Afleveringen
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On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss 2 Center backs that you MUST keep an eye on going forward. Dean Huijsen and Iñigo Martinez. The players are very different in age and profile, but are both having outstanding seasons. Then, the conversation switches to the transfer rumour mill. Nico Williams and Martin Zubimendi will be highly sought after in the summer, but are Antoine Semenyo and Ederson better options for teams? Enjoy!
Kim's Juventus newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/juventus-fired-thiago-motta-for-being-himself
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:51 - Dean Huijsen player profile and history
04:43 - Time at Juve + What are Juventus even doing
06:45 - Huijsen is only 19 with so much time to develop
08:07 - Potential weaknesses with his passing?
09:42 - His ability and level in the EPL at his age is incredible
12:03 - Even if he doesn't develop more he's at a good level
14:11 - He's 6'5, but bad in the air?
16:45 - Is Real Madrid the team for him? OR someone else?
20:11 - Has Iñigo Martínez been overlooked?
21:03 - Cubarsi gets all the praise
22:01 - Martinez' passing ability
22:44 - Barcelona's high line and the challenges it brings defenders
25:32 - Barcelona got more than they expected from Martinez
29:10 - Barcelona have exceeded squad expectations as whole, especially when factoring in injury
30:30 - Teams interested in Martin Zubimendi
31:13 - Could Ederson be a better options for teams?
32:42 - Ederson vs Zubimendi skillset
35:01 - Ederson has changed this season, what role would he play for Arsenal or Liverpool?
38:03 - When Zubimendi would be the better option for Arsenal
39:05 - How Ederson fits in
41:03 - Price and age comparison
41:27 - A more free role at Liverpool?
44:12 - Manchester United an option?
45:54 - Nico Williams linked to Arsenal and Barcelona
47:30 - Hard to separate Williams' stats from team effects
48:37 - Shots created off take-ons
49:39 - Is Antoine Semenyo a cheaper option?
51:12 - Semenyo can use both feet equally
51:58 - How much would Semenyo cost?
53:22 - In terms of minutes played, Semenyo and Williams are very similar
54:51 - A more sure bet than Williams?
55:45 - Nico Williams will cost a FORTUNE in wages
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On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss who will claim the Premier League’s remaining champions league spots. Will the table stay it is with Chelsea and Manchester City staying safe, or will Newcastle, Bournemouth, or someone else knock them out? Then, the transfer rumour window is heating up. Patrick fires rumours from the weekend at Ted to see if they are a good idea or bad idea, as well as plausible or straight BS. Enjoy!Ted's Variance Betting update: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-scoop-on-variance-betting-march-update
Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@ManDown.Podcast
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:36 - Mandown Podast launch!
00:01:47 - The Race for UCL spots in the premier league
00:02:30 - Futures bets
00:03:30 - Fixture congestion + remaining schedule
00:04:51 - Nottingham Forest have been pretty lucky, but are seemingly safe
00:06:29 - Why this season has been so weird
00:07:56 - 10th place Bournemouth
00:10:35 - A good long-shot bet?
00:10:56 - Manchester City SHOULD be fine
00:11:51 - Haaland is back
00:12:13 - Odds to finish in the top 5
00:13:48 - Are Chelsea in trouble?
00:14:10 - DGF explanation
00:15:37 - Palmer has been mortal since Christmas
00:16:12 - Chelsea’s injury problems
00:17:50 - Uptick in possession, but worse results?
00:18:41 - Arsenal are the only team of that style that destroys transition
00:20:35 - So will Chelsea drop out?
00:21:05 - Newcastle and Brighton’s resurgence
00:22:10 - Newcastle fans are angry at us
00:23:33 - Newcastle’s remaining games
00:24:50 - Are Brighton good now?
00:27:07 - Danny Welbeck
00:27:31 - Brighton’s schedule
00:28:26 - Matthew Benham/Tony Bloom rivalry
00:30:30 - Aston Villa’s should focus on the Champions League
00:31:29 - Poor goal difference and bad underlying numbers
00:32:47 - Some Parisian slander
00:34:00 - Patrick’s final predictions
00:34:40 - Ted’s prediction
00:35:31 - Ted’s Red Star story
00:40:01 - Early transfer window rumours
00:40:39 - Rashford to Villa for 40M?
00:42:09 - Why this is a bad idea for Villa
00:43:07 - Felix Nmecha to Man United?
00:44:01 - Lack of ball progression with Nmecha and Ugarte
00:44:17 - Xavi Simons to Liverpool?
00:45:26 - Rebuilding bad teams and strengthening good teams
00:45:59 - Adam Wharton to Manchester City for 70M, is it too little money?
00:47:10 - Tyler Dibling to Spurs
00:49:07 - Good dribbler, but no end product
00:49:20 - Angel Gomes to West Ham on a free
00:50:10 - Caoimhin Kelleher to Bournemouth?
00:53:34- B-roll Conversations
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Zijn er afleveringen die ontbreken?
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick begin by discussing Barcelona's 4-2 comeback victory over Atletico Madrid. What went wrong for Atleti and what does it mean for the La Liga title race? After a quick discussion of Villarreal vs Real Madrid, the conversation switches to Newcastle's 2-0 victory over Liverpool to claim their first trophy in 56 years. How can the Magpies build off this moment? Then, Inter Milan has a firm lead in Serie A, but will Champions League commitments and lack of depth hurt their title aspirations? The episode finishes with Chelsea fans finally seeing the truth and if Como are preparing to spend this summer. Enjoy!
Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@mandown.podcast
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00:00 - Intro
00:39 - Ted’s shoutout
02:37 - Podcasts as a record of yourself to leave behind
03:33 - Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona
04:42 - How Atleti exploited Barca’s high line
05:56 - Why xG is an imperfect metric
07:11 - South American strikers and Wenger
08:41 - Lewandowski’s ridiculous finish
09:15 - Did an uncalled handball lead to the finish we got?
10:00 - Lamine Yamal’s goal and Goalkeepers vs. deflections
11:24 - Atleti didn’t deserve the results they got this week
12:09 - Villarreal vs Real Madrid
13:24 - Even when Real Madrid are off they find a way to win
14:15 - La Liga table
16:27 - With no UCL, Atleti can focus on the La Liga race
18:10 - Raphinha to Man United for £70M?
20:04 - Patrick and Ted’s NEW podcast
20:47 - Newcastle Win the Leagues Cup and end their trophy drought
21:15 - Why was Mac Allister marking Dan Burn?
23:55 - How Liverpool uses Salah’s movement before they win the ball back
24:52 - Leicester City and Mourinho’s Real Madrid were great at countering from corners
26:14 - How Newcastle countered this strategy
27:56 - Joelinton’s physicality
29:24 - Newcastle are good at frustrating top sides, but are not set up to deal with bad teams every week
30:14 - Newcastle will have to do some squad building in the summer
31:56 - Inter Milan vs Atalanta and Ederson’s red card
33:37 - Inter really didn’t do much until the red card
34:07 - Depth a problem with Inter still being in the UCL or is the international break more scary?
35:54 - Chelsea fans are finally seeing the truth
37:00 - It looked like Chelsea were off to a great start, but the problems are showing now
38:04 - Jackson and Palmer can’t ALWAYS save chelsea
38:55 - First season with a new manager, give Maresca time to adapt
40:32 - Como and Cesc Fabregas
41:51 - will Como spend big this summer?
43:07 - Will Juventus fire Motta?
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On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down the action from Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, Barcelona vs. Benfica, and Dortmund vs. Lille and look ahead to the quarterfinal matchups. Can Arsenal defeat Real Madrid, will Dortmund upset Barcelona, and who will prevail in Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan? The episode ends with predictions for the next UCL round. Enjoy!
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00:00 - Intro
00:33 - New UCL Format + a great 2 days of games
01:14 - PSG shock Liverpool
02:52 - Did Slot’s gameplan make sense?
03:26 - Luis Enrique’s tactics and Dembele
04:33 - Donarumma was VULNERABLE early
05:42 - If you can weather PSG’s storm they drop off considerably
06:38 - How PSG’s “micro-midfield” ran the game
07:43 - How does PSG stack up against Aston Villa?
10:01 - Luis Enrique is an excellent problem solver
11:09 - Real Madrid SURVIVE Atletico Madrid
12:05 - Modric and Bellingham did not have a geat game
14:22 - Real Madrid need someone other than Vinicius and Mbappe to unlock defenses
15:10 - What will Arsenal’s gameplan be?
17:04 - If Saka is back, how will Arsenal set up?
18:56 - Saka’s gravity and two-footedness
20:16 - Barcelona vs Dortmund
20:41 - Lille scored “too quickly” against Dortmund
21:38 - Barcelona will NOT allow Dortmund to have the ball and attack all game
22:03 - Raphinha is in ridiculous form + Barcelona matchup perfectly against Dortmund
23:29 - Barcelona can score their way out of trouble
24:46 - Lewandowski might be declining, but he’s what Barcelona need
26:10 - Bayern Munich vs. Inter Milan
26:41 - Will Bayern break down Inter, or will Inter be able to counterattack?
27:34 - The biggest game of Vincent Kompany’s managerial career
29:15 - Does each club's domestic title race impact this matchup?
31:01 - UCL Quarterfinals predictions
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On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss how the numbers may have lied about the first leg of PSG vs. LIverpool and what they mean for the 2nd leg. Then, Arsenal have hired Andrea Berta to be their next director of football. Who is he, what does he need to do, and how should Arsenal fans feel about the hire? Next, a quick look at games from the Bundesliga over the weekend and a discussion on how fitness professionals can impact teams the most. The episode ends with a look at Claudio Ranieri’s Roma team, Inter Milan being a good longshot for the UCL, the Serie A table, and Arsenal vs. Manchester United. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:22 - PSG vs Liverpool
01:59 - Stats from the game
03:22 - 1st half vs 2nd half
05:01 - PSG were much more open in the 2nd half
06:08 - How does this line up for the 2nd leg?
06:59 - You can’t just “be more defensive”
08:25 - PSG needs to allow their creativity to create chances, not pound shots
11:09 - A look at the Champions League matches
12:23 - Arsenal hire Andrea Berta as director of football
13:16 - How the media handle these things and Raul Senllehi
16:03 - Arsenal have a clear idea of what they need to do
17:07 - Why the Berta hire makes sense
19:21 - Saka coming back for Arsenal, will he be cautious or come back at full speed?
