Afleveringen
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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by Discussing Vincent Kompany's tenure at Bayern Munich. They lead the Bundesliga, but have struggled in big matches. What's the best way to evaluate Kompany's performance? Then, the conversation switched to Lyon, who need to make 100M in sales this January to avoid being sent to Ligue 2. How has the happened, who will they sell, and what teams might those players go to? Finally, the Serie A title race has been close since the start of the season, but is it now down to 3 teams? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:06 - Vincent Kompany’s tenure as Bayern manager
02:51 - What would be a successful first season?
04:14 - Lack of success in Big Matches
06:49 - They’ve missed key players for multiple matches
08:00 - Do they have the squad for Kompany?
10:26 - Bayern by the numbers this season
13:35 - How Kompany has approached this season
16:15 - How do you evaluate Kompany?
17:33 - Should Bayern manage expectations?
19:30 - Do you evaluate Kompany solely on big matches?
21:36 - What positions should Bayern target in January?
23:15 - Kimmich has played the most minutes and may leave
24:50 - Why Lyon need to make 100M in January
26:15 - Lyon have spent money poorly
27:50 - Lyon are not a team that spend big money historically
30:29 - Players Lyon can sell for significant money (Caqueret and Cherki)
33:05 - Why hasn’t Cherki left Lyon yet?
35:52 - Georges Mikautadze
36:48 - Malick Fofana is a great prospect
38:46 - Ernest Nuamah
39:45 - What club for Fofana and Nuamah?
40:51 - The Serie A title race
41:29 - Is it a 3-team race (Inter Milan, Napoli and Lazio)?
44:00 - Why Fiorentina is likely not a challenger
44:38 - Napoli’s advantage
45:27 - Upcoming schedules for the top teams
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Arsenal's recent run of poor results. What's going wrong, how can they fix it, and do they need to add someone in January? Next, Russell Martin and Gary O'Neil were sacked this weekend. Why did it happen and should the firings have come sooner? The conversation moves to the Manchester Derby after United edge out a 2-1 win over City thanks to 2 late goals. What's wrong with City, can Pep fix it, and just how good is Amad Diallo? To end the episode they discuss Diego Gomez' move from Inter Miami to Brighton, marking the first move of the January window. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:06 - What’s wrong with Arsenal?
02:22 - An accumulation of imperfect choices
04:07 - Lack of squad depth
06:31 - Injuries have been a factor, but they have played conservatively
07:59 -The piece they’re missing
09:51 - Martinelli
11:30 - Why Odegaard might be tired + stories from Ted
15:06 - Should Arteta be playing more aggressively?
16:30 - The risk/reward trade off of pushing for more goals
18:16 - What kind of player should Arsenal target in January?
21:28 - Russell Martin FINALLY sacked by Southampton
24:21 - Why did they keep him so long?
26:01 - Wolves Firing Gary O’Neil
29:18 - How many EPL teams allowed over 60 xG last season?
30:09 - Late drama in the Manchester Derby
31:09 - City couldn’t get anything going
32:21 - Lack of quality at DM and fullback are hurting Pep
33:52 - Can pep fix it?
34:32 - Can they buy their way out of it in January?
35:17 - Amad Diallo
35:57 - The first transfer of the window: Gomez to Brighton
36:54 - Neymar to join Lionel Messi at Inter Miami?
38:41 - Brighton’s strategy of stacking up useful talent
39:59 - It may allow them to make consistent Champions League runs soon
41:51 - Ted’s recent run on Variance Betting
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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi breakdown the Champions League after round 6. They start by discussing the new league phase format and the effects it may have down the road. Next, they look at the most surprising teams so far, as well as giants that have underperformed. Then, the conversation turns to young talents that are emerging. Which players have caught their eyes? And finally, they predict the top 8 and where the underperforming giants will finish in the table. All that and more on today’s episode, enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:00 - New Champions League format discussion
00:02:57 - New format = more marquee matchups
00:06:48 - 3 surprise teams this Champions League
00:07:20 - Aston Villa
00:09:00 - This is what Unai Emery does
00:10:45 - A clear path to the top 8
00:11:43 - Brest are struggling in Ligue 1, but have had the easiest path in the CL
00:12:39 - The rest of Brest’s schedule
00:14:05 - Lille actually have worse numbers than Brest in the CL
00:15:20 - Lille have had a pretty hard schedule
00:16:44 - Bruno Genesio has put together good plans and Lille have good talent
00:18:46 - Big name teams that are STRUGGLING
00:19:29 - City and PSG have good xG differential but are low in the table
00:20:06 - PSG are underperfoming their xG by a crazy amount due to bad misses
00:22:29 - Man City and PSG play a huge game in round 7
00:24:44 - City’s final game appears easy, but you never know
00:26:03 - Pep’s CL away record
00:27:38 - Are City’s league and CL problems the same?
