Afleveringen
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Bitcoin just set an all-time pain record - 10.83 MILLION BTC are now held at a loss per Glassnode, matching the exact setup that marked cycle bottoms in 2019, 2020, and 2022. But the bull signal lands into Friday's $10 BILLION options expiry where most positions are deeply OTM bullish bets, setting up a brutal squeeze. We break down whether 10.83M coins underwater marks the historic cycle bottom OR a bear trap before $50K, what Friday's $10B expiry actually means, and whether long-term holder conviction is the bull signal nobody's pricing in.
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In this cloudy Las Vegas morning crypto space, Dave and insiders unpack Ethereum’s Foundation shakeup and the rise of new decentralized teams. They break down the broad market correlation and 20% drops across majors, driven by macro forces and AI draining liquidity. The crew debates DeFi’s yield wins versus broken trading mechanics, the edge of perpetual swaps, exploding prediction markets, Binance’s Europe regulatory mess, MicroStrategy as a Bitcoin yield play, cronyism in finance, and privacy tech like Midnight that protects choice while opening institutional doors. A quick look at recent hacks and summer doldrums rounds out the candid chat.
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Bitcoin is staring down its biggest day of the week: a $10.6 BILLION Deribit options expiry Friday with nearly 80% of positions out-of-the-money, clustered around a $60K put and $80K call — meaning the next 48 hours will decide whether the relief rally extends or collapses. CryptoQuant publicly called on Saylor to STOP buying as Strategy's dividend obligations QUADRUPLED to $1.2B annually. Add the dollar at a 7-month high, Meta secretly building a prediction market called Arena, the CFTC suing Kentucky as the federal-state war hits 9 states, and the CLARITY Act with 4 unresolved sticking points and 5 weeks until Senate recess — and Friday's $10.6B expiry is the single most important catalyst of Q3. We break down what $60K vs $80K means for the rest of the cycle, whether Saylor will actually pause, and which catalyst could break the floor before Friday.
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Bitcoin hit a two-week low at $61,877 (-3.9%) as a brutal AI tech selloff dragged risk assets globally: South Korea's KOSPI crashed 10%, Samsung and SK Hynix each cratered 12%, and SpaceX has now lost $600 BILLION across three trading days. Bloomberg is calling Bitcoin "tied at the hip" to the AI trade — the digital gold thesis is dying. Add Bank of America's bombshell call for THREE rate HIKES in 2026, the Senate passing a CBDC ban through 2030 in an 85-5 vote, and Jamie Dimon warning the bull market is a "little tsunami" — and today's setup is the cleanest macro inflection we've seen all month. We break down whether Bitcoin's new AI correlation is structural, what BofA's hike call means for the cycle, and whether Trump's quantum executive order is a real threat or just optics.
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Morning markets update covering flat stock performance, crypto gains, gold and silver moves, and crude oil decline on peace developments. Bitcoin discussion on potential new lows, exhausted sellers, and altcoin correlation. Macro segment on inflation data, Jamie Dimon consumer outlook, and Kevin Warsh debt management via higher inflation with gold and Bitcoin as hedges. Reflection on Alan Greenspan's legacy from sound money to fiat policy. Analysis of Strategy's Bitcoin-backed high-yield STRC trading below par, comparisons to Terra Luna and GBTC, fixed income characteristics, and Bitcoin sales normalization. Examination of Bitcoin community tribalism, holder categorization, diversification benefits, and network fundamentals. Coverage of ICE-OKX tokenized markets joint venture and Franklin Templeton dividend reinvestment into Bitcoin ETFs. Bitcoin mining segment on hashpower shift to AI, network difficulty drops, and hardware acquisition opportunities near the 200-week moving average.
