to politics, this deep blue state is rarely in the spotlight - until now. The passage of Prop 50 in last Tuesday's election was the most consequential development to date in the redistricting wars. The new Democratic drawn map will cost Republicans three to five seats in 2026 and also shores up five vulnerable Democratic incumbents.
The win is also a feather in the cap of Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom who hopes to ride the momentum from the Prop 50 landslide win all the way to the White House.
And if that news wasn't enough last week, Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi, the San Francisco icon who led House Democrats through multiple wars, economic crises, and impeachments, announced she would retire after nearly four decades in Congress. Her decision unleashes pent up political floodgates and kicks off a fierce primary fight for the chance to fill her district.
To talk through all of this, we've invited Cook Political Report U.S. House Editor Erin Covey, who's covering the redistricting wars as closely as anyone in the country. And also joining us is Mark Barabak, an LA Times columnist and expert in all things political in California.
We recorded this conversation on Thursday, November 6th.
Follow all our Redistricting coverage: https://www.cookpolitical.com/redistricting
Check out our interactive Redistricting Map (in front of the paywall!): https://www.cookpolitical.com/redistricting/2025-26-mid-decade-map
You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@thecookpoliticalreport
Sign up for our free weekly newsletter, In Brief: https://www.cookpolitical.com/in-brief-sign-up
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Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.
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One week from today, voters in New Jersey and Virginia will go to the polls. These are state and not federal elections. But they can serve as bellwethers for the upcoming midterm election next year.
Topics that resonate in a purple state like Virginia this year, for example, are likely to be issues that are significant in swing states and districts in 2026.
Next Tuesday, weâll also look closely at voter turnout for some early clues as to which party is more excited to show up and vote next year.
Even as our politics has become more and more nationalized, these contests in Virginia and New Jersey are also impacted by unique state and local issues and trends. And that's why we wanted to discuss these contests with two people who really understand the issues, the electorate, and parts of the state will be most important to watch on November 4th.
Amy is joined by Joey Fox of the New Jersey Globe and Chaz Nuttycombe, founder and executive director of State Navigate, who's following the Virginia contests.
We recorded this conversation on Wednesday, October 22nd.
You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel.
Sign up for our free weekly newsletter, In Brief.
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Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.
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It's safe to say Democrats are going through something of an identity crisis at the moment. They have no clear leaders, no driving issues, and no real power in Washington. And that makes the current government shutdown an interesting test case for Democratic leaders like Chuck Schumer over what they think their voters want and how best to fight Donald Trump.
Our guest today, Democratic strategist Lis Smith, has not minced words when it comes to perceptions of her party.
She told the New York Times that the Democratic brand was âin the toiletâ and recently called for Democrats to âburn the party establishment down.â
Smith, however, is not some upstart campaign disruptor. She's a veteran of twenty political campaigns, most recently as a senior adviser to Pete Buttigieg's 2020 presidential campaign.
This makes her critique of the party and the work she's doing this cycle to try and fix it worth understanding and exploring more deeply.
We recorded this conversation on Wednesday, October 7th.
You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@thecookpoliticalreport
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We're about eight months into Donald Trump's second term, a victory driven in large part due to voter frustration with the economy and their belief that he would help get inflation down. So what does the economic picture look like today? That's not as easy a question to answer as you would think.
Stock market set record highs, but consumers remain pessimistic about inflation. The tariffs implemented by the Trump administration haven't caused the kinds of economic damage many economists predicted they would, yet it's also clear that tariffs are impacting economic decision making in ways that aren't altogether obvious. And then there's AI. If you work for or invested in a company making AI, you're doing great.
But what about those folks, especially new graduates entering the workforce who are being displaced by the new technology?
Thankfully, we found someone to help us better understand this moment. Heather Long is chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union and a contributing columnist for The Washington Post. She's not only super smart, but she can make very confusing and complicated subject like this one understandable and approachable.
We recorded this conversation on Wednesday, September 24th.
Check out our CPR 2025-2026 Redistricting Tracker: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/redistricting/2025-2026-redistricting-tracker-how-many-seats-could-flip-0
You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@thecookpoliticalreport
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Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.
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We took a late summer break, but we're back with a new slate of really great interviews!
When we started this year, redistricting was not something we thought would be driving our politics this cycle.
But, of course, that's no longer the case with Texas unleashing a domino effect of redistricting efforts across the country.
Thankfully, we know someone really well who can help us understand what's happening: The Cook Political Report's very own David Wasserman.
If you follow Dave on X, you know him as Redistrict.
Redistricting itself is a topic Dave's been fascinated with for a very long time. He was pouring over maps and congressional data as a kid, which we talk about in this conversation. (It's pretty adorable.)
Now as one of the most trusted sources in the country on congressional maps, we literally can't think of anyone better to help us navigate this complicated and unprecedented mid-cycle redrawing of districts.
We recorded this conversation on Thursday, September 11th.
Check out our CPR 2025-2026 Redistricting Tracker: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/redistricting/2025-2026-redistricting-tracker-how-many-seats-could-flip-0
You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@thecookpoliticalreport
Sign up for our free weekly newsletter, In Brief: https://www.cookpolitical.com/in-brief-sign-up
Interested in subscribing to CPR? Go to: www.cookpolitical.com/subscribe.
Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.
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Back in 2023, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini wrote a book that laid out a path for how the party could win future elections with a working class multiracial coalition.
Later that year, Amy talked with Patrick on this very podcast where they discussed whether Trump could expand his base to include those voters of color. Well, as we saw, he did. In fact, in 2016, the coalition that elected Trump was 88% white. By 2024, it was down to just 78% white.