00:30:07 - Rodri’s importance and who can replace him in January
00:32:29 - Real Madrid are unlikely to go out due to relatively easy last 2 games
00:34:25 - Qualified teams could put more pressure on these 3 teams
00:36:04 - Real Madrid don’t have free midweeks coming up
00:37:25 - Madrid’s xG conceded numbers are very high
00:38:31 - Atalanta’s style played into Madrid’s hand
00:39:25 - Madrid’s sorcery is getting weaker
00:40:27 - Emerging young talents
00:40:54 - Álvaro Carreras - Benfica
00:43:12 - Enzo Millot - Stuttgart
00:45:06 - Similar stats to Florian Wirtz
00:46:23 - Charles De Ketelaere - Atalanta
00:49:00 - Malik Tillman - PSV
00:51:22 - Johan Bakayoko - PSV
00:53:38 - Other player shoutouts
00:57:57 - Top 8 Predictions
01:00:16 - Real Madrid, PSG. Man City predictions
01:03:21 - Argentina’s 40-team league = CL table this year
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Manchester United and Dan Ashworth parting ways. What did Ashworth do in his 5 months at United, who will be their next Sporting Director, and will Amorim be allowed to get his guys in the squad? Then, Chelsea's 4-3 win over Spurs highlighted Tottenham's injury crisis. Can Ange Postecoglou fix the squad, or are they destined to have some heartbreak this season. The conversation switches to Cole Palmer, is he the best player in the Premier League or does he still have some growing to do? Finally, Andoni Iraola has Bournemouth high up the table, but will he move to a bigger club after this season? Stay tuned for Ted's Story at the end of the episode! Enjoy.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:06 - Dan Ashworth Out as Manchester United Sporting Director
03:18 - Who can replace him?
04:02 - United are trying to Pin blame on Ashworth
05:03 - What did Ashworth do in his 5 months at United?
06:40 - What do United do next?
08:26 - How good is Dan Ashworth actually?
10:23 - How outside consultants provide value to a club
12:41 - Will United allow Amorim to bring in his guys?
14:27 - Chelsea defeats Tottenham, 4-3
15:49 - Spurs are so injured
16:24 - No centerbacks for Spurs
17:37 - Social media videos hiding mistakes + Cucurella mistake
19:05 - Both teams were spotted goals
20:08 - Takeaways from the game for Tottenham
20:37 - Chelsea’s attack is flying
21:53 - Can Ange fix this despite the injuries?
23:09 - Is Cole Palmer the best player in the Premier League?
24:40 - We’ve become indifferent to Saka because of how long he’s been good
25:37 - Palmer pulls the strings for Chelsea’s break
26:36 - You can’t overplay Palmer due to Chelsea’s squad
27:11 - The free role allows Palmer to develop more skills
27:48 - What about Palmer’s defensive side?
29:16 - What happens if Palmer doesn’t score in preseason and never leaves City?
32:03 - Andoni Iraola is due for a big move this summer
33:00 - Iraola = Dr. Octopus from Spiderman
33:47 - Bournemouth has done really well under Iraola
34:45 - Where could Iraola end up?
38:34 - Story Time with Ted
#premierleague #manchesterunited #chelsea #tottenham #colepalmer #bournemouth #saka
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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Barcelona's recent run of form and how much they've relied on 17-year-old Lamine Yamal. Is the teenager already the best player in La Liga? Then, they move to Barcelona's recurring registration issues. Why does this keep happening and how can they fix it? Next they discuss Real Madrid, whose recent run of form has them back near the top of the table. Will they be forced to spend big in the Winter if they continue to struggle in the Champions League? Finally, Atletico Madrid have figured out how to use Julian Alvarez, but are they good enough to win the League? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:39 - What’s happening with Barcelona recently?
02:33 - Due a loss after a run of tough games
03:35 - Lamine Yamal’s importance to Barcelona
05:08 - Why does Yamal attract so much attention?
06:21 - His assist yesterday was a skill even Messi didn’t do often
07:01 - Yamal’s work out of position sets him apart
10:31 - Why didn’t Barcelona run away with the title
11:55 - Barca are much more direct this year
12:35 - Hansi Flick’s success with a changing defensive line
13:25 - Barcelona have never pressed this much
13:55 - Is Lamine Yamal the best player in La Liga?
14:33 - One aspect he needs to improve upon
16:09 - Wenger helped Thierry Henry fix a similar problem
17:04 - Barcelona’s registration issues and Dani Olmo
18:32 - They tried to solve their issues but failed
20:07 - Didn’t the Nike deal fix it?
23:26 - Could they be forced to sell Frenkie de Jong?
26:25 - Real Madrid’s recent form
27:45 - An easier run of games in La Liga than the Champions League
28:17 - Starting to get players back from injury
30:33 - Will Madrid’s young players keep their spot in the squad?
31:00 - Will Madrid make a big splash in the Winter Window?