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Bitcoin's brutal six-week ETF bleed is finally easing. Santiago Capital's blockbuster 84-page report from Brent Johnson warning that the dollar can't die of weakness — only of STRENGTH, when a sustained DXY spike forces enough sovereign and corporate defaults to compel an alternative system — and today's setup is the cleanest macro inflection point we've seen all cycle. We break down whether the ETF pain peak signals the cycle bottom, what a 2-year yield breakout means for Bitcoin, and why Brent Johnson's "dollar dies of strength" thesis is the most important macro framework you're not hearing about.
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Carolyn Pham, the former CFTC commissioner now leading MoonPay's institutional push, says crypto has roughly two and a half years to become too big to fail — and the numbers already prove it's happening. Stablecoins did $28 trillion in volume in a single quarter, dwarfing Visa and MasterCard combined. Tokenized repo is hitting $10 trillion every month. In this conversation recorded live at Consensus 2026, Carolyn breaks down what MoonPay Institutional actually means for every bank and asset manager trying to get into crypto without building from scratch, why the narrative that DeFi is incompatible with KYC is a complete fallacy, and how she built America's first digital asset taxonomy at the CFTC that became the foundation for everything the SEC and CFTC are doing now. She explains why this isn't disruption but modernization, how a $100 million acquisition of Israeli defense tech cybersecurity gives MoonPay the wallet infrastructure institutions actually trust, and why a Bitcoin in every brokerage account is the real point of no return.
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Grant Cardone says he may have found a way to disrupt the $4 trillion real estate industry by combining income-producing real estate with Bitcoin. In this interview recorded live at Consensus 2026, Grant breaks down why the 1965 REIT model is fundamentally broken — companies forced to distribute 90% of their cash with nothing left for capital expenditures — and how his Bitcoin real estate hybrid solves the liquidity problem that's crushing major institutions like Starwood right now. He explains why 80% of his investors have never owned Bitcoin before, how showing them the hybrid model turned them into Bitcoin buyers on their own, and why he believes every major institution will eventually adopt this model. Grant also reveals how he almost lost $12 million in Bitcoin on a plane he sold to Tim Draper, why he thinks Bitcoin should be $150,000 today, and what Michael Saylor said when he saw Grant's first hybrid deal.
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In this fiery Crypto Town Hall discussion, hosts and guests debate whether MicroStrategy's STRC is truly "digital credit" or high-yield preferred equity riding Bitcoin's wave—sparking retail outrage as it traded sharply below par amid leverage unwinds and DeFi vault concerns. Experts break down the risks of emotional investing, Saylor's bold Bitcoin accumulation strategy, and why forced selling fears are overblown given the company's hoard. The conversation pivots to exciting news from Ledn: support for tokenized Tether Gold (XAUT) alongside expanded stablecoins like USDT and USDC for seamless borrowing, repaying, and trading against Bitcoin. Discover why gold's lower volatility complements Bitcoin as a tried-and-true hard asset, offering potentially better loan terms, and how focusing on real value over hype products leads to smarter portfolio decisions in volatile markets.
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Bitcoin just flashed one of its most reliable historical buy signals — dipping below its 200-week moving average twice in two weeks, a setup Kraken's Chief Economist Thomas Perfumo says has delivered 113% MEDIAN returns over the following year (and 313% over two years), with median time to break even of just TWO DAYS. The signal has only triggered on roughly 10% of all trading days since 2017. But the bull case lands into a brutal backdrop: Add Franklin Templeton filing BTC-reinvesting dividend ETFs, BlackRock's BITA pitched as "too big to ignore" for income investors, and Illinois passing the most punitive crypto tax in the country — and today's setup is the wildest bull/bear divergence we've seen all cycle. We break down whether Kraken's 113% historical signal will hold against Saylor's structural crisis, what miners going below cost actually means, and whether BTC's two-day median break-even is the bull case nobody's talking about.