So we wanted to have Patrick Ruffini back on for a conversation about how well that same coalition is holding up six months into Trump 2.0, whether these voters will show up for Republicans in 2026, and whether the next Republican nominee for president will have a similar appeal these voters.
Patrick is a partner and pollster for Echelon Insights and writes a great Substack, The Intersection.
Also, a quick programming note: we are taking a bit of a summer break in August, but never fear! We'll be back in September with new episodes of The Odd Years.
You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@thecookpoliticalreport
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Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.
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This week we are diverging from our normal Odd Years format to introduce you to another Cook Political Report product, Editors Roundtable.
This podcast features a rotating cast of our Cook Political Report team breaking down the latest news, analysis and insights about the most important House, Senate and Gubernatorial contests in the country.
We like to think of this podcast as an opportunity for you to get the behind the scenes access to the conversations we are having at our weekly Cook Political Report editorial meetings.
This week, our talented colleagues talk about the most interesting and consequential state in the 2026 midterms: Michigan. The Wolverine state has it all; a three-way gubernatorial contest featuring the former Democratic Mayor of Detroit, who is running as an Independent; competitive primaries for one of the most competitive Senate races in the country, and a slew of critical House contests that could determine control of Congress next year. And, we canât have a conversation about Michigan without using a mitt (in this case our Managing Editorâs own oven mitt), to help illustrate where each important congressional district and key cities are located in the state. That âUâ shape between the thumb and index finger, thatâs Detroit, BTW.
We hope you enjoy this episode. And, more importantly, if you do like it, and to hear more of it, subscribe to the Cook Political Report where you can get the kind of deeply sourced, non-partisan and accurate analysis of every race up in 2025 and 2026.
Go to: www.cookpolitical.com/subscribe.
Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.
You can also get Editors Roundtable for just $1.99 a month on Apple podcast.
Read Jessica on Michigan's open Senate seat here: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/michigan-senate/republicans-aim-avoid-messy-michigan-senate-primary-may-not-get
Read Erin's 2026 House analysis here: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/michigan-house/2026-michigan-house-analysis-democrats-fight-upper-hand
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Most of the political attention these days is centered in D.C, but there's a pretty fascinating primary contest happening just a train ride north in New York City.
The Democratic primary for mayor of the Big Apple features a crowded field of Democrats, including some well known names like former Governor Andrew Cuomo, who was forced to resign after multiple sexual harassment allegations against him in 2021, and some new names like New York State Representative Zohran Mamdani, a Democratic Socialist who has little experience politically but a knack for social media. He also happens to have the support of another young, well known New York City liberal, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez.
In some ways, this race is very New York City with storylines that could only happen there. In fact, the New York Times asked the all- important âwhat's your bagel orderâ question. But there are also shades of the tension in national Democratic politics between the more pragmatic and more progressive wings of the party happening in this race.
Plus, Donald Trump, an outsized influence in and on the city, is a big factor here as well.
To make sense of it all, I sat down with Nick Fandos, who's covering every twist and turn of this race for The New York Times. He's the city's politics and government reporter.
Early voting has already started, and the primary is on Tuesday, June 24th. We recorded this conversation on Wednesday, June 18th.
You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@thecookpoliticalreport
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President Trump's signature legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, is crawling its way through Congress. Having passed the House by a single vote, the so-called BBB is in the Senate where various Republican factions - the fiscal hawks, the centrists, the populists - are divided over how to resolve their many competing priorities over the national debt, Medicaid, and tax cuts to name a few.
What's driving these ideological differences among Senate and House Republicans? What role has Trump played and will he play in continuing to lobby Congress? And will the BBB move fast enough to be on President Trumpâs desk by July fourth? (Spoiler alert: it will not.)
Amy put all these questions to Leigh Ann Caldwell, chief Washington correspondent for Puck.
A quick note: we recorded this conversation on Wednesday, June 4th, as the Elon Musk and President Trump breakup was beginning, but before it burst into the full view. And it appears the falling out has been driven, at least in part, over Musk's opposition to the Big Beautiful Bill. But as Amy has said, she doesn't believe this changes the calculus for Congressional Republicans.
You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@thecookpoliticalreport
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When we booked this episode with Pod Save America co-host Dan Pfeiffer several weeks back, our plan was to talk about the Democrats and their strategy and messaging around Trump - something Dan's been writing about for his Substack, Message Box.
Should Democrats just focus on the economy? Should they raise alarm bells over deportations? How loudly and strongly should they push back against Trump?
And we do discuss that, but as it turned out, there was a lot more to talk about with Dan. For one, as a former Obama senior adviser, Amy wanted to ask his thoughts on the new reporting coming out about Joe Biden's health and how his inner circle worked to conceal it.
In addition to that, we received an important report from the data firm Catalist about 2024 voters, shedding more light on why Kamala Harris lost and Donald Trump won. As a fellow data nerd, I knew Dan would be ready to dive into it.
We recorded this on Wednesday, May 21st.
You can watch our entire conversation on our YouTube channel.
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Rahm Emanuel has held many titles: Congressman from Illinois, DCCC Chairman, Chief of Staff to Barack Obama, Mayor of Chicago, and Ambassador to Japan under President Biden.
These days, he doesn't have an official position at the moment. But that's not stopping him from giving some very pointed advice to Democrats on every possible platform: cable TV, political shows, podcasts, late night TV, and different political conferences.
So how does Rahm Emanuel think Democrats should be responding to Trump 2.0? How does the party recover from 2024 and prepare for 2028? What does a successful midterm strategy look like in 2026? And given his own, let's say, active media schedule, what are his own plans for the future?
He came on to talk to Amy about all that.
We recorded this conversation on Wednesday, May 14th.
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