34:02 - If they struggle towards the end of the group stage, they may try to make a move
34:53 - Atletico Madrid are quietly near the top of the table
36:12 - They’ve figured out how fit Julian Alvarez into the squad
37:30 - Atletico are playing a few youngsters
39:15 - Can they improve their set pieces?
42:28 - Odds for Atletico to win La Liga?
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Phil Foden. Why has the reigning Player of the Season's production dropped for Manchester City? They then move to Aston Villa and Unai Emery, who are struggling over their last few games. Is this expected after Emery's time at Villarreal, or will they find a way to improve? Then, Brentford is must-see TV at home against lesser teams. Will Thomas Frank leave the club at the end of the season? Finally, they discuss Bukayo Saka's importance to Arsenal as their "glue guy." Is Saka the BEST player in the Premier League right now? Watch until the end for a glimpse behind the scenes.
Kim's Struggle Era article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/your-team-s-struggle-era-lineups-are-hilarious
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:07 - What’s wrong with Phil Foden?
02:54 - Lack of shooting success this year
04:23 - Maintained shot numbers, just less xG on each
06:43 - How dead are Man City?
07:56 - Kim’s struggle era article
09:01 - How did City allow Salah to run at them multiple times?
10:53 - Foden’s shift towards creating vs. shooting
11:38 - Are Foden’s struggles Doku’s fault?
13:26 - City’s success over the last 6 years has led to this
14:17 - Aston Villa are STRUGGLING
15:10 - Similarities to Unai Emery’s time at Villarreal
17:48 - Villa are riding the wave of variance
18:15 - Emery will have his best moments in the CL Knockout rounds
20:17 - Villa are good at executing set pieces
21:33 - Brentford home games are must see TV
22:39 - Brentford make a stylistic choice depending on their opponent
24:22 - Thomas Frank's skill as a manager
25:12 - Elite managers switch their styles when needed (Conte/Fergie)
27:42 - Is Bukayo Saka the best player in the Premier League?
28:47 - Saka is a “glue guy” for Arsenal
30:23 - Saka remained productive with Odegaard out
31:33 - The combination of Odegaard and Saka is what beats teams over and over
32:25 - Saka, Palmer, and Salah are the 3 best players right now
33:17 - How you can help us
34:40 - Story time with Ted
#premierleague #manchestercity #arsenal #foden #saka #astonvilla
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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Barcelona's needs for the upcoming transfer window. They begin at right back, where they haven't had a stable answer in years. Should they bring in Devyne Rensch, bring back a former player, or swing for the fences and sign Trent Alexander-Arnold or Alphonso Davies?? Then comes striker, how do they handle finding a backup for Robert Lewandowski? Getting the position right could extend Lewandowski's peak, but is it a low-risk strategy? Next comes left winger, where Rafael Leao could make a splash move. However, is his defensive work rate too low to work with Lewandowski? And finally, Ravi tells all on Borja Sainz, who might be the next big move for Athletic Club.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:30 - Barca have produced academy kids at many positions
03:11 - Defenders Barcelona could be looking at
03:14 - Devyne Rensch from Ajax
05:22 - One Quality he has that’s very important
09:38 - Barcelona have been searching for the answer at RB
10:32 - The changing nature of the fullback position
12:22 - Óscar Mingueza
13:08 - He’s all-out attack
15:02 - Is he a profile that Barcelona need?
16:06 - Could Trent Alexander-Arnold come on board?
17:17 - Alphonso Davies is more realistic w/ Hansi Flick as manager
18:24 - Vitor Roque as a Lewandowski Replacement
19:17 - Jonathan David
20:36 - David plays a different style than Lewandowski
22:58 - Prolonging Lewandowski’s peak
25:51 - It’s a low-risk strategy
28:04 - What’s the plan at left winger and goalkeeper?
29:35 - Rafael Leao could bring magic to the wing
30:30 - How much defensive work will he really do?
32:20 - Leao is a Soloist
34:03 - Leao and Lewandowksi can’t coexist defensively
35:22 - Borja Sainz is on a tear
38:12 - He’s also a good presser
38:51 - He’s from the Basque region, could Athletic Club be interested?
40:31 - Could an EPL team swoop him up?
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick start with Mo Salah's goal vs. Southampton and how good Liverpool need to be to win the title this year. Then comes Man City, whose 4-0 loss to Tottenham marks their 5th straight defeat. City need help, but can they hang on until the January window? Next, Ruben Amorim led United to a 1-1 draw with Ipswich in his first game as manager. How much impact has he had already, and how long will it take for United to turn things around? Finally, the episode ends with discussion of Arsenal vs. Forest, Everton vs. Brentford, and Joao Pedro's wonderful assist vs. Bournemouth. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:24 - An Interesting Segue and Mo Salah’s goal
03:16 - A Bad defensive performance from Liverpool
04:15 - Liverpool are on the good side of Variation (but they create it too)
05:39 - Liverpool don’t need to be THAT great to win the title
06:36 - Man City lose their 5th game in a row
07:38 - Kyle Walker is no longer Pep’s get out of jail free card
09:18 - City need 3 players in the January window
11:04 - Tottenham were constantly running at the back four
12:34 - Ruben Amorim’s first match as United manager
13:40 - Amorim’s influence is already showing
14:38 - Who is scoring goals for United?