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Bitcoin tanked to $64,000 after Kevin Warsh's first FOMC turned full hawkish — the median dot plot now sees a 2026 rate HIKE, October hike odds jumped to 60%, and Bitcoin/Ether ETFs swung back to outflows ($111M combined, with BlackRock's IBIT bleeding $31M). But the on-chain picture is bullish: Bitcoin whales (1,000+ BTC addresses) just reversed months of selling and now control the highest BTC supply since March, absorbing 125,000 BTC in the first half of June. Add Strategy's STRC preferred stock hitting a record low (freezing Saylor's main BTC-buying engine), whale-sized 1,750 BTC put hedges at the $62K strike flashing weekend caution, Bitwise's Matt Hougan still calling for $1 million Bitcoin within 10 years, and the SEC scrapping the trade-through rule (clearing the runway for tokenized stocks) — and today's setup is the most confusing tape of the cycle. We break down whether the whale accumulation signals the bottom is in, what Warsh's hawkish pivot means for 2026, and whether the $62K weekend put hedge is the warning everyone's missing.
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In this episode, the panel dissects Illinois’ sweeping new tax on digital assets—crypto, stablecoins, prediction markets, and tokenized stocks—that could gut CME Bitcoin futures liquidity, hammer market makers, and spark dormant-commerce-clause lawsuits. They analyze Hyperliquid’s surge, the Spacex perp’s unlock volatility, and how perps trading 3-10x spot volume amplify moves; the Spacex IPO’s capital drain (only 4% float, massive August–December unlocks); altcoin pops like Uniswap and Zcash amid rock-bottom Bitcoin volatility and AI-coin bids; privacy coins versus rising wealth taxes; Fed rate-path risks; tokenized-asset disconnects; SBF’s “VC lottery” luck; casino lobbying against sports prediction markets; and why a quiet, hated-rally summer market may reward smart positioning.
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Bitcoin's relief rally faces its first real test today as Warsh's first FOMC meeting lands — markets are pricing 50-65% odds of at least one 2026 rate HIKE after May CPI ripped to 4.2%, and Warsh is expected to scrap Powell's forward guidance entirely. The on-chain backdrop is bullish: Bitcoin's Sharpe ratio just hit -20 (the same signal that marked every cycle low since 2015), holders absorbed 125,000 BTC in the first half of June, and whales pulled 11,000 BTC off exchanges yesterday. We break down whether the bottom signal holds, what Warsh's first dot plot means for Bitcoin, and which catalysts could extend or kill the relief rally.
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Bitcoin just SMASHED past $66,000 — its highest level in over a week — as the Iran peace deal momentum continues and the market braces for Warsh's first FOMC meeting tomorrow. The setup is brutal: May CPI ripped to 4.2% (driven by the Iran/Hormuz energy spike), prediction markets now price 50-65% odds of at least one 2026 rate HIKE, and Warsh is expected to scrap Powell's forward guidance entirely — meaning Wednesday's dot plot could swing risk assets either direction. Add Saylor's most ambitious forecast yet (Bitcoin to $7 MILLION — "It's inevitable"), Chamath calling $1.14M per coin based on halving math, Kraken launching CFTC-regulated Bitcoin perps for US customers, Elon Musk's net worth crossing $1.3 TRILLION (bigger than all but 12 public companies), and Robinhood cutting 10% of its workforce — and today's setup is the cleanest pre-FOMC inflection we've seen all cycle. We break down whether the Iran rally has legs, what Warsh's first dot plot means for Bitcoin, and whether $7 million is actually possible or pure hopium.
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Join Dave and guests for a lively Monday Spaces as crypto markets rebound strongly, with Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin and altcoins surging. The panel explores whether this is a liquidity-driven bear market rally or the start of a real turnaround, diving into Ethereum fundamentals, the escalating AI arms race, decentralized AI narratives, prediction markets, and regulatory updates including the Clarity Act. Packed with insights on macro risks, censorship resistance, and the future of sound money.