21:02 -Stability with Arteta should make Arsenal fans feel confident
22:05 - A quick look at the bundesliga - Why were they running so much?
23:33 - Bayern’s PPDA were crazy even with 10 men
25:05 - Sprint management
26:20 - FItness people being on the same page as coaches
26:45 - How fitness coaches can give teams absurd value
27:51 - We’re hiring!
28:48 - Rainieri and Roma
30:13 - Napoli are in a rough stretch
30:39 - Inter a sharp bet to win the UCL?
32:22 - The Italian table
33:51 - We’ll talk the top 5 race in England next week
35:04 - Raya was UNBELIEVEABLE for Arsenal v. Manchester United
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On this episode, Patrick and Neel take a look at the Champions league Games from Tuesday, focusing on Real Madrid's 2-1 win over Atletico Madrid and Arsenal's 7-1 BATTERING of PSV. How did Real Madrid get the advantage and what can Atletico do to win in the 2nd leg? Why did Arteta decide to play such attacking football? Plus two players you NEED to watch Wednesday, Vangelis Pavlidis and Igor Paixão. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:03 - Real Madrid Defeat Atletico Madrid, 2-1
01:51 - Individual efforts were the story of the game
02:56 - Real Madrid and Ancelotti are breaking the mold of top teams
05:31 - If not for Alvarez, Atletico would have produced very little
07:05 - Real Madrid dropping their defensive line
07:51 - Luka Modric’s introduction to the game
08:53 - Atletico are good are breaching high lines
10:25 - Atletico’s defense was shocking on the second goal
12:27 - Atletico can shop for defensive centerbacks that other big teams wouldn’t go for
14:14 - How can Real Madrid be exploited in the 2nd leg?
17:28 - Arsenal BATTER PSV
17:55 - Why no haramball from Arteta?
19:12 - Arsenal beat PSV at their own game
20:16 - Was the scoreline a bit harsh?
21:54 - Benitez had a horrible game
23:33 - Dortmund vs Lille was definitely a game of football
23:44 - Club Brugge vs Aston Villa and pure haramball from Emery
24:51 - The last goal makes it REALLY hard for Club Brugge to comeback, but they’ve had a great campaign
25:36 - Brugge’s young talent
28:22 - PLEASE watch the Madrid derby next week instead of Villa v Brugge
29:05 - Pavlidis has been on a TEAR for Benfica
30:05 - He’s 3rd in the UCL in non-penalty expected goals
31:23 - His movement is what sets him appart
33:33 - Benfica have made some interesting Striker signings
38:30 - Pavlidis’ left foot
39:56 - Igor Paixao is a player to watch Wednesday for Feyenoord
41:41 - Paixao’s shot map and decision making
42:30 - Inter have defensive problems
43:09 - Will he leave the Eredevisie?
44:21 - Premier League fit + Playing with Yankuba Minteh
45:15 - Paixao is dynamic, but lacking in the final third
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick break down every matchup in the Champions League Round of 16. Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, and Benfica vs. Barcelona be the standout matches of the round, or will we see a surprise result? Enjoy!
Ted's article on recruitment from Monday: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/what-recruitment-teams-are-doing-right-now
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:14 - Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
02:19 - Was Modric starting vs Betis the right call?
03:01 - Isco’s performance and history
05:29 - Atletico are looking great
07:01 - Julian Alvarez’ insane form
08:17 - How will Real Madrid beat Atletico’s defense?
10:23 - La Liga standings are crazy right now
10:46 - PSV vs Arsenal and Arteta’s Haramball
12:19 - Liverpool vs PSG and Dembele’s form
13:15 - Liverpool’s physicality + PSG’s attack
15:24 - Gamblers thoughts on the game
15:57 - Salah vs PSG’s defense
17:34 - Luis Enrique vs Arne Slot?
17:57 - Benfica Barcelona
18:43 - Dortmund vs Lille tangent
19:14 - Barcelona’s recent form and Benfica won’t make it easy
19:56 - Club Brugge vs Aston Villa
21:38 - Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen
22:20 - Will Leverkusen beat Bayern AGAIN?
24:08 - You can’t judge teams now based on their early season form
24:42 - Bayern withdraw Kimmich contract offer + Next team and replacements
26:03 - Finding valuable archetypes
28:31 - Feyenoord vs Inter Milan and Inter v Napoli
29:02 - Inter stopped attacking
31:05 - Hope for Feyenoord? No, look at their injury list
33:37 - An exciting round of fixtures
34:05 - Patrick’s disclaimer
35:06 - Ted and Patrick’s new venture
36:10 - B-Roll
36:15 - Watching 4 games at once and being cool in school
37:23 - Commentators having no clue what they’re talking about
39:59 - Cristiano Ronaldo Free-kick perception vs Lionel Messi’s
40:48 - Ted and Patrick’s beef with Journalists
42:39 - Patrick goes off
44:32 - Ted’s story time from his time working in football
49:41 - Ted’s (almost) time at Lyon
51:07 - Ridiculed for leaning on a goalpost
52:36 - Patrick’s realization and more honesty from him
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On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss the Championship playoff race. Leeds seem poised to take the top spot, but who will get the second automatic promotion seed and who will make the playoffs? Then, Manchester United have fired MORE staff and cut back on their canteen under INEOS and Jim Ratcliffe. Why would they do this, how does this impact the staff, and what do they need to do going forward? The episode ends with each host sharing a player that you NEED to watch as the season comes to a close. Enjoy!