15:48 - United built through the wingbacks (especially Mazraoui)
17:05 - United will continue to change over the next few weeks
19:43 - Who are the wide attackers that are helping to create for United?
20:52 - Will Gyokeres be the solution? + Should United become Sporting
21:45 - Where will United finish this year?
22:57 - Arsenal vs. Forest
25:20 - Odegaard facilitated the Arsenal attack, which was missing while he was gone
26:56 - Arsenal have to figure out how to attack without relying on Odegaard
27:32 - Arsenal haven’t put games away this season
28:06 - Leads allow teams to transition more
30:16 - Everton vs. Brentford
30:45 - Everton went up a man but couldn’t find a goal
32:45 - Joao Pedro’s assist in Brighton’s win over Bournemouth
33:32 - The angled run from Mitoma was beautiful
34:24 - Fans of big teams only are selling themselves short this season
35:41 - Taking a break Thursday and Friday
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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss the many transfer rumours surrounding Real Madrid. They start with Centre backs, and look at options for both established players and rising young stars. Next, they look at options for right back. Could they promote a youngster from their academy? The conversation moves to Florian Wirtz, who has been linked to Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, and Manchester City. Finally, they end the podcast by discussing if Madrid can take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool, whether any of these transfers solve their Mbappe problem, and if Vinicius will be sold in the coming years.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:47 - Pressing Concern at Centreback for Real Madrid
02:10 - Madrid’s current options at CB
03:43 - Is there an obvious profile for them?
05:03 - Hard to find solutions in January
05:31 - Tchouaméni at CB?
06:04 - 2 groups of candidates we’re hearing
08:28 - Real Madrid won’t throw away this season + how they should approach it
09:35 - Jonathan Tah from Leverkusen
11:28 - Tah plays for Xabi Alonso, who is rumoured to be at Madrid next season
11:49 - Aymeric Laporte
13:27 - Mario Hermoso
14:38 - The information we don’t have
15:24 - The most likely option out of these 3
16:18 - The younger players Real Madrid could be looking at
16:42 - Vitor Reis from Palmeiras
18:22 - A recruiters perspective of a young prospect
20:19 - Madrid’s Brazilian players could make the move easier for Reis
21:51 - Castello Lukeba from RB Leipzig
25:13 - Murillo from Nottingham Forest
28:04 - Does Madrid’s current squad push you to a more established player?
29:23 - Tah’s Leverkusen defensive partner, Piero Hincapié
31:19 - Options for right back?
31:27 - Could Madrid address this through their academy, or is it a response to Barcelona’s success?
31:52 - Asencio as an option
33:16 - Jesus Fortea
34:02 - Do Madrid need to improve their Academy strategy, or is it inevitable with how they handle transfers?
37:17 - Florian Wirtz linked with Madrid, Bayern and Man City
38:29 - Not a great fit for Madrid
39:11 - Guler linked to Arsenal
42:11 - Wirtz makes more sense for Bayern
42:47 - Could Madrid take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool?
43:44 - Madrid would have to sell Rodrygo
44:37 - None of this solves their Mbappe Problem
46:14 - Could Madrid be forced to sell Vinicius?
#realmadrid #transfernews #mbappe #vinicius #rodrygo #ardagüler #wirtz #laliga #championsleague #madrid
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick dive into transfer rumours ahead of the January window. They start with Joshua Zirkzee, who may already be on the move from United. Then comes Victor Gyokeres, is his agent keeping is name in the news or will he finally make a move? Next up is Jeremie Frimpong, who has been linked to many huge clubs, including Real Madrid, Manchester City, and Liverpool. Discussion of how Manchester City replaces Rodri follows, with Enzo's name thrown out and a possible £100M fee for Baleba? They finish the episode rounding up the rumours with Nkunku linked with United, Murillo to Real Madrid, Kudus to Arsenal, and Samu Omorodion to Barcelona. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:15 - Joshua Zirkzee to leave United?
01:37 - An addition to the podcasts
02:05 - Why is Zirkzee in the news again
03:37 - Will Amorim keep him?
05:21 - Ted’s opinion on what United should do
06:33 - Victor Gyokeres’ agent is keeping the coals hot
08:52 - Ted’s story about previous transfers he
11:41 - Jeremie Frimpong linked to Madrid,Liverpool, and City
12:29 - Everything depends on Trent Alexander-Arnold
13:33 - How Frimpong fits at City and Real Madrid
16:40 - Salah and Trent to Real Madrid?