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Bitcoin just RIPPED to $66k as Trump confirmed the U.S.-Iran peace deal will be signed Friday in Switzerland — ending the 15-week war that's been crushing risk assets all month. WTI oil collapsed 5%, the Strait of Hormuz reopens within 30 days, Nasdaq futures ripped +1.5%, and Glassnode flagged $68K-$80K as the next bullish marker. Add SpaceX's record-breaking IPO closing +19% at a $1.77 trillion valuation, Tether briefly flipping Ethereum for the first time in 8 years, and Mike McGlone forecasting USDT could eventually top Bitcoin — and today's setup is the cleanest bullish inflection we've seen since October. We break down whether the Iran peace deal marks the cycle bottom and which catalysts could keep this rally running through the G7 summit.
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When BlackRock needed to tokenize their first fund, they called Securitize. When the New York Stock Exchange decided to trade stocks 24/7 on-chain, they called Securitize. In this interview, CEO Carlos Domingo reveals why the DTCC is repeating the same fatal mistake the telecom companies made when WhatsApp arrived, why the banks actually need the Clarity Act far more than crypto does, and what happens when AI agents start trading tokenized assets in real time. Carlos breaks down the Jump Trading partnership, how atomic swaps are replacing T+1 settlement, why BlackRock choosing Securitize changed everything for institutional adoption, and his vision for a future where tokenized stocks, ETFs, and AI-powered portfolios all live in one wallet — and you don't even know you're using a blockchain.
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In this lively episode on SpaceX IPO day, the guys break down Elon Musk’s paper trillionaire moment as a classic buy-the-news event, covering heavy passive index inflows, massive retail oversubscription exceeding $100 billion, and Fidelity’s push to democratize access, while weighing crypto spillover possibilities like Dogecoin shoutouts, SpaceX’s Bitcoin holdings, space mining ideas, max pain scenarios, and longer-term $250K BTC views alongside cautions on emotional investing. They also explore capital reallocation, silver’s potential bottom, oil sliding below $90 with peace deal rumors and Cushing inventories pressuring inflation, the AI industrial revolution, expectations for lower interest rates, currency debasement boosting real assets, a sharp debate on Visa/Mastercard versus Bitcoin and stablecoin rails—including chargebacks, fraud, rewards, and merchant surcharges—and bullish signals from SEC Chair Paul Atkins on Rule 611 paving the way for tokenized assets and market convergence.
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Bitcoin and Gold are both posting the worst year of any major asset class in 2026 — BTC down 30%, Gold down 6% and Charlie Bilello says it's the first time we've ever seen this in a calendar year. Meanwhile, SpaceX just made history today, debuting at a $1.75 TRILLION valuation in the largest IPO ever recorded (2.4x the previous record Saudi Aramco) with retail orders alone exceeding $70 billion. We break down whether Bitcoin and Gold's historic underperformance signals a generational opportunity or the death of the safe haven thesis, what $75 billion flowing INTO SpaceX means for the next leg of crypto liquidity, and which catalysts could finally turn the tape.
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Bitcoin just triggered the signal that has marked every previous bear market bottom — half of all circulating BTC supply (roughly 10.5 million coins) is now trading at a loss per Glassnode/K33 Research, the first time this has happened since the late 2022 cycle low. But realized losses over the last 30 days sit at just 187,000 BTC versus 1.2 million after the FTX collapse, meaning capitulation hasn't actually hit yet. Meanwhile, Japan just delivered the biggest bullish policy shift of 2026 — reclassifying crypto as financial products, slashing the tax rate from 55% to 20%, and opening the door to spot crypto ETFs. Add Wall Street dumping $10.8 billion of tech stocks last week (largest tech outflow ever recorded), SoftBank trying to borrow $6 billion against its OpenAI stake just to keep funding OpenAI, Warren's Hail Mary to delay tomorrow's $75B SpaceX IPO, and the historical reality that the 10 biggest IPOs in history dropped 35% in their first six months — and today's setup may be the cleanest historic bottom signal we've seen in three years. We break down whether the supply-in-loss signal actually holds, why capitulation hasn't fully hit yet, what Japan's bombshell means for the bull case, and which catalysts could trigger the real cycle bottom before $50K comes into play.
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