Our episode with NTT20 to start the season: https://youtu.be/_LymoQM0MvE?feature=shared
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:51 - The Championship playoff race
01:51 - Burnley’s defense and Leeds’ attack
03:06 - Promoted teams having to reinvent themselves
03:58 - Burnley’s retooling and a bet with J.J. Watt
05:17 - The race for second
06:20 - Spots 3-6 are WIDE open
07:42 - Hope for Middlesbrough?
09:52 - Frank Lampard and Coventry
12:31 - Lampard didn’t revolutionize much, but brought what the team needed
14:19 - Predicting the top 6 that will make the playoffs
17:11 - Patrick’s predictions
18:24 - Manchester United cutting 200 more jobs + food options
20:19 - Why teams have meals for their staff
21:58 - Why would United make these cuts?
23:46 - United don’t need someone to develop a culture of excellence
25:34 - United’s commitment to Amorim
27:06 - United still have players coming into the first team despite their troubles
27:47 - 2 Players you should be watching
29:14 - Jorthy Mokio
31:04 - Who does Mokio compare to?
32:43 - Ajax is a good place for him to develop
34:12 - Patrick’s player - Emanuel Emegha
35:44 - Benefiting from a weak league?
37:13 - Emegha’s ability to use both feet
38:14 - Comparison to Dembele’s ability and recent form
38:59 - The traditional number 9 is making a comeback
40:43 - Is he someone to take a chance on this summer?
#manchesterunited #manutd #premierleague #efl #eflchampionship #leedsunited #sheffieldunited #burnley #coventry #football #soccer
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On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss Manchester City’s 2-0 loss to Liverpool over the weekend. How reliant are City on Haaland, is this Mo Salah’s best form EVER, and is it finally time to call Kevin De Bruyne washed? Then, the conversation switches to the race for the Champions League spots. Will City secure a spot, or will one of Chelsea, Forest, Newcastle, Bournemouth, or Aston Villa knock them out? Next, Bayern defeated 3rd place Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 over the weekend, but do they have weaknesses that may cost them in the Champions League? And finally, the Serie A title race is as close as ever. Who will be on top when the season ends? All that and more on today’s episode, enjoy!
Kim's newsletter on Mo Salah and when great players become washed:
https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-long-can-mohamed-salah-stay-on-top
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Timestamps:
01:20 - Liverpool vs Manchester City 2-0
02:22 - City’s Issues with Haaland out
03:19 - City’s success hinges on Haaland’s fitness
04:09 - Liverpool’s passive press
06:43 - Arne Slot and the press
08:53 - Salah’s Best ever form? and Kim’s article on when players become washed
09:59 - Kevin De Bruyne might be past it
11:03 - How Liverpool are reliant on Salah
12:40 - How do Liverpool figure out Salah’s contract given his form and age?
14:26 - A whole right-sided rebuild is coming?
15:39 - Will City make the champions league next season + Top 5 predictions
18:00 - How european matches may impact the top 5 race
21:02 - Final spot predictions
21:44 - Bayern pummel Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 + Freiburg goal difference
24:25 - How good Bayern can be + Frankfurt's Marmoush replacement
25:25 - What are Bayern not good at?
27:13 - How teams can hurt Bayern in transition
30:41 - Bayern's draw in the UCL and their chances there
31:54 - Can Inter trouble Bayern in the next round?
33:42 - What’s going on with Leipzig?
35:56 - The difficulties of trying to switch styles of play
37:21 - The Serie A title race narrows
39:20 - Atalanta ahead of Napoli, but are Inter still the favorites?
41:36 - Inter vs Napoli next weekend
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On this episode, Hayden and Patrick discuss Kylian Mbappe and Real Madrid dismantling Manchester City, 3-1. What caused City’s defense to collapse, could this be a good thing for City, and have things finally clicked for Real Madrid? Next, Atalanta was shocked by Club Brugge in both legs and their manager had harsh comments for their star player after the game. Is Ademola Lookman’s time at Atalanta done after this season? Then, Italian teams struggled in the Champions League while Dutch clubs had great success. What caused this sudden deviation from expectations? And finally, the title race in La Liga is heating up with Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico Madrid separated by just one point. Who is in the best position to win the title? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:59 - Real Madrid Defeat Manchester City 3-1
02:28 - Mbappe was a mismatch
03:18 - Was it coaching or the players making mistakes?
05:09 - How Madrid got their goals
06:01 - Man City get a break now and Madrid REALLY needed this
07:47 - Have things clicked for Madrid?
09:36 - Atalanta lose to Club Brugge in both legs
11:53 - Tolio’s red card
12:22 - Lookman penalty situation + Gasperini’s response
14:33 - Lookman’s response and reactions
15:49 - Will Lookman leave in the summer?
17:35 - Potential landing spots for Lookman
19:58 - Italian clubs suffered while Dutch teams excelled
21:32 - PSV have been excellent for 18 months
22:54 - Why can’t Serie A clubs perform in the UCL + Juventus continue to be BORING
25:26 - Has Peter Bosz improved as a manager?