17:53 - Xabi Alonso rumoured to Real Madrid next season?
19:10 - Will Zubimendi leave Real Sociedad?
21:41 - How much would City pay to get Baleba? + Enzo Fernandez?
22:41 - £100m to £150m for Baleba???
23:34 - Enzo is a good option, but is not fit enough
25:29 - Nkunku linked with United
26:57 - Chelsea would like to pay off their remaining transfer fee for Nkunku
28:32 - Would Chelsea sell him to United?
28:32 - Forest CB Murillo linked with Real Madrid?
29:54 - Mohammed Kudus linked to Arsenal
31:13 - Kudus is versatile, but what is he worth?
33:57 - Kudus would fit great at United
35:10 - Samu Omorodion linked with Barcelona
38:37 - How a data analyst handles incomplete information
39:34 - Ricardo Pepi looking to move from PSV?
41:11 - Pepi’s history of insanity
#manchesterunited #manchestercity #realmadrid #chelsea #arsenal #transfernews #premierleague #epl #rodri #gyokeres #salah #football #soccer
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Man City losing their fourth game in a row — is it all down to injuries, or do they have bigger issues in the squad? Next, they break down Arsenal vs. Chelsea, who played to a 1-1 draw over the weekend. They dive into Arsenal’s struggles in attack, Maresca’s impact at Chelsea, and Martin Ødegaard’s return from injury. Finally, they analyze the chaos of the Serie A title race, where just two points separate the top six teams. Who are the title favorites, and who should you be rooting for? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:04 - Man City lose AGAIN
02:04 - A different Man City vs. years past
02:21 - Man City injuries + squad age
03:01 - Brighton’s adjustments won them the game
04:45 - City’s old midfield
05:56 - Brighton’s next 9-figure player?
07:19 - City have young players, but not centrally
07:46 - Can City fix this in January? Or will it cost them the title
09:22 - Liverpool’s youth players are playing well
10:28 - City can’t let their stars play the whole time
11:10 - Creating chances despite losing
11:38 - Nobody has full control this season + Villa vs. Liverpool
12:57 - Teams will drop lots of points this season
15:33 - Man City/Liverpool title odds
18:32 - English teams in the Champions League
19:24 - Arsenal vs. Chelsea
19:39 - Odegaard minutes + called up for Norway again
20:23 - Game breakdown
22:36 - How do Arsenal start attacking again
23:51 - Maresca’s influence + Chelsea in a tight table position
26:07 - Caicedo + a shaky defense
27:21 - Chelsea are bad at set piece execution
28:46 - The crazy Serie A title race
29:37 - The most entertaining league in the world (except for Juve)?
30:03 - Conte and Napoli + Other good coaches in Serie A
31:21 - 8 teams with a positive xG difference
32:03 - Fiorentina are coming from nowhere + Napoli/Juve bad attacking numbers
33:22- Atalanta are the best attacking team + Sarri/Lazio
34:56 - Napoli are not taking enough shots in big games
35:31 - We liked Juve’s transfer window
37:30 - Which teams should you root for? + Zlatan overseeing things at AC Milan
38:45 - Lampard or Mancini to manage Roma?
39:51 - Newcastle dominate Forest
#manchestercity #seriea #premierleague #arsenal #chelsea #liverpool #manchesterunited #newcastle #napoli #juventus #intermilan #acmilan #football #soccer
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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal. What should Arsenal look for in their next sporting director, what names are on the list, and how does Arteta factor into the equation? Next they move to Manchester City’s 4-1 loss to Ruben Amorim’s Sporting CP, Victor Gyokeres’ performance, and City’s dependence on Erling Haaland to score goals. Lastly, they cover Real Madrid losing another game at home, this time a 3-1 defeat to AC Milan. Do Madrid have a politics problem with their lineups, should Endrick and Arda Guler get more minutes, and will Carlo Ancelotti be the manager next season? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:01:11 - Edu Gaspar Leaves Arsenal
00:01:47 - How big a change is a move like this behind the scenes?
00:04:37 - Jason Ayto to become Interim Sporting Director
00:06:28 - Difficulty finding a Sporting Director at a top team + Edu’s transfer record
00:10:46 - How do Arsenal go about finding a replacement?
00:12:57 - You need someone who is comfortable with disagreements
00:15:59 - Who are the candidates on the shortlist?
00:17:12 - Julian Ward + Txiki Begiristain
00:18:49 - Monchi
00:19:58 - Paul Mitchell
00:20:21 - Arsene Wenger??
00:21:29 - Roberto Olabe
00:24:03 - Personality might be the biggest part of this hire (to stand up to/mesh with Arteta)
00:25:31 - Phil Giles
00:26:14 - How long will Arteta stay at Arsenal?
00:29:11 - Ruben Amorim and Sporting defeat Man City
00:30:33 - Viktor Gyökeres performance + will he be in the Premier League soon?