26:56 - PSV have let Ajax back into the Eredivisie title race
28:12 - Feyenoord will be a tough environment for visiting teams next round
29:46 - The La Liga title race
30:40 - Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico are in a stalemate
31:33 - Are Barcelona in the best position to win La Liga and will Real Madrid focus on the Champions League?
33:06 - Unsung heroes performing for Barca/Real Madrid
33:47 - Does signing players from the top end of the market mean they are able to solve problems better?
34:58 - Jude Bellingham’s ability to be better than the opponent when needed
36:32 - Messi is another problem solver
37:20 - Players Hayden worked with that surprised him with what they saw
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Chelsea's woeful form and their 3-0 loss to Brighton this weekend. Then, the conversation switches to Manchester City and their revived attack. Is Ederson's long ball ability to Haaland and Marmoush the key to saving their season? Next, Arsenal seem to have found their Kai Havertz replacement, but it's not one you would expect. Is Mikel Merino the man for the job going forward? The episode ends with a woeful Tottenham vs. Manchester United game, an apology to Everton fans, and questioning if Liverpool fans should start to get a bit nervous after their last 2 games. Stay tuned to find out about a new venture that Ted and Patrick are planning to launch! Enjoy!
Kim's INEOS roundup: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/tottenham-and-man-united-meet-in-the-disaster-bowl
The singles party Ted Mentions: https://zalevska.webflow.io/korporatyv-eng?fbclid=PAY2xjawIgUyFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABpt1fCOH1LFRprRYsrkjme9YNvHf3jEzhHhjK6K_1gUJkMpCKrSINKTr7Qw_aem_rBiF6cicDe8OwUAqTsAoGg
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:48 - New host hires
00:01:39 - A damaging for months for Chelsea
00:03:08 - Sanchez finally out of goal
00:03:58 - Chalaba and Colwill
00:05:17 - Ederson vs Raya vs Sanchez distribution
00:07:08 - Is it a coaching issue? + Cucurella struggles
00:08:03 - Very high PPDA for Chelsea
00:09:51 - How Arsenal play out of possession + Wenger anecdote
00:12:47 - Nicolas Jackson out 6-8 weeks
00:13:28 - Marmoush, Haaland, and Ederson
00:15:27 - Haaland takes so much attention
00:17:33 - Newcastle vs. United
00:19:17 - Spurs games are FUN for neutrals
00:20:16 - United completed 2 dribbles and Zirkzee playing like Felliani
00:21:17 - Amorim has dealt with injuries, but United are BAD
00:22:35 - Ted’s preseason prediction
00:24:23 - Kim’s INEOS writeup
00:24:58 - Arsenal’s new number 9 + Raheem sterling seems DONE
00:27:32 - Mikel Merino slotting in as your center forward
00:28:42 - Merino = Land shark
00:30:18 - An apology tour for our Everton takes
00:30:46 - Same level of play, different results
00:32:36 - Will this run continue?
00:35:14 - Should Liverpool fans be concerned?
00:36:34 - Salah is playing great, but he will need some rest
00:37:36 - A tough run of games coming up
00:38:35 - Liverpool’s FA cup loss could help them rest
00:39:36 - Share your topic suggestions with us!
00:40:24 - Ted and Patrick’s new podcast
00:41:33 - Patrick’s thoughts on Another Round
00:43:45 - Ted’s TikTok inspired adventure
00:47:45 - Ted’s history
00:49:18 - No history of dating with smartphones or on apps
00:50:52 - Experimenting to optimize Ted’s profile
00:52:08 - Why Patrick is qualified to speak on this topic
00:54:25 - What the podcast will be about
00:55:22 - Pilates and Yoga are a great way for men to meet people
00:56:29 - Ted gets vulnerable and talks about himself
01:00:36 - Breaking up with someone, but breaking your own heart
01:03:28 - Doubling down to vulnerability after being avoidant
01:05:29 - Men love sports because they get to feel
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Ted Knutson, a former professional gambler, shares his picks for every Premier League match this weekend and explains why you shouldn’t chase the action on weeks where the total bet number is small. He then goes over some of the reads he shared on social media earlier this week. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:16 - Bet105
02:28 - Brighton v Chelsea
04:04 - The best players are only worth so much to lines, even Messi and Ronaldo
04:43 - Leicester v Arsenal
06:24 - Fulham v Forest
06:55 - Southampton v Bournemouth
07:45 - Aston Villa v Ipswich
08:33 - Man City v Newcastle
11:08 - West Ham v Brentford
12:07 - Crystal Palace v Everton
13:14 - DON’T chase the action
14:23 - Liverpool v Wolves
15:00 - Tottenham v United
16:57 - Running totals and new bet size
17:56 - Ted’s recent reads on Plymouth and AC Milan
21:11 - More about The Transfer Flow
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On today's episode, Patrick is joined by Neel Shelat to discuss all things Champions League from Tuesday's slate of games. They start with the big one, Real Madrid's 3-2 victory over Manchester City. Where were the new transfers, what went wrong for both teams, and can City bounce back in the 2nd leg? After discussing the other games from Tuesday, the conversation switches to the Saudi Pro league and the market opportunities for smart teams. Should more European clubs be trying to get players BACK from Saudi? The episode ends with Kai Havertz' season ending injury. Should Arsenal have made a move in January? Enjoy!
Neel's article on Man City's huge January window: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manchester-city-spent-180m-planning-for-the-future
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:04 - Neel’s Manchester City transfer article
03:17 - Marmoush is the biggest impact for this season
04:35 - These transfers were meant to rejuvenate an aging squad
05:16 - The transfers did not play early
05:53 - The start of the game + Real Madrid’s initial plan
07:29 - City should have taken more advantage of Madrid’s poor start
07:49 - City have forgotten how to close out games
09:48 - The pressing in this game was staggeringly incompetent
10:35 - Bellingham grew as the game went on
11:18 - Their 2020 matchup and the similarities between the games
12:42 - City’s intensity dropped in the second half
14:49 - The threat of Vinicius vs. De Bruyne
15:42 - Will City become more of a transition side with Marmoush?
17:28 - City must score early in the 2nd leg
18:28 - Quick roundup of Tuesday’s UCL games
18:55 - Juventus vs. PSV
21:33 - Dortmund vs Sporting + the transition to Kovac
24:42 - Opportunities for teams in the Saudi Pro League
25:46 - How many foreign players in the Saudi Pro League?
26:58 - Teams are maxed out - No more huge market movement
27:48 - Fofana example + the opportunity to get players to improve European teams
28:49 - Teams have to be careful with wages
31:08 - Players now have to be careful about getting replaced in a few years time
32:29 - The difference between Saudi and the Chinese Super League
35:16 - Kai Havertz out for the season for Arsenal
36:04 - The timing of moves matters
37:31 - Rotating players to avoid injuries during long seasons
39:06 - Arsenal have ran their stars into the ground
39:45 - Options to replace Havertz + players returning from injury for Arsenal
40:42 - Arteta needs to think about his 13/14 key player rotation + Using Arsenal’s great academy
42:16 - The amount of games are not going to go down ($$$$$$)
42:55 - Where to find Neel
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On today’s episode, Ted and Patrick breakdown every match in the Knockout phase of the Champions League. They start with the biggest match of the round, Real Madrid vs. Manchester City. Both teams have clear weaknesses, but who will be able to take advantage of them the most? Then they get into Ousmane Dembele, is he the best player in the world right now? Stay tuned to see the hosts live reaction to Feyenoord sacking Brian Priske, underrated matches to watch this round, and some stories from Ted. The episode ends with predictions for EVERY matchup and some behind the scenes footage. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Nicolas Cage is a Coppola?
00:54 - Champions League Playoffs
01:31 - Real Madrid v Man City
02:25 - City are a coin flip and Pep vs Ancelotti
04:57 - How both teams will approach this game
05:53 - Ederson is the best long-ball goalkeeper in the world
07:38 - Madrid can’t press, but their ability to play out from pressure is elite
08:28 - Madrid Derby reactions
09:45 - Dani Ceballos is Madrid’s best player at the moment
11:25 - Patrick vs Rodri, who wins right now?
12:04 - Real Madrid have the worst defensive record in the UCL, why did they make no moves?
15:36 - But surely Real Madrid could have done SOMETHING?
17:10 - Football nepotism = Genepotism
18:24 - Brest vs PSG + Dembele is the form player in the world right now
19:26 - Dembele’s positional change
20:40 - How his ability to use both feet impacts defenders
21:22 - The drastic xG difference
24:55 - Juventus vs PSV
26:16 - Sporting v Dortmund
27:21 - One to watch for potential summer transfers
28:56 - Brugge v Atalanta
29:46 - Atalanta play a very unique style
30:34 - How is Gasperini doing this?
31:36 - The oddities of Italian coaches + a story from Ted
32:52 - Celtic v Bayern Munich
35:21 - Do Celtic have it in them?
36:11 - Feyenoord v AC Milan
37:42 - Milan’s season is becoming more and more unhinged
38:50 - Zlatan not being a bit, he’s just weird
40:01 - Should be a fun contest between managers?
41:27 - Breaking news - Priske sacked mid recording + Reactions
43:32 - Monaco v Benfica is sneaky fun
44:41 - Can Benfica replicate their form?
46:41 - A ton of young, exciting players in this game
49:22 - Predictions for EVERY matchup
51:53 - Behind the scenes - Andre 3000, Australians, and a cliffhanger from Ted
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On today’s episode, Patrick is joined by José C. Pérez to discuss the end of the transfer window. They start with Man City’s spending spree this January and the addition of Nico Gonzalez. Is he their Rodri replacement? The conversation moves to Aston Villa, where the guys try to make sense of their additions. How will Unai Emery use his new firepower? Next, Arsenal and Liverpool both made no moves, but does this mean the Gunners are throwing in the towel? Then comes La Liga, whose teams spent far less this window than the other big leagues. Real Madrid also made no moves, despite a squad that needs upgrades. Is it a sign of things to come across Europe, or is it only due to their financial regulations? The episode finishes with discussion of AC Milan’s moves this window, including Joao Felix, and Como and Rennais both making a TON of moves. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:37 - Man City have spent BIG this window
02:14 - Have City neglected their needs for a while?
04:43 - City’s press has rapidly declined
06:22 - An aging squad + Rodri’s injury
07:56 - Nico Gonzalez history and escaping Barcelona’s grasp
09:18 - City need a more positional version of Gonzalez
10:42 - Physicality and similarities to Rodri
13:27 - Jose’s thoughts on Aston Villa’s window
16:43 - Similarities between Rashford and Malen
17:59 - Asensio’s quality, but do they have enough defensive presence?