00:32:22 - Sporting did not play their usual style
00:33:45 - City had problems trying to breakdown Sporting’s defense
00:35:24 - Injuries hurting City + KDB returning
00:38:19 - Overreliance on Haaland + lack of attacking creativity
00:42:37 - How can Brighton take advantage of City’s bad form?
00:45:59 - Weird Medical remedies over the years
00:47:49 - Real Madrid lose at home to Milan
00:48:56 - Did the Ballon d’or debacle hurt Madrid?
00:53:57 - Lucas Vasquez vs Rafael Leao + lack of balance in attack
00:54:44 - No Endrick or Guler used as subs
00:56:14 - Madrid have a problem with “sacred cows”
00:57:28 - Will Ancelotti be Madrid’s manager next season? + Camavinga must start
01:00:57 - Endrick and Guler lacking minutes
01:02:23 - Will Madrid look to buy Joshua Kimmich?
01:03:35 - Ravi = Neo?
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In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the games from this past weekend. They start at the top of the table, with Arsenal and Manchester City faltering, leaving Liverpool 2 points in the lead. They discuss whether Liverpool can maintain their lead with a tough upcoming schedule, if City can rebound despite their injuries, and whether Arsenal are already out of the title race. Next, they talk about Manchester United's lucky 1-1 draw with Chelsea and how they managed to escape two possible red cards. Finally, they finish with Tottenham's 4-1 victory over Aston Villa and the difficulty of separating the top 13 teams in the Premier League. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:55 - Arsenal,City, and Liverpool over the weekend
01:23 - How Brighton setup against Liverpool
02:34 - How stressful the Premier League is
03:15 - Liverpool weathered the storm then attacked
04:37 - How long Liverpool’s squad has been in rotation
05:43 - Tough schedule ahead for Liverpool
06:21 - Are liverpool favorites or should it still be city?
07:41 - City have a ton of injuries and an old squad
10:16 - Arsenal’ lack of attacking threat vs. Newcastle
11:47 - A bad game for Arsenal and Arteta
13:00 - Are managers too conservative with substitutions
14:07 - Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal
16:39 - What is the best approach to substitutions?
20:25 - Is Arteta taking more power at Arsenal?
22:31 - Are Arsenal out of the title race?
24:26 - Phil Foden’s added threat for City
26:16 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea
26:40 - United were lucky to not get red cards (Ugarte/Martinez)
30:00 - Defensive breakdowns leading to chances + Why is Robert Sanchez in goal
31:24 - The game from a United Perspective
32:54 - The game from a Chelsea Perspective + Cole Palmer
34:05 - Concern for Chelsea’s defense?
36:10 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa
37:21 - How managers give their players breaks during the season
38:30 - Villa were unable to contain the match
39:16 - Spurs are GOOD?
39:24 - Hard to separate teams the top 7 and top 13 teams in the table
42:26 - What makes every week exciting in the Premier League
44:00 - Serie A is also BANANAS
#premierleague #liverpool #manchesterunited #manchestercity #manutd #arsenal #tottenham #chelsea #astonvilla #arteta #colepalmer #philfoden
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Ted Knutson shares his insights for EVERY EPL Matchday 10 game and discusses why you MUST wait for the lineups before betting certain games.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:05 - Liverpool vs. Brighton
01:48 - Why you must check the lineup before betting this match
02:22 - Ipswich vs. Leicester City
02:41 - Forest vs. West Ham
03:48 - Bournemouth vs. Man City
04:44 - Newcastle vs. Arsenal
06:13 - Southampton vs. Everton
06:36 - Wolves vs. Crystal Palace
07:03 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa
09:29 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea
11:31 - Fulham vs. Brentford
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On this episode, Ted and Ravi answer frequently asked questions about getting started in sports analytics using their extensive knowledge and experience in the industry. They get into how to look for a job, the skills you need, and what to expect once you land a job. If you have more questions you want answered, leave them in the comments down below!
Details for Ravi's conference in Houston:
https://americansoccerinsights.com/
Data Contest/Call for Proposals:
https://americansoccerinsights.com/call-for-proposals
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:01 - How do I get started?
00:04:46 - What skills do I need?
00:21:25 - Where to look for football jobs?
00:23:17 - Apart from football clubs, where are some other places I can find data jobs in football?
00:26:25 - I want to go into football, but I don't have the data skills - where can I learn them fast?
00:35:24 - How can I set myself apart from the crowd?
00:46:00 - The pay seems very low - what can I do about it?
00:51:10 - What's it look to work for these teams?
01:04:52 - What are your biggest takeaways from working in sports?