19:36 - Why did Liverpool and Arsenal make no moves?
21:24 - Are Arsenal throwing in the towel?
22:46 - Why did La Liga make so few moves?
25:03 - Why are Real Madrid making no moves if they have the money?
27:17 - Why are Madrid averse to spending on defenders?
27:51 - A historic spending spree coming?
30:22 - Serie A went MAD
30:47 - Conceicao and AC Milan’s window
31:51 - How does Joao Felix fit in?
33:05 - Kyle Walker as a conventional RB?
34:33 - Does the Santiago Gimenez make sense?
36:52 - What will Conceicao’s style look like?
37:51 - Como and Rennes make a TON of moves
40:21 - A mix of reloading on talent and trying to win now?
42:09 - Should they have done fewer transfers, given how hard it is to interchange squads?
44:28 - Where can people find Jose?
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On today’s episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Arsenal’s 5-1 victory over Manchester City. Have Arsenal’s academy kids saved their season? Then comes Aston Villa, who have acquired Marcus Rashford and Marco Asensio on loan. Why have they agreed to pay the rumoured 75% of Rashford’s wages? Next, Tottenham’s search for defenders and the loan addition of Mathys Tel from Bayern Munich. Why would spurs agree to a loan deal if it only helps Bayern? The episode ends with discussion of Evan Ferguson’s loan move to West Ham, Brighton stockpiling assets, and the atmosphere at the Arsenal/Man City game. Stick around for behind the scenes footage with discussion of Japanese game shows, Natalie Portman, and Kumail Nanjiani.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:50 - Arsenal thrash Man City
03:14 - Teams are teeing off on the City press this year
05:03 - Lewis-Skelly and the Arsenal kids SAVED their season
06:08 - Nwaneri and Lewis-Skelly don’t look like kids
07:03 - How good Academy players influence the rest of the squad
08:09 - They’re mentally ahead of the curve
09:55 - Not every youngster is capable of this
10:33 - Will Lewis-Skelly stay at left-back?
12:36 - Arsenal are in win now mode
15:27 - Marcus Rashford and Asensio to Aston Villa
16:49 - Why are they paying 75% of Rashford wages?
17:37 - Villa are focusing on the Champions League
18:55 - Villa love a big name from a big club
20:24 - Tottenham’s search for defenders
20:36 - Palace turns down 70M for Guehi? And Brighton turned down 90M for Mitoma?
22:40 - Spurs sign Tel on a straight loan… WHY?
24:02 - Spurs sign Kevin Danso as well, is he a backup?
26:20 - Will Spurs try a back 3? + Back 3’s this season
28:28 - Brighton and Fabian Hurzeler
29:27 - Teams can save themselves money by having design
30:00 - Brighton let Evan Ferguson join West Ham on loan
30:42 - What would you want Ferguson’s buy option to be here?
33:01 - He’s going to a coach who knows him
34:10 - What would Brighton hope to get for him in the summer?
36:24 - Brighton are stockpiling forwards
38:03 - Brighton have everything in place, but Hurzeler might not be the coach for the job
38:41 - City fans complaining about the Arsenal atmosphere
39:47 - It’s part of wearing the crown
40:19 - The Arsenal/Man City games have become a real rivalry
42:48 - PSG have ruined their rivalry with Marseille
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Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, shares his picks for EPL Matchday 24. He shares why he's taking Bournemouth over Liverpool, betting on Ipswich, and staying away from Arsenal v Man City.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:40 - Find the best Prices at Bet105
01:40 - The BEST Super Bowl promo
02:22 - Forest v Brighton
04:31 - Bournemouth v Liverpool
07:23 - Newcastle v Fulham
09:02 - Everton v Leicester
10:46 - Ipswich v Southampton
12:19 - Wolves v Aston Villa
14:36 - United v Crystal Palace
15:00 - Brentford v Tottenham
16:23 - Arsenal v Manchester City
18:43 - Chelsea v West Ham
20:19 - How much Ted has in play this weekend
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On this episode, Patick is joined by Hayden Van Brewer to discuss the latest transfer rumours around Europe. They start with Garnacho leaving Manchester United and look at the best potential landing spots. Does he fit in better at Chelsea, or should Napoli make a serious run at him? Next comes Brian Brobbey, who has been linked with West Ham this January. Does he fit in well with Graham Potters system and what skillset would he bring? The conversation turns to Victor Boniface, who has an offer from Saudi side Al Nassr. Could he make a difference on a top European team instead? We finish up with Rayan Cherki being linked to Newcastle and Albert Gronbaek's move to Southampton. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:11 - Garnacho appears DONE at Manchester United
02:33 - Clubs interested in Garnacho
04:11 - How he fits at Chelsea
05:20 - Whats a better fit, Chelsea or Napoli?
07:09 - The creativity at Chelsea suits Garnacho
08:01 - What about his defensive side?
09:26 - Garnacho is still only 21 + Amorim’s system needs money
11:16 - Brian Brobbey linked with West Ham
12:06 - Brobbey is a physical specimen + his skillset
13:39 - A replacement for Antonio?
14:53 - Would he fit in with Graham Potter?