#dataanalytics #analytics #data #football #soccer #sports #sportsanalytics #premierleague #mls #stats
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Manchester United firing manager Erik ten Hag. They run down why he had to be fired, Ruud van Nistelrooy as interim manager, and potential names for the job. Then, Ravi joins Patrick to discuss Barcelona's 4-0 victory over Real Madrid over the weekend. They talk about Barcelona's high line causing problems for Madrid, Madrid lacking a holding striker, and if Barcelona can maintain this form for the rest of the season. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:47 - United sack Erik ten Hag
00:01:31 - Ruud van Nistelrooy interim manager
00:01:45 - Manchester United’s recent form
00:04:14 - Trends for United
00:04:39 - Could they be better with a better coach?
00:05:39 - What a good and bad manager change process looks like
00:07:24 - The U Curve of coaches
00:10:18 - Could ten Hag’s hurt United?
00:10:56 - Dan Ashworth’s limited early influence
00:11:53 - Who should United hire?
00:12:39 - Pochettino and Tuchel already have jobs
00:13:28 - Could van Nistelrooy stay on?
00:14:29 - Gareth Southgate
00:15:27 - Ruben Amorim
00:15:54 - How do budgets play into the new hire decision?
00:17:51 - Xavi as next United manager?
00:20:05 - Luis Enrique
00:21:12 - Graham Potter
00:23:09 - Eddie Howe
00:24:24 - Mourinho was the most pragmatic of recent United coaches
00:25:05 - Michael Carrick
00:28:44 - Adi Hutter
00:30:57 - Bournemouth manager Andoni Iraola?
00:31:47 - Thomas Frank
00:34:08 - The ability of a manager to get player buy-in
00:35:41 - Roger Schmidt and his pressing style
00:37:44 - Julian Nagelsmann
00:39:44 - Should United settle for the least costly option?
00:40:53 - The stress of managing/working for a team
00:41:38 - Ravi joins to talk El Clasico
00:42:46 - The game was closer than the score and Barca’s impressive workload
00:44:33 - Madrid’s gameplan was to be direct
00:45:19 - Was Fermin Lopez the correct choice?
00:46:06 - The technical ability on display
00:46:46 - Substitutions settled the game for Barca
00:47:55 - Casado’s line-breaking pass for Goal #1
00:48:52 - The high line was very impressive
00:50:11 - Lucas Vazquez struggled
00:53:14 - Who should be blamed for Madrid?
00:54:46 - Madrid struggle with a pivot and where was Endrick?
00:56:52 - Bellingham’s lack of forward threat
00:58:52 - Can Barcelona sustain this performance?
01:02:06 - Mbappe moving to the right side?
#manchesterunited #realmadrid #barcelona #manutd #eriktenhag #elclassico #football #soccer #podcast
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On this episode, Ted shares his picks for EPL matchday 9. He starts by explaining why he flat bets and when to use accumulators. He gives insights on the matches he's betting on, including Arsenal vs. Liverpool, and explains why he's staying away from certain matchups (both City and United). Enjoy!
More information on fractional Kelly betting: https://www.pinnacle.com/betting-resources/en/betting-strategy/revisiting-the-kelly-criterion-part-2-fractional-kelly/gbd27z9nljvgflgg
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:18 - Why do you bet flat amounts?
03:44 - Why don't you bet accumulators?
06:23 - Leicester City vs. Forest
07:16 - Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth
08:03 - Brentford vs. Ipswich
09:02 - Manchester City vs. Southampton
09:51 - Brighton vs. Wolves
11:33 - Everton vs. Fulham
13:10 - Chelsea vs. Newcastle
14:15 - Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham
15:33 - West Ham vs. Manchester United
17:02 - Arsenal vs. Liverpool
#premierleague #epl #betting #liverpool #arsenal #chelsea #tottenham #soccer #football #manchesterunited
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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Real Madrid's 5-2 win over Dortmund and the injuries to Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo. Next, they preview the Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Champions League match today and how the game might be insightful for El Clasico on Saturday. They then dive into the best lineups for both Real Madrid and Barcelona, how much injured (Dani Olmo and Gavi) and older (Luka Modric) might play, and give their predictions for the final score. They end the conversation with Xabi Alonso's rumoured exit from Bayer Leverkusen at the end of the season, potential landing spots, and if he will actually leave. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:02 - Real Madrid vs. Dortmund
04:32 - Real Madrid’s defense was shocking
05:32 - Different Midfield lineups Madrid has used
06:50 - Ravi’s pre-game prediction
07:48 - Bellingham last season vs. this season
09:43 - Modric, Valverde, and Madrid’s Galactico mindset
11:02 - How do they fix their midfield issues?
11:41 - How much will Modric play?
14:08 - Will Rodrygo be the odd man out?
15:12 - Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Preview
16:20 - A good test for Bayern
17:39 - Barcelona players returning from injury
18:50 - How much can Gavi give them?
21:02 - What front 3 will Barcelona play?
22:35 - Giving minutes to returning players against Bayern
23:33 - What lineup will Madrid use against Barcelona?
24:10 - Courtois injury for Madrid
25:19 - An offensive vs. defensive lineup
26:37 - Stylistic matchups
28:21 - Should Barcelona play more conservatively?