16:51 - Why did he not work at Leipzig?
18:36 - Victor Boniface linked with Saudi
19:49 - Boniface could be a difference maker for a Europa/Champions League side
21:15 - Is the market wary of players with injury history?
23:41 - How do pro teams look at a players trends and injury concerns?
26:45 - Rashford linked to Barcelona, but he has lots of miles on his legs
27:33 - We’ve talked about this with Kobie Mainoo
28:20 - Is there a market opportunity? Or are older players too risky?
30:35 - Looking where others aren’t gives you the most chance to find an edge
32:01 - Rayan Cherki on the Market, linked with Newcastle
33:22 - Could Newcastle convert him like Joelinton?
34:36 - His skillset would help Newcastle unlock defenses
35:32 - Too much of a weakness in the press?
37:11 - A good partner for Aleksander Isak
37:40 - What club would suit Cherki the best?
39:35 - Albert Gronbaek to Southampton
40:30 - Gronbaek’s skillset
41:51 - The dutchification of The Transfer Flow
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Manchester City's 3-1 win over Chelsea this weekend. Khusanov struggled, Marmoush excelled, and Robert Sanchez needs to be replaced. The conversation turns to who will finish the Champions League spots. Can Bournemouth, Newcastle, and Forest overtake City and Chelsea, or will the giants regain their form? To round out the episode Patrick and Ted take a look at some transfer rumours. They start with Patrick Dorgu being linked to United, how he fits, and what his price should be. Then, 18-year-old Sverre Nypan has interest from many clubs. Is a move to Arsenal in the cards, or could he prefer a lower league before making the jump to the EPL? Make sure to stay tuned until the end of the episode for a behind the scenes look at Sir Alex Ferguson stories, Ted's invite to a Party, and Billy Beane.
Tickets for the party Ted mentions: https://zalevska.webflow.io/korporatyv-eng?fbclid=PAY2xjawIEdFpleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABpop_xpK7gZiFyk8r-GL6W8n5Y_LZ3Q48xOv1TUyL7ZqeWPEp0htiwhz2Uw_aem_jG_OuTl6kQHs3Yp94__tJw
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:07 - Man City v Chelsea + Khusanov’s rough start
02:33 - Haaland’s creation during the game
03:10 - Gvardiol and a continuing theme for Pep
04:16 - Marmoush fit in instantly
06:00 - 2 teams who want to play with control, but neither had it
06:37 - What does this performance mean for Chelsea?
07:53 - Sanchez has the yips
08:36 - A change at keeper is surely coming
10:02 - Maresca has Chelsea playing to the level of their talent
11:31 - The importance of asking questions in football
13:01 - 2 instances where Ted called out bad transfers
15:06 - GM’s and DoF’s should be in the media regularly
16:09 - The race for Champions League spots in the Premier League
16:45 - Ted disagrees with Patrick
17:20 - Bournemouth's form despite an injury crisis
17:52 - Are Forest in trouble?
18:37 - Can Bournemouth add any players?
19:44 - City still have problems defensively and with the press
20:56 - Can city rebuild their press?
22:47 - So who makes it into the top 5?
23:59 - Who falls out of the CL spots?
25:07 - The second team out?
26:37 - Newcastle are the most fragile of the contenders
27:56 - Everything but the title race should be interesting to follow
28:35 - Patrick Dorgu to United?
29:25 - How much is he worth?
30:03 - He has traits to succeed in the EPL and at United
30:42 - He sometimes is able to coast, which hurts him
32:02 - He fits into a tough position at United
33:39 - Should they buy back Alvara Carreras instead?
34:39 - It looks like Garnacho will be gone eventually
35:12 - Sverre Nypan rumours
36:10 - Other Norwegian youngsters
37:05 - Nypan’s skillset + Does a weak league hurt him?
38:22 - What’s a comfortable price?
39:15 - Arsenal’s history of developing young talent
41:43 - The Premier League is back to attracting the best young talent
42:46 - Trying out new hosts!
44:27 - Behind the scenes footage (Sir Alex Ferguson story, Ted’s party invite for everyone, and Billy Beane?)
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On episode 9 of Variance Betting, Ted goes over his big results from last week, gives a crash course on discount bookies and Asian Handicaps, and shares his bets for Premier League Matchday 23!
Get better prices on Bet105: https://btone.servclick1move.com/?mid=248446_1462437&utm_source=www.thetransferflow.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=variance-betting-17-jan-2025&_bhlid=379169a1e683fa1a289c2ed91425b14a56c4246c
More info on Asian Handicap betting: https://www.betshoot.com/betting-guides/asian-handicap-betting/
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:10 - Running totals, last weeks recap, and updated bet size
04:29 - New courses coming this summer
05:13 - Why we prefer Discount Bookies + Bet105 promo
08:38 - Why Asian handicap betting?
12:00 - What is Variance Betting?
14:13 - Liverpool v Ipswich
15:34 - Wolves v Arsenal
16:41 - Brighton v Everton
18:17 - Southampton v Newcastle
18:54 - Bournemouth v Forest
19:45 - City v Chelsea
21:58 - Tottenham v Leicester
22:59 - Crystal Palace v Brentford
24:27 - Aston Villa v West Ham
25:47 - Fulham v United
26:45 - Total bets this week
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. - Laat meer zien