30:11 - Both teams are weak at fullback
31:13 - Lewandowski should play as a pivot
31:57 - Ideal lineup for Barcelona
33:21 - Ravi’s predictions for El Clasico
35:38 - Patrick’s prediction for El Clasico
36:45 - Flick’s first Clasico
37:12 - A La Liga game vs. a Champions League game
39:19 - Leverkusen rumoured to be looking for a Xavi Alonso replacement
40:14 - The timing with Txiki’s departure and Pep’s contract expiring
40:52 - Real Madrid also make sense
41:34 - Hugo Viana and Ruben Amorim
42:21 - The obvious spot for Xabi Alonso
44:25 - What happens if Carlo Ancelotti doesn’t want to leave?
47:18 - Alonso’s contract ends in 2026
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss the eventful Liverpool vs. Chelsea match and Liverpool's defense looking vulnerable. They also discuss the impact VAR had over the weekend, and get into Saliba's red card in Arsenal's 2-0 loss to Bournemouth. Next comes Southampton's loss to Leicester and Russell Martin's comments after the game. They finish with Fulham vs. Aston Villa, Brighton vs. Newcastle and the resurgence of Raul Jimenez, Manchester United looking competent, and the trend of teams playing safer.
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00:00 - Intro
01:06 - Liverpool vs. Chelsea
03:23 - Trent Alexander-Arnold is a double-edged sword
04:22 - How cautious can you be in the modern Premier League?
05:07 - Concern for Andrew Robertson?
07:44 - Did Chelsea deserve an early penalty?
08:00 - VAR and red cards this weekend
08:44 - Caicedo as a playmaker
09:58 - This was Liverpool’s first real test
10:41 - Arsenal vs. Bournemouth
11:47 - Saliba’s red card
13:03 - Marginal calls in football
14:55 - How coaches game plan in the Premier League
16:24 - Manchester City look fragile
17:35 - Taking a red card vs. allowing a chance
19:16 - Southampton vs. Leicester City
20:36 - Russell Martin’s comments after the game
22:02 - How coaches start to talk when they want to be fired
25:29 - Mourinho’s ability to deflect from a bad performance
26:17 - Southampton’s poor performance under Martin
28:38 - 8 point gap to Leicester now
28:59 - Facundo Buonanotte and Brighton’s future
30:35 - Fulham vs. Aston Villa
33:03 - Neutral’s will love Fulham games
33:15 - Raul Jimenez is in insane form
35:10 - The resurgence of Old and Tall strikers
36:32 - Newcastle vs. Brighton
38:52 - Manchester looked competent
40:53 - Garnacho’s tendency to take wide-angle shots
42:45 - Is the trend of teams playing safer a problem?
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss all things Premier League related from the start of the season. They begin with teams that should be higher or lower than their current position in the table. Next, they decide which of the 4 relegation candidates will stay up. And finally, both Patrick and Ted give their predictions for the Top 6. Where do you think Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City, Chelsea, Manchester United, Tottenham, and the rest of the Premier League will finish?
Sebastian's guest newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/3-young-attacking-mids-on-the-rise
Ted's preseason gambling podcast: https://youtu.be/keg7HlCXPwE
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:34 - Who is the premier league table lying about right now?
00:02:41 - Newcastle United
00:05:37 - Giving honest takes vs driving engagement
00:06:31 - The table of justice
00:07:16 - Tottenham should be slightly better
00:08:03 - Spurs are playing like a Bundesliga team
00:09:12 - Exciting young pieces
00:11:03 - Where are they likely to finish?
00:12:44 - Bournemouth are better than the Table says
00:14:30 - Optimism for Everton
00:15:10 - Guest Newsletter authors
00:15:45 - Dwight McNeil’s blossoming role
00:18:11 - A Cash injection this January can fix their issues
00:19:02 - Everton fans should be happy with the takeover
00:21:35 - Manchester United’s rough start
00:22:36 - The Model’s take on United before the season
00:24:34 - United don’t tolerate long processes
00:26:20 - United fans who have never seen the good times
00:27:12 - Of the 4 candidates, who will get relegated?
00:27:27 - Ipswich
00:29:30 - Wolves
00:31:40 - Patrick’s prediction to stay up
00:32:43 - Leicester’s 5 point advantage
00:34:06 - the difficulty making a case for any of these teams
00:36:30 - What the gambling markets say
00:38:50 - Predicting the top 6
00:39:11 - factoring in a potential punishment for City
00:41:23 - Patrick’s top 4
00:42:40 - Talent goes a long way
00:44:56 - Patrick’s title winner
00:48:07 - Patrick’s 2nd place team
00:52:39 - 3rd place
00:56:48 - Debating the Last Champions League spot
00:59:57 - Patrick’s 5th and 6th place
01:00:24 - What the betting markets say
01:01:46 - Ted’s top 6
01:03:26 - When we’ll check back in on our predictions